The effect that victories there would have is staggering.

this poster just laid out why that is a ridiculous statement! Even IF he were to win BOTH elections......and that is one humongous IF.....it still is a long way to winning HUNDREDS of Delegates over....

this is why SHE has 94% odds of winning the Primary...

Good Luck!

If he wins Iowa and New Hampshire then the two remaining roadblocks in his route to the nomination are removed. Firstly name recognition: the press attention from winning those two states puts him front page everywhere. The media have never been able to resist an outsider winning Iowa, and that's a huge positive press boost. Secondly, the aura of inevitability around Clinton is destroyed. The voting public don't think about the demographic makeup of the states, they just see this guy winning. Once people see it as a real choice between the candidates, the race is basically done, because Hillary doesn't have the strength of policy or the enthusiasm that Bernie does.

She'll still win SC, but the momentum from those early victories is enough to propel him to victory in the later states.

back to back wins in Iowa and NH will radically alter the national polls in either direction.

People are barely paying attention in the other states.

...perhaps Bernie should try some more?

The next 1 is on a MLK weekend. That's a total of 4 debates before the 1st primaries. We had that many debates by mid July in 2007.

Perhaps DWS should have quit doing Hillary favors by burying the few debates we are going to have on weak viewing days. Anyone with half a brain can tell that these dates were picked to minimize the number of viewers. We'll be lucky to get 5 million viewers for this next one.

What a joke. Excessive debates....

Seems just the opposite.

Hillary's numbers are bigger than Bernie's numbers and therfore draw the simplistic conclusion that Hillary is ahead.

of air time....

So he has a chance there.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/wi/wisconsin_democratic_presidential_primary-3764.html

Along with the National race and an odd SC poll thrown in here and there

So please don't pretend otherwise. You know perfectly well an Iowa victory followed by a NH victory would provide an ENORMOUS boost and huge momentum. You're not talking to a bunch of idiots.

...Winning IA and NH won't abruptly shift Clinton's 40% lead in South Carolina; he'll have about two weeks, and his infrastructure and message will need to already be in place. He's shown no great resonance in SC or any of the southern States that Obama took in 2007. If Clinton racks those up (Super Tuesday is about four days after SC), losing NH and IA will be seen as a hiccup.