2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumI went and saw the movie "The Big Short"
It was about the economic collapse of 2007/2008.
Guess what? No mention of Glass Steagall.
But there was much mention of was how mortgage securities were corrupted. And some people saw that many mortgage securities in all rating categories in the CDO's were subprime.
Investors actually came up with a new investment (credit default swaps on morgtage securities) and presented to the banks a new instrument credit default swaps on these collateralized debt obligations (it had not existed in this fashion prior to the crash) . In other words they would place a bet on the failure of these CDO's. Not only was one bet placed on this hoped for failure, but people were able to bet on the bets on the bets of these failures, exponentially creating a negative cash flow problem for insurance companies who the banks used to cover these lost bets (failures).
The banks and mortgage companies were corrupt in giving mortgages to people who could not afford them, no interest loans, high variable rates after a certain amount of years and balloon payments. All to make a quick buck. And that wasn't enabled because there was no Glass Steagall. It was greed.
The rating companies of these securities were also negligent and corrupt. Because they just gave these securities (which had historically been very stable) high ratings. If they didn't the banks would just go to their competitor for a better rating. And that didn't happen because of Glass Steagall, that happened out of pure greed.
I've known about this since the crash. I think some people need to really get into the weeds and try to understand this.
RiverLover
(7,830 posts)need to understand this....
Btw, did the movie mention how Bill Clinton & his rethug buddies created the housing bubble? I heard the govt's role was left out & the focus was solely on Wall Street. But I guess the 2 are the same now, so same difference.
boston bean
(36,221 posts)It was all put out there.
They talked a lot about Greenspan.
RiverLover
(7,830 posts)I can't wait to see it.
Thanks~
Armstead
(47,803 posts)fredamae
(4,458 posts)I disagree that the absence of GS in a Hollywood movie is credible evidence that repealing Glass-Steagall did Not have great influence upon the 2007/2008 crash. I agree it may not have been a Singular cause...and I agree Greed is and always has been the driver..but certainly not cause. Cause was created by the slow and ever expanding chipping away at our protections via de-regulation - including the repeal of GS..
imo
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2011/06/28/989196/-The-Death-of-Glass-Steagall-and-the-Crash-of-2008
http://www.americanbanker.com/175/greenspan-urges-glass-steagall-repeal-1044317-1.html?zkPrintable=1&nopagination=1
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/09/17/janet-yellen-glass-steagall_n_3940730.html
mmonk
(52,589 posts)was designed to prevent through separation of investment banks, commercial banks, and insurance (betting against securities one does not own through insurance giant AIG).
boston bean
(36,221 posts)They were investment banks not commercial banks that were trading in credit default swaps.
The mortgage companies and banks that made bad loans would not have been prevented under Glass Steagall
AIG was an insurance company, their actions would not have been prevented under Glass Steagall.
Banks have always pooled mortgage backed securities and have sold them. Glass Steagall would not have prevented that.
mmonk
(52,589 posts)and in many cases, were encouraged to write more loans, especially ones that are subsidiaries of the investment banks. That put bank depositor money at risk as well as leaving the public on the hook. The commercial banks sold the notes on the secondary market where they combined with other loans through commercial banks creating the derivatives known as CDOs.
boston bean
(36,221 posts)There was a thing called TARP. I remember it, don't you?
It was a hail mary to save us all from a complete and utter collapse that would have been much worse than it was, and much more difficult to recover from.
boston bean
(36,221 posts)A stable one, until the banks started making bad loans.
Glass Steagall would not have prevented banks from selling mortgage securities and other instruments related to mortgages.
mmonk
(52,589 posts)(as in real estate) but packaged loans with non-real estate debt.
nc4bo
(17,651 posts)That not only should Glass Steagall be reinstated but GS should be modernized to incorporate modern financial schemes.
HRH & her supporters act as if the other two Democratic candidates simply want the old version reinstated, end. stop.
I find the omission of honesty to be....a lie in this case.
Let's create/introduce layers of protections that DO NOT privatize profits for the 1% ers and socialize the risk among the 99%.
Let's just put a stop to all that over the top, free range and predatory capitalism of the 1% minority.
JonLeibowitz
(6,282 posts)el_bryanto
(11,804 posts)It's just a starting point. Lewis is a populist - if you want to understand the role that the shenanigans around Glass Steagall played, along with the Clinton Presidency, I'd suggest "All the Devils are Here" by Bethany McLean and Joe Nocera. Much more complete overview on what could have been done and what should have been done to nip these problems in the bud.
That said you are completely correct about the negligence and corruption inherent in the rating services. That's just not the whole story.
