2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumSuperdelegate 101: Bernie Has Only an 11 Percent Chance of Winning
It doesnt matter how many Democrats feel the Bern despite the tens of thousands of young people filling sports arenas all over the country because theyre excited about the socialist senator from Vermonts message that its time for a political revolution that prioritizes working people and takes back the wealth getting sucked out of the economy by the billionaire class.
superdelegate
Blame it on the superdelegates. Superdelegates are convention delegates who can support any candidate, no matter whom voters choose in the primaries and caucuses. They are members of Congress and other elected officials, party leaders and members of the Democratic National Committee, explains the Associated Press.
Hillary Rodham Clinton has locked up public support from half of the Democratic insiders who will cast ballots at the partys national convention, giving her a big head start in securing the nomination more than two months before primary voters start going to the polls. The 712 superdelegates make up about 30 percent of the 2,382 delegates needed to clinch the Democratic nomination.
Of the 80 percent of superdelegates willing to fess up their affiliation, 359 support Clinton. Eight plan to vote for Bernie Sanders and two for Martin OMalley, the former Maryland governor who made a splash at Saturdays Democratic debate. Exactly 210 of them say theyre uncommitted.
http://anewdomain.net/2015/11/17/superdelegate-101-bernie-11-chance-winning-nomination/
snot
(10,530 posts). . . except defeat for those who give up without a fight."
"Voyage to the Bottom of the Sea" (1961), script by Irwin Allen & Charles Bennett
CoffeeCat
(24,411 posts)This "Superdelegate" baloney is designed to demoralize Sanders supporters.
In 2008, when Obama started to be a real threat to Hillary's coronation, these stories about the Superdelegates going for Hillary--were spread far and wide.
Obama supporters, in 2008, were just supposed to give it up--because the Superdelegates were going for Hillary.
We saw in 2008--that this was complete and utter garbage.
In 2008, the Superdelegates voted the will of the Democratic party. They'll do the same in 2015. When the Superdelegates went for Obama in 2008, there was no discussion of them defecting and going for Hillary. No controversy. No nothing.
This ill-conceived talking point was revealed to be wrong in 2008. It's bunk in 2015.
Scootaloo
(25,699 posts)Shit, I thought we were running against Republicans, not with them.
bravenak
(34,648 posts)I knew this.
Scootaloo
(25,699 posts)And now, as then, I understood that the delegates aren't going to put an axe in the party's skull by ignoring the primary results leading to the convention. That Clinton supporters are trying to raise this possibility now - five months before they started doing it in 2008 - Says the same thing it did then, only louder.
bravenak
(34,648 posts)Obama was quietly getting those delegates that Clinton needed. He also was ready t steal the Black vote for obvious reasons. I have no idea how anybody expects someone to pull an obama.
Scootaloo
(25,699 posts)However, even with your lack of imagination and my lack pf prescience, there's no reason to assume that what we see on 11/23/15 will be the results we get on 7/28/16. The fact you are presenting this argument - "even if he wins the votes, we'll just ignore it, so neener" - doesn't exactly shake my confidence in Sanders.
bravenak
(34,648 posts)Scootaloo
(25,699 posts)If you're so dead confident Clinton has it in the bag, why not just take advice from an album I picked up in 2000?
All my party people
You need to come inside
Because we got it people
So just enjoy the ride
bravenak
(34,648 posts)Pure speculation.
Scootaloo
(25,699 posts)S'why I'm just gonna listen to my tunes, watch my zombies, and not worry about it.
bravenak
(34,648 posts)I am working on several finals as we speak. Took one of my classes online and she gave i the final last week. My god. Every art movement since the egyptians. Shit is kicking my ass. Can only go for about half an hour before my eyes glaze a bit. Plus, this damn Gardners Art for the Ages weighs about 150,000 pounds. WTF? My arms hurt.
karynnj
(59,504 posts)If someone white had written that blacks owed HRC their vote or that it was HERS and someone else had to steal it, this comment would rightfully be objected to.
As to super delegates, their endorsement now is not a guarantee of their vote. I think Clinton will win the primaries, but if she is edged out again - the super delegates will shift, because it would destroy the party otherwise.
bravenak
(34,648 posts)AtomicKitten
(46,585 posts)bravenak
(34,648 posts)AtomicKitten
(46,585 posts)bravenak
(34,648 posts)AtomicKitten
(46,585 posts)really
bravenak
(34,648 posts)AtomicKitten
(46,585 posts)bravenak
(34,648 posts)I need a candidate who can lead.
JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)I'm glad someone finally said the political "c-word" out loud (so to speak).
AtomicKitten
(46,585 posts)CentralMass
(15,265 posts)the voters need to be reformed
bravenak
(34,648 posts)CentralMass
(15,265 posts)In 2008 (I was Hillary supporter in Ma) I can recall that she was up double digits in state wide polls, nearly 30 points if I recall.
Three of our most prominent super D's, Senators Kennedy, Kerry, and Governor Patrick were all supporting Senator Obama, in fact the Senators were actively campaigning for him. When our primary was held that March, she won the state by double digits. Yet those 3 prominent super D's cast their votes for Senator Obama.
I'm supporting Senator Sanders this time but the process still stinks. One person, one vote. Dump the super delegates and a governing body that can split votes.
bravenak
(34,648 posts)If it warrants changing it will have to be after this cycle.
CentralMass
(15,265 posts)either a popular vote and or a conventional delegate advantage but behind the scenes manipulation is used to have the super D's steal the election, it will be yet another tainted election.
However, having supporters and or representatives of one candidate advertising that their candidate has the super D's sewn up this early in the campaign makes it looks like manipulation.
bravenak
(34,648 posts)This is just totaling them up and letting us know how things stand.
CentralMass
(15,265 posts)moneyed interests interfering with the democratic process. Why hold elections ?
bravenak
(34,648 posts)karynnj
(59,504 posts)That was completely something dreamed up after HRC under performed on super tuesday.
Some states with caucuses had zeroes in 2008 because nothing equated to votes. In addition, those caucus states in all cases ended up under weughted.
karynnj
(59,504 posts)Of the most regular delegates when asked in February. There was pressure on him and others in MA to vote for HRC. I always wondered why all states didn't get their SD to vote in proportion to their regular delegates. I think Obama got about 40 percent of those - so why should 100 percent line up behind the state winner.
Many super delegates were not elected officials, but party big wigs.
darkangel218
(13,985 posts)It's just a freaking BLOG!!!
Take it easy lmao!!!!!!
leftofcool
(19,460 posts)That's the way the primary process is.
Lil Missy
(17,865 posts)bravenak
(34,648 posts)Lil Missy
(17,865 posts)Fearless
(18,421 posts)bravenak
(34,648 posts)Betty Karlson
(7,231 posts)bravenak
(34,648 posts)restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)they will not subvert the will of the voters. they can sing from the rooftops now if they like, but if bernie wins the state delegates and the supers steal it for hillary, we will see the end of the democratic party in real time on the convention floor.
oh, and we'll need to get used to the term "president trump". the disillusioned bernie voters that people are worried about and the millenials will FOR SURE stay home and guarantee a gop sweep.
the one good thing is that such a brouhaha might signal the blessed end of the corrupt two party system. so future generations might have it better (if climate change doesn't kill the planet under republican rule, of course)
bravenak
(34,648 posts)restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)just out of curiosity, would you like to see a three or four party system with a real progressive party, or would you prefer to see the two party system stay in place with more left dems? i think i am leaning towards a 3/4 party system, if i could choose
bravenak
(34,648 posts)tammywammy
(26,582 posts)In the caucuses and primaries. They won't subvert the will of the voters.
bravenak
(34,648 posts)Gothmog
(145,321 posts)bravenak
(34,648 posts)99Forever
(14,524 posts)Can't be fucking up the Coronation with actual voting by the prols.
bravenak
(34,648 posts)99Forever
(14,524 posts)....fucking deep.
bravenak
(34,648 posts)valerief
(53,235 posts)aidbo
(2,328 posts)True, Bernie Sanders might win. Hillary could fall ill. She could find herself embroiled in a scandal; she is a Clinton, after all. But why should Sanders, or any other party outsider, begin his fight for the nomination 359 delegates in the hole?
Democrats like to say theyre the party of the people.
Maybe they should let the people choose their president. Crazy, I know.
I tend to feel the same as those lines I bolded.
It is dis-heartening to see people speak of someone winning the nomination before even one ballot has been cast. Even more so when people speak of the nomination being over after only hearing from just a few states who do not necessarily represent the nation as a whole. Some say the nomination will be locked in by March, I don't even get to vote until May.