2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHot off the press Emerson University Nat'l Poll- HRC-65% SBS 26% MOM 2%_HRC-Best on foreign policy
new poll six weeks out from the
Iowa Caucus identifies terrorism as
the most important issue at 22% and
that Secretary of State Hillary Clinton
is seen as the best qualified
presidential candidate to handle US
Foreign Policy at 34% as compared
to 19% favoring Republican Businessman
Donald Trump. Clinton is
identified as the best candidate to
keep voters safe at 30%, with Trump in second place at 22%.
http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_b85d13974aeb4901bd68916b963cea3c.pdf
Blue_Adept
(6,402 posts)[img][/img]
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)MoonRiver
(36,926 posts)Very impressive numbers!
riversedge
(70,299 posts)Hillary for Iowa Retweeted
Iowa Starting Line ?@IAStartingLine Dec 19
I mean, the Hillary campaign has already shown their allegiance to Star Wars light sabers #MayTheForceBeWithYou
ismnotwasm
(42,008 posts)riversedge
(70,299 posts)3 Dems spoke--each part of audience had their supporters and Hillary's group showed up with the blue lights.
Alfresco
(1,698 posts)Happy Holidays
Mass
(27,315 posts)K & R for the thread!
randys1
(16,286 posts)House and Senate members as well as TENS of MILLIONS of Americans became mobilized and organized and wanted to make one point and one point ONLY
A Black man as president, let alone a Democrat with the name Barack Hussein Obama is simply not acceptable.
That if destroying America is what they need to do to destroy him, so be it.
This now carries over to Hillary.
Now, it remains to be seen how they feel about Bernie but regardless of which candidate we pick, they are gonna work to destroy them.
They dont share well, those rightys.
SunSeeker
(51,698 posts)ismnotwasm
(42,008 posts)[URL=.html][IMG][/IMG][/URL]
Persondem
(1,936 posts)ismnotwasm
(42,008 posts)So stealing that!
Alfresco
(1,698 posts)NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)Alfresco
(1,698 posts)Persondem
(1,936 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)MoonRiver
(36,926 posts)I hadn't seen it before.
Mass
(27,315 posts)trust on security.
It is extremely frightening and we should be VERY concerned. That Trump gets 22 % of people thinking he is the best to keep us safe and that n3 is Cruz and then Rubio is very frightening for what it tells us for the general election.
NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)riversedge
(70,299 posts)rollin rollin......
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)Click bait polls DSB!
Go Hillary!
coyote
(1,561 posts)65% of the poll participants are over 50 years old. This does not even come close to past presidential election demographics.
upaloopa
(11,417 posts)JonLeibowitz
(6,282 posts)This poll has 42.6% of poll respondents over the age of 65. Do you expect that number to be close to primary participation rates?
upaloopa
(11,417 posts)There is a population of which a random selection is made meaning everyone in the population has the same chance of being selected.
Within a sampling error what is true about the sample is true about the population.
It is a snapshot in time of how people feel when asked.
The population was probably "voters" that means anyone of any age could be selected.
JonLeibowitz
(6,282 posts)If the random selection is made and doesn't represent the voter turnout demographics, then doesn't the poll necessarily have a tracking error to "reality" to whatever extent the poll skews from demographic reality?
All that is a way of saying, yes, perhaps they randomly called people and this is the demographic breakdown they achieved, but 42.6% is almost certainly not going to be the number that turn up at the polls. Right?
At least, that isn't what happened in 2012 and 2008.
edit: The point of my post is that voters younger than 65 have markedly different preferences in the primary.
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)Thats the age group that actually get off the couch and goes to vote in the REAL election!
JonLeibowitz
(6,282 posts)From my generation to yours, you are very welcome. We got off the couch and voted, enough to elect Obama.
coyote
(1,561 posts)Obama and not Hillary.
JonLeibowitz
(6,282 posts)workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)mom at 2? what the hell?
Forrage
(15 posts)Because Sanders may gain momentum nationally if he continues to get closer and closer in Iowa.
Remember, Sanders will no lose NH. so Iowa would almost certainly give him the first two states.