Bryant
Armstead
(47,803 posts)Whether or not Glass Stegal would have prevented that specific scenerio, it is very depressing to see supposed liberals opposing a different regulation that is still important.
boston bean
(36,221 posts)GLASS STEAGALL.
I think it much more liberal to look for the real causes and focus on those, versus a simplistic one liner, that isn't the truth.
el_bryanto
(11,804 posts)was one of the "real causes." They created an environment where the corruption of various wall street firms could flourish. And Clinton, Sanders and O'Malley aren't running for the President of Goldman Sachs - they are running for the President of the United States; their attitudes towards regulation are an important part of understanding who should be selected.
Bryant
Armstead
(47,803 posts)Of the bigger forest for the trees.
The whole system has gotten too concentrated and deregulated and monopolistic on all levels. We have allowed a handful of institutions to become too big and immoral, while allowing the middle to disappear and get swallowed up.
That's what we have to go after, and GS (or an updated equivalent) is a symbol of one of the steps that should be taken to go after that bigger pucture.
Mnpaul
(3,655 posts)passed shortly after Gramm Leach Bliley. Without the Commodity Futures Modernization Act of 2000, what they did on Wall St. would have been illegal under NY gambling laws.
PowerToThePeople
(9,610 posts)Hollywood is not reality.
Honestly, the propaganda movies seem to come out every election.
el_bryanto
(11,804 posts)I read the book (which was good, but limited) and it didn't seem like propaganda to me.
Bryant
PowerToThePeople
(9,610 posts)Is always propaganda, as it never can tell the whole story and generally only tells parts. Some are better than others at depicting events truthfully, some are only made for entertainment.
People see these movies and use them to judge the real life events the movies were based on.
The movies appear to me to come out more often during election cycles.
Seems like a form of propaganda to me.
el_bryanto
(11,804 posts)Propaganda implies a willful desire to deceive or to shape public opinion. "information, especially of a biased or misleading nature, used to promote or publicize a particular political cause or point of view." is how google puts it.
While it is true (as I've stated above) that the Big Short (film) is unlikely to be a complete explanation of the 2008 financial meltdown, that doesn't mean it can't have value as a starting point. Even if the movie is all some people bother seeing, it at least exposes the lie that the 2008 meltdown was caused by poor people taking out loans they shouldn't have (which is the popular conservative argument as to why 2008 happened).
And the idea that a movie based on real life events is always propaganda suggests that movies should not take on real or historical stories. That's nonsense; many good and even great movies have been made based on historical or real life events.
Bryant
Bluenorthwest
(45,319 posts)So by your reasoning, it's propaganda. I suggest your theory is not fully explored.
JonLeibowitz
(6,282 posts)Indeed the only difference i picked up on was the nature of Eisman's (named Baum in the film) personal tragedy. Oh and the names were changed.
If you want to call it propaganda, can you kindly point out what was inaccurate or misleading?
PowerToThePeople
(9,610 posts)My talk is of the more general type, of media creating the naratives of the country.
Schema Thing
(10,283 posts)Schema Thing
(10,283 posts)but if not, definitely directly referenced without using the words "Glass Steagall"
ismnotwasm
(41,984 posts)From people who actually understand the history of it. Somehow "reinstate Glass Steagall" become a bitter cry, and is never a nuanced discussion because so many don't understand it whatsoever It's on very generic "to do" list of certain progressive thought
It's highly debatable from what I've read, that it would/wouldn't have prevented the crash--the repeal certainly contributed to the bubble crash, with individual greed being the main issue there as well. The better question being would a modernized version prevent future ones, or does a better regulation/reformation legislation need to be written.
Glass Steagall when it was in place was also interpreted for and in use for banking corruption. It didn't magically prevent it. So, yes greed is the one factor that cannot be denied. Wall Street and banking are intricately tied together and very much need good legislation. People refer to "Wall Street" as a monolith, and I suppose it is, but a monolith made of millions of global individual acts. Are people attracted to finance inherently greedy? We certainly need strong regulatory oversight over all areas of finance Or do they simply like numbers? Is it the systems themselves inherently corrupt?
Is Glass Steagall the right legislation? Or more modern plans that take into account current financing the answer? I think the latter myself.
I certainly care and think about these things. I have a retirement fund. I shop for groceries. Like most people, I am investing from a distance all the time.
