2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumPoll: Clinton expands favorability lead over Sanders
Less than two months ahead of the first contests in the Democratic presidential primary, Hillary Clinton's net favorable rating among Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents has risen even higher when compared to that of her closest rival in Bernie Sanders.
According to the results of Gallup's U.S. Daily survey conducted in November and released Friday, the former secretary of state's net favorable rating is 21 points higher than the Vermont senator's, an increase of 8 points from late September and early October.
More than three-in-four Democrats and leaners surveyed 76 percent said they had a favorable opinion of Clinton, while 18 percent said they did not, for a positive rating of +58 points. In the last survey, Clinton had a net favorability rating of +51 points, with 73 percent to 22 percent seeing her in a positive light.
In the case of Sanders, 51 percent gave him favorable marks, while 14 percent said they had an unfavorable view of him. Taken together, a slight increase in Clinton's favorability rating and a slight decrease in Sanders' resulted in the overall favorability disparity between the two candidates, who along with Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley, will next debate on Dec. 19 in Manchester, New Hampshire.
Clinton's favorability numbers increased along all gender and generational groups over the last month, while Sanders suffered declines among every group except among women (a 1-point uptick) and those aged 18 to 29 (a 7-point jump). Sanders' sole demographic advantage over Clinton in the poll comes from the 18-to-29 group, with 50 percent having a favorable opinion of him and just 39 percent having a favorable opinion of Clinton.
Results from the poll came from interviews conducted as part of Gallup's U.S. Daily survey from Nov. 1-30, randomly sampling 1,628 adults identifying as Democrats or Democratic-leaning independents who rated Clinton and 1,592 Democrats or Democratic-leaning independents who rated Sanders. For both samples, the margin of error is plus or minus 4 percentage points.
Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2015/12/poll-democrats-2016-hillary-clinton-216422#ixzz3tP4OwEvd
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)leftofcool
(19,460 posts)SunSeeker
(51,557 posts)Starry Messenger
(32,342 posts)demwing
(16,916 posts)you would think that a wife, mom, grandma, women+kids advocate, FLOTUS, Senator, SecState, hair icon, pantsuit aficionado & 2016 presidential candidate would have doubled that number against an ancient, cranky, wild-haired socialist like Bernie .
Seriously, what's her excuse?
MrWendel
(1,881 posts)a mile. A win (will be) a win.
Beacool
(30,247 posts)Agnosticsherbet
(11,619 posts)Why do people in the media and elsewhere keep telling me I am supposed to dislike her?
Mysteries, they are everywhere.
Cha
(297,240 posts)jfern
(5,204 posts)You don't win elections with a -7 net favorable.
win elections when your 30 points down consistently either.
jfern
(5,204 posts)MrWendel
(1,881 posts)60-30.
reddread
(6,896 posts)the smoke and mirrors of the paid for polling process are meant for suckers and snake oil merchants.
MrWendel
(1,881 posts)is paid for or factual?
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)Looking at his poll numbers, even the ones in his "back yard" state that should have been a cake-walk for him, it's very understandable why their hysteria has been amped-up recently.
Every new post about yet another national union endorsement is a thorn in their side. I can definitely understand how frustrated they must be when they realize how HOPELESS it is for Bernie. Little wonder they keep clinging to the "2008" scenario (as if Bernie were Obama, and as if O'Malley were Edwards).
Hillary is a much stronger candidate than before. Better prepared and much more experience. Bernie is a one-trick-pony, gruff and angry, abrupt and finger-wagging, and definitely lacking the breadth and depth of experience that's actually needed for the job.
The polling and trends have leveled out, and Bernie's just not going to be able to bring things up in numbers sufficient to secure the nomination.
He'll put on a good show and hang on as long as he can (despite the unlikelihood and the dismal numbers) and he'll survive Super Tuesday. But, this will be OVER before the end of March.