2016 Postmortem

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts) Tue Dec 15, 2015, 12:15 PM Dec 2015

Brand Spanking New PPP (D) Iowa Poll-HRC 52% SBS 34% MOM 7%

On the Democratic side Hillary Clinton continues to be the clear favorite in Iowa. She’s at 52% to 34% for Bernie Sanders and 7% for Martin O’Malley. Sanders leads 47/40 with younger voters, but that’s not enough to make up for Clinton holding a 64/20 advantage with seniors. She leads by pretty similar margins of 19 points with liberals at 56/37 and 22 points with moderates at 52/30. And she also has comparable leads with both women (21 points at 55/34) and men (15 points at 49/34). Clinton’s favorability rating is 73/19 while Sanders’ comes in at 65/23.

http://tinyurl.com/zjuvs9u

24 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Brand Spanking New PPP (D) Iowa Poll-HRC 52% SBS 34% MOM 7% (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2015 OP

Wow! n/t livetohike Dec 2015 #1

Message auto-removed Name removed Dec 2015 #2

But polls don't vote so... randome Dec 2015 #3

I enjoy them because they're a good indicator of what people are thinking and how they're likely... NurseJackie Dec 2015 #10

Those are some very impressive numbers. NurseJackie Dec 2015 #4

An AP poll finds she tops ALL candidates in favorability Rose Siding Dec 2015 #18

It's wrong. Bought by the 1%ers. Corporatist lies. Third Way nonsense. Neo-liberalism claptrap. Buzz Clik Dec 2015 #5

Yes you forgot the Turd Way upaloopa Dec 2015 #7

...and "secret voters" brooklynite Dec 2015 #13

Here, I'll help you out... Bubzer Dec 2015 #24

Landlines/Cell phones. NurseJackie Dec 2015 #11

PPP is a IVR/internet (scientific) poll DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2015 #15

Perhaps ... NurseJackie Dec 2015 #16

Good catch. Thanks. Buzz Clik Dec 2015 #22

Seems to me voters are getting Bernie fatigue. upaloopa Dec 2015 #6

He has a provincial world view and is campaigning for a job that require a universal one. DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2015 #8

People are so unfair cosmicone Dec 2015 #12

Mo-mentum baby!! Go Hillary!!! n/t cosmicone Dec 2015 #9

No-mentum for _________ DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2015 #17

K & R Iliyah Dec 2015 #14

K & R SunSeeker Dec 2015 #19

48 days to go workinclasszero Dec 2015 #20

Yes!!! Laser102 Dec 2015 #21

But but but . .. Gamecock Lefty Dec 2015 #23

livetohike

(22,145 posts)

1. Wow! n/t

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Tue Dec 15, 2015, 12:18 PM

Dec 2015

Response to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Name removed Message auto-removed

randome

(34,845 posts)

3. But polls don't vote so...

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Tue Dec 15, 2015, 12:20 PM

Dec 2015

[hr][font color="blue"][center]Treat your body like a machine. Your mind like a castle.[/center][/font][hr]

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)

10. I enjoy them because they're a good indicator of what people are thinking and how they're likely...

Reply to randome (Reply #3)

Tue Dec 15, 2015, 12:26 PM

Dec 2015

... to vote. Based on what we're seeing at this stage, things aren't looking too peachy for Bernie. He's even struggling to hang on in places like NH, and that's not a good sign at all.

Individual polls are fun. Outliers are exciting (or disappointing) depending on who the results favor. I think that's why I value seeing the results of the overall trends and averages of multiple polls over a period of time.

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)

4. Those are some very impressive numbers.

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Tue Dec 15, 2015, 12:21 PM

Dec 2015

Clinton’s favorability rating is 73/19 while Sanders’ comes in at 65/23.

Rose Siding

(32,623 posts)

18. An AP poll finds she tops ALL candidates in favorability

Reply to NurseJackie (Reply #4)

Tue Dec 15, 2015, 12:40 PM

Dec 2015

This poll includes everyone-

AP-GfK poll: Hillary tops all candidates on favorability

ap-gfkpoll.com/main/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/AP-GfK_Poll_December-2015-Final-topline_GOP.pdf

She tops them all, Dem and Repub -by a lot! And she does 6 pts better than the last time they polled. It's online -not a phone poll, but not one of the clicky game ones either. There's some analysis at this kos link-

www.dailykos.com/stories/2015/12/12/1459566/-AP-GfK-poll-Hillary-tops-all-candidates-on-favorability

Buzz Clik

(38,437 posts)

5. It's wrong. Bought by the 1%ers. Corporatist lies. Third Way nonsense. Neo-liberalism claptrap.

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Tue Dec 15, 2015, 12:21 PM

Dec 2015

Did I forget anything?

btw -- Speak Truth to Power!

upaloopa

(11,417 posts)

7. Yes you forgot the Turd Way

Reply to Buzz Clik (Reply #5)

Tue Dec 15, 2015, 12:24 PM

Dec 2015

brooklynite

(94,591 posts)

13. ...and "secret voters"

Reply to upaloopa (Reply #7)

Tue Dec 15, 2015, 12:28 PM

Dec 2015

Bubzer

(4,211 posts)

24. Here, I'll help you out...

Reply to upaloopa (Reply #7)

Tue Dec 15, 2015, 03:15 PM

Dec 2015

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)

11. Landlines/Cell phones.

Reply to Buzz Clik (Reply #5)

Tue Dec 15, 2015, 12:27 PM

Dec 2015

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)

15. PPP is a IVR/internet (scientific) poll

Reply to NurseJackie (Reply #11)

Tue Dec 15, 2015, 12:31 PM

Dec 2015

But they are highly regarded and their poll is within the average:

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-iowa-presidential-democratic-primary

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)

16. Perhaps ...

Reply to Buzz Clik (Reply #5)

Tue Dec 15, 2015, 12:33 PM

Dec 2015

Oligarchy!

Buzz Clik

(38,437 posts)

22. Good catch. Thanks.

Reply to NurseJackie (Reply #16)

Tue Dec 15, 2015, 01:16 PM

Dec 2015

upaloopa

(11,417 posts)

6. Seems to me voters are getting Bernie fatigue.

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Tue Dec 15, 2015, 12:23 PM

Dec 2015

His talking points campaign doesn't sell to people who want to know how to get it done.

He sells well to those who think they can benefit from his socialist programs but that is a small amount of voters.

The Democratic Party is diverse. Bernie speaks to the left wing and he makes no effort to court the whole party.