I think I'll find a good book on it, if I can find a reasonable one. Sadly, I won't find a good discussion here I think.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)JonLeibowitz
(6,282 posts)The real cause must be traced back to concerns about the deregulation that led to pervase incentives, lack of SEC oversight, and regulatory failings.
ismnotwasm
(41,984 posts)Good ratings mixed in with bad ratings ended up hiding the crap loans.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)EOM
el_bryanto
(11,804 posts)I also like Chasing Goldman Sachs by Suzanne McGee, which goes a bit more into the mentality of the Wall Street Trader and why regulations need to be put in place to ensure they don't act destructively.
Bryant
ismnotwasm
(41,984 posts)I've had "Chasing Goldman Sachs" on my reading list for some time--I'll up my timetable
Squinch
(50,950 posts)good summary about what happened. Too Big to Fail was a time investment, but it was also good.
I'm looking forward to seeing the movie. I am so fascinated by this crash, I read everything I can get my hands on about it. Partly, because it is so unbelievable what people do, and so unbelievable how our financial system works. My conclusion is that very few people understand what happened and the factors that caused it are still all in place to cause another one.
I think Glass Steagall would have had an effect, though its lack was not the primary cause. The lack of Glass Steagall regulations allowed the financial institutions to put more money into what were essentially crap shoots than they otherwise would have had access to. The issue though was those crap shoots, which were based on mountains of things that were called financial assets, but which were essentially little more than air.
ismnotwasm
(41,984 posts)Repealing Glass Stegall, as I understand it was not the cause, as you say, but probably took away certain regulatory protections.
I remember hearing things about "The Shadow economy" which was essentially reinvesting profits from interest rates. Which still happens of course. It gets confusing and crazy quickly.
Squinch
(50,950 posts)If you heard the term 'synthetic' before any financial instrument, it pretty much meant that it was probably just made up out of whole cloth.
Guy A would say, "If these securities were in a portfolio, which they are not, I bet that portfolio would lose value." Guy B (usually Goldman Sachs) would then make you a financial instrument that let you bet either for or against that thing that didn't exist.
Loons, all of them. Problem is, they ultimately used our money to do it.
ismnotwasm
(41,984 posts)A run rampant monopoly game
Buzz Clik
(38,437 posts)"I went and saw the movie."
Truprogressive85
(900 posts)I think everyone should watch PBS Frontline's "The Warning before watching "The Big short"
Greenspan, Rubin, Summers told Her to kick rocks
"Now its true that Clinton faced an extremely hostile Republican Congress for the last six years of his presidency. But his administration actively encouraged the big deregulatory legislation, and squashed its own dissenters, like Brooksley Born, who saw disaster ahead"
http://www.cjr.org/the_audit/bill_clinton_the_republicans_m.php
Eric J in MN
(35,619 posts)...that saving banks made home-loans to people who couldn't repay, and then re-packaged the loans as a product for their investment bank division to sell.
Squinch
(50,950 posts)Dawgs
(14,755 posts)Squinch
(50,950 posts)be a pretty good resource.
I haven't seen the movie, but I plan to. I did read the book.
How about you? Do you perfectly understand what happened, so that you couldn't possibly learn anything from such a movie?
Lordquinton
(7,886 posts)It's a movie after all, it's not even a documentary, it's a comedy/drama. I know we tend to get news from the Daily Show, but that doesn't carry over outside of the show.
Vinca
(50,273 posts)He understands it more than anyone and the humor he throws in doesn't hurt either. That said, I'm a reasonably intelligent person and I had a hard time understanding some of the financial shenanigans he describes. One thing I had never heard of before was something called the "orphan month." Somehow, some way, if a business wants to hide something in their dealings they can change the dates for there quarterly reporting and if there's a month in between, it somehow disappears into thin air. I also didn't know Alan Greenspan was a rabid Ayn Randian. That explained a whole lot.
BlueStateLib
(937 posts)Vinca
(50,273 posts)shadowmayor
(1,325 posts)A turd is a turd is a turd. Nothing terribly new occurs on Wall Street. The Bucket Shops and Side Bets of the late 1890's and the panic of 1907 are great precursors to the market fall of 2008. Uncle Teddy moved to shut these down. What is probably most important about the repeal of GS is the attitude that "new" market forces relegated the "old" market ideas obsolete. As Steve Carell's character admonishes the group he addresses - since when has fraud ever worked? The movie points out how private mortgage backed securities set the whole stage for this downfall. We had the S&L crisis in the 1980's and apparently learned nothing from it in these United States of Amnesia. Did the GS repeal cause the meltdown? No, but the attitude required to remove the restrictions imposed by GS is what led to the laissez faire philosophy governing investing on Wall Street. The Big Short is an excellent movie and I would highly recommend folks give it a viewing.