Can't wait for the rest of the splain. As things stand right now, based on my highly accurate Town Dump Bumper Survey, my state will go Sanders and Trump and neither race will be close.

By the way Vermont used to be much closer to Pennsylvania, just ask Ben Carson.

but keep up that memo.

this is good news.a lead cut to 2% isn't much of lead anymore than fox's 1% lead for bernie.

PPP methodology is bias towards Clinton.

with all the clinton supporters on my ignore list i knew nothing on new NH poll.

unless it shows Bernie ahead...gotcha.

It's possible for a candidate to be ahead and a poll to bias against them by reducing how far ahead they actually are. That's still a bias.


I generally don't assume bias when polls are proven wrong (that implies something willful), I just assume they have poor sampling.

The one that had Clinton at +21.

That was one giant blinking outlier from a piss poor company. I think the consensus has been for awhile that NH is a true toss up.

It's going to be within 5,000 votes is my guess. All about GOTV.

She's DOOOOOOOOOOOOMED!

And we are just over 8 weeks until voting begins.

actually casting votes it seems that momentum is not actually her strong suit.

....what the polls would show if that sorry excuse for a leader DWS actually let the people see the candidates in more debates and not on Saturday. Surprised the few left haven't been moved to Christmas morning, New Years Eve at midnight and the rest at 4 A.M.!

delegate allocation.

that only one candidate is General Election eligible and does not suffer a huge trust deficit with the American people.

political agenda quite hidden at the moment.

The closer we get to people casting real votes, the higher Bernie's polling will be, Hillary supporters will squeal but where the rubber meets the road after he is the nominee we will heal and move forward and press serious momentum for the next President of the U.S. Bernie Sanders.

simply because the GOP race is pretty competitive which means no republicans can afford to show up at their open primary. Meanwhile liberal independents will be really motivated.

in her ability or desire to present herself or leadership agenda. What is left is a mix of familiarity and momentum and lots of money that may well indeed power her over to a state of winner's enthusiasm and at least acceptance.

But peaked she has if you are thinking only about the existential candidate presentation. It is Sanders who has lots of room energy and newness to slog through to actual votes for change. But no money, no insider support to match. So we'll see if the outsider can beat the past primary loser. Not many
past losers have succeeded in gaining the presidency. Nixon comes to mind, but he's a Republican.

The argument that Bernie has a worse chance in the general election is false.

Therefore, many who currently support Clinton, but for whom Bernie represents their values more so than Hillary, have realized they can support Bernie in the primary without feeling like they are endangering the party and risking the White House.

Even if Clinton wins, a person who votes for Bernie in the primary can still vote for Clinton in the general election. If Sanders wins the primary, we'll have a good President at a time when the country desperately needs a good President.

We might even have a great President.

Either way: Clinton's campaign already admitted the primaries could last beyond March. Sanders is becoming very. veru viable as a candidate for the Democratic Party (all of it, not just the Third Way and the 1 %).

And that bump is normalizing itself out of the polls. Totally expected.