And then talk about how Obama is slipping with Southern white males between 55-57 named Steven.

where'd da horsey race go?

My masters will not be pleased.

Trying so hard to grow a chin.

Yeah, him and Mitch McTurtle.

No, you should not know of him . . . he is a pus-bucket.

....he's the chubby goateed goof on MSNBC who's usually got a sour puss for having to hang out with a bunch of liberals.

there are tricks being pulled as we speak and we need congress or it'll be the same obstructionist crap

Americans like a winner and a good number of people will flock to Obama if it is inevitable, because if one thinks it close, they may think Mitt got a chance. If they know Obama will win, they won't waste their vote on a losing Mitt. Thereby getting us more coattails and the house and senate


and Mitt won't steal states, because the people that steal elections are not running this time, but waiting for 2016.

I remember how many people got lazy in 2010, they need prodding, lots of lower ballot issues too

It affects campaign donations, too. At some point, the Koch brothers will say, "This Romney guy is a waste of money." Well, maybe not the Kochs. They're nuts and too rich to notice the waste of a couple hundred million.

one day Fox won't be Fox when Murdoch retires, as his heirs and stockholders will demand real profits be made, not a vanity production

the Koch brothers are the same, eventually enough will be enough and they will focus on 2014

in the end, these a hole billionaires need a return of their investment, it is all about the money after all

Did you see electoral-vote.com today
Rmoney down to 191 and Obama is up to 347 (that means 77 above the 270 needed)

I check out http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/ and http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html and http://www.270towin.com/
from time to time. http://electoral-vote.com/ is new to me.

the person behind the site is I think a professor living overseas who has done this the last 2 elections (2004 and 2008), at his own expense and his combining polls has been the single most correct of any of them.

What I really like now is how just recently electoral-vote.com started a rasmussen free look, which shows bad outliers from rasmussen(which skewers and is owned by a guy who works for Fox now).

(there is a link on the left showing that.)

And I like his commentary. He normally is not active in between auctions

my guess is that tomorrow/Monday we cross the 80% line.

...which, I'd argue, is potentially the more significant number.

It doesn't project into the future and account for possible changes.

Obama's Nowcast numbers would probably be even higher if we had more post-convention polling available.

could soon be pulling money away from Romney and concentrating more on the Senate and House races?..Winning the House back is not unreasonable thinking???
If you look at the electoral map Rmoney would have to sweep 8 toss up states to win assuming that Obama does not win VA. or Florida. 80%? I think that would be pretty accurate.

public support for liberal ideas, a swing to the left for the country, pissed off racist and homophobes.

Barack Obama to be re-elected President in 2012
Event: 2012 Presidential Election Winner (Individual)

* 57.0%

Mitt Romney to be elected President in 2012
Event: 2012 Presidential Election Winner (Individual)

* 42.9%

I feel confident President Obama will be re-elected, but we need people to vote for the Democratic ticket all the way.

I don't know about all the way. In WV we have Democrats that have sided against the President on many issues. I may just vote for him and leave the rest of the ballot blank. Our politicians are turning the state against Obama. Our political system in this state has always been ify. I know that we need Dems in office to help our President but, all Dems don't help him. Some oppose him. Remember the Blue Dogs of healthcare? It saddens me to have to say this.

Don't just think of what a yahoo you've got running as a Dem in your district... remember committee chairs will go to the party with the most members. In the words of a local Dem I used to know, "He may be a butt, be he's our butt."

Time for a sweep! Down ticket neocons will have to go in order for the economy to recover. They spend too much time and money on non-issues!

Don't believe this until the day comes when we can all celebrate. My grandmother used to say; "Don't count your chickens until they hatch". We will march to victory singing "Glory, glory, alleluia"!!!!!

and down even more after the Democratic Convention. They have Obama with a 58.2% chance to win right now.

If he ever went to 100% vs. 0%, then you could call him wrong. Giving an outcome as 80% probable means he still predicted either outcome COULD happen. How can you tell if he got the probabilities wrong when we end up with only one outcome? You'd have to compare the outcomes in 1,000 parallel universes.

but I believe the secret to this election is to publicize the Gary Johnson campaign. If he steals even 2% of votes from Romney, then we should lock up a lot of key states. No liberal would vote for him I'm sure, but a lot of the unsure conservatives may see him as a welcome change.

Use of the expression "steal" to the Republicans.

Third party candidates don't "Steal" votes. And the way the voting machinery is configured, the Dems won't be stealing votes either.

Better to say, that Johnson will capture votes from Romney than use the term the Republicans like to stick on Dems and others in terms of "stealing" the elections.

We still have to get folks to the polls on Election day, to make SURE Obama wins.

Voters - and that group is the least likely to show up on election day.

One way around this is to foster full "early voting mail in ballots" among all age groups in whatever area where you live.

Just have to get them out to the polls.
I don't like vote by mail. There seems to be too many ways that the ballots could be filled out by someone other than the voter.

I'm doing voter registration every Saturday. I plan to work my ass off to GOTV in Oct and Nov.

Republicans still control the House after the election I wouldnt put it past them to be vindictive and make a 2nd term for Obama even worse than they have done to him in his first even if it means hurting innocent people.

318.8 Electoral vote

That's a jump from this past weekend. Lots of great data over there, too.
http://electoral-vote.com/

This tends to happen when the other candidate hides all his views