2016 Postmortem

riversedge

(70,242 posts) Mon Nov 23, 2015, 02:41 PM Nov 2015

Democratic Race Heats Up As Bernie Sanders LOSES 9 Points To Hillary Clinton in NH

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7. Nov 23 CBS/YouGov Poll: IA: Clinton 50 +4, Sanders 44; NH: C 52 +13, S 45; SC: C 72, S 25

I am comparing this poll with the last poll (apples to apples)
Clinton is gaining in all 3 polls, Sanders losing in 2 polls and unchanged in SC; Most dramatic change is in NH

This is the last CBS/YouGov Poll from IOWA:

So Clinton is +4 & Sanders -1, O'M is unchanged

CBS/YouGov 10/15 - 10/22 554 LV 6.9 C 46 S 43 O'M 3 Clinton +3

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ia/iowa_democratic_presidential_caucus-3195.html#polls

.................
This is the Last CBS/YouGov Poll from New Hampshire:

Clinton is +13, Sanders -9, O'M

CBS/YouGov 10/15 - 10/22 499 LV 7.1 39 54 3 Sanders +15

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nh/new_hampshire_democratic_presidential_primary-3351.html#polls

...........................
This is the Last CBS/YouGov Poll from SC:

Clinton is +4, Sanders is Unchanged, O'M +1

CBS News/YouGov 10/15 - 10/22 427 LV 8.2 68 25 1 Clinton +43

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/sc/south_carolina_democratic_presidential_primary-4167.html#polls

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/clinton-extends-iowa-lead-amid-strong-ratings-on-commander-in-chief/

By Anthony Salvanto CBS News Election And Survey Unit November 23, 2015, 7:00 AM

Hillary Clinton extends Iowa lead, narrows Sanders' lead in NH

Last Updated Nov 23, 2015 10:11 AM EST

Hillary Clinton maintains her edge over Bernie Sanders in Iowa, and continues to cut into Sanders' lead in New Hampshire. With a seven point-margin, Sanders' lead is half of what it was last month.

As she has since September, Clinton holds a large lead in South Carolina.

In New Hampshire, support for Clinton has increased among seniors and she now has the edge over Sanders among this group. Sanders retains his support among younger voters. ..........................

6 replies

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Highlight:

Democratic Race Heats Up As Bernie Sanders LOSES 9 Points To Hillary Clinton in NH (Original Post) riversedge Nov 2015 OP

Bernie's window of opportunity is closing more and more every day. NurseJackie Nov 2015 #1

Wow. JaneyVee Nov 2015 #2

Bernie not surging? MaggieD Nov 2015 #3

I would. NurseJackie Nov 2015 #6

With Sanders up 7% in New Hampshire and down only 6% in Iowa, here's a look at the last 30 days of Attorney in Texas Nov 2015 #4

So even after the Benghazi hearings and Biden's announcement, Sanders is still ahead of Clinton? Attorney in Texas Nov 2015 #5

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)

1. Bernie's window of opportunity is closing more and more every day.

Reply to riversedge (Original post)

Mon Nov 23, 2015, 04:55 PM

Nov 2015

JaneyVee

(19,877 posts)

2. Wow.

Reply to riversedge (Original post)

Mon Nov 23, 2015, 05:02 PM

Nov 2015

MaggieD

(7,393 posts)

3. Bernie not surging?

Reply to riversedge (Original post)

Mon Nov 23, 2015, 05:08 PM

Nov 2015

Who woulda thunk it?

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)

6. I would.

Reply to MaggieD (Reply #3)

Mon Nov 23, 2015, 06:30 PM

Nov 2015

I don't like him at all. Early on I was in the either-or camp. I ended up choosing Hilary, because I thought she'd have a better chance in the general election. But the more I listened, and the more I read, not just to his supporters but to Bernie himself, the more I began to truly dislike him.

Almost everything about him grates on my nerves. I don't find him to be endearing, or charming, just gruff, abrupt, abrasive and annoying. Except for the angry voters who are already in Bernie's camp, it's difficult for me to imagine how any of the rest of the voters would find him to be an appealing candidate. To me he seems to be very one dimensional, and not ready for everything that the presidency requires.

Attorney in Texas

(3,373 posts)

4. With Sanders up 7% in New Hampshire and down only 6% in Iowa, here's a look at the last 30 days of

Reply to riversedge (Original post)

Mon Nov 23, 2015, 05:08 PM

Nov 2015

polls of likely voters (including both live phone polls and internet polls) in Iowa and New Hampshire:

You would have thought all that PAC money and endorsements would have had more of an impact. Go figure.

Attorney in Texas

(3,373 posts)

5. So even after the Benghazi hearings and Biden's announcement, Sanders is still ahead of Clinton?

Reply to riversedge (Original post)

Mon Nov 23, 2015, 05:15 PM

Nov 2015

I would have thought the attempt to compare pre-Benghazi polling to post-Benghazi polling would have given Clinton a bigger bump. Hmmm ...

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