2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumWhoa. Clinton hits highest odds in 2015 for nomination: 94%
Markets move quick, so her numbers could change over the life of this thread, but, as of 12:30 am, she has hit an unheard of peak.
Chance at nomination:
HRC - 94%
BS - 5%
MOM - 1%
Chance at presidency:
HRC - 59%
Rubio - 19%
Trump - 8%
Cruz - 5%
Bush - 3%
BS - 3%
http://www.predictwise.com/politics/2016president
That is pretty remarkable.
SunSeeker
(51,574 posts)BootinUp
(47,165 posts)for the GE? 59% sounds great, just would like to see some data on it.
Godhumor
(6,437 posts)Predictive markets behave differently than what Nate will look at.
bravenak
(34,648 posts)Once she started campaigning for real, it was pretty much game, set, match for the primary.
Godhumor
(6,437 posts)Heard to believe we're still 2.5 months away from the first primary.
bravenak
(34,648 posts)After the voting starts I think many will be surprised at just how overwhelmingly she is winning.
Yupster
(14,308 posts)that she will win every primary and caucus.
There never was a race.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)The G E odds are pretty astonishing too...
Xipe Totec
(43,890 posts)Not my first choice this time around, but a fine choice nevertheless.
I was a strong supporter of HRC the last time around, but Obama won the nomination and he's made a fine president.
This time around I like Bernie even better, and I will support him for the nomination.
But whoever wins the Democratic nomination will have my full unflinching enthusiastic support.
Steven the Somnolent
(36 posts)I've been more than a little frightened by Sanders supporters stating here that they will absolutely, positively NOT vote for Clinton if she's the nominee. Do they want a Trump or Cruz Administration???
riversedge
(70,242 posts)glad to hear you will support the nominee--as I will--whoever it is.
mr_liberal
(1,017 posts)Thats why I think her odds are so high. She would easily beat Trump or Cruz and I think Rubio fairly handily as well.
Bush would be close, but he is fading.
She could lose to Christie or Kasich imo. If one of them move to the top or if even Bush does I think the odds will change and it will be closer to 50%.
Alfresco
(1,698 posts)I wouldn't regret.
Because she's the best that's...
ismnotwasm
(41,989 posts)I know numbers change but damn..
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)It's as simple as that! (But we need to be diligent about middle school voter fraud and voters who go into the booth and click multiple times and tweet their votes!)
Response to NurseJackie (Reply #14)
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