419-115 favoring Obama.

IN and AZ goes blue and ejects their batshittery and order the entire previous administration held for trial for treason and sedition.

yeah, baby

Arizona won't flip, though there's the potential for it being close given someone isn't on the ticket from that state. Indiana is going to flip back to red as is North Carolina most likely. If the rest of the map stayed the same (minus the 1 EV in Nebraska) that would put him at 332. My strong feeling is that is the 332 is baseline to go from. I believe we will hold Colorado, NH, and Virginia. The media has made a big deal about Iowa, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania being swing states which I think they are wrong about. Ohio and Florida are the ones that are contentious and I still think we will pull those off both, but there's always a small chance we'll lose one. The one state that I think could tip toward us is Missouri. We lost it last time by a small margin. The whole thing with Akin and his big mouth may cost the them state in the presidential election.

To put a an exact number down right now is too difficult unless you are Nate Silver who's looking at detailed numbers everyday.

I think 303 to 356 is about the range it will be (that does allow room for NC to stay blue and/or Missouri to flip). The win won't be as big as 2008, but it will be a win.

It appears Romney is getting an anti-bounce?