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CoffeeCat

(24,411 posts)
Thu Dec 31, 2015, 06:15 PM Dec 2015

Hillary vs. Bernie rally attendance in Iowa (Plus video)

(I posted this a couple of times as a response to a couple of OPs; and someone asked that I make it an OP.)

These are attendance numbers for Hillary and Bernie town-hall style events in Iowa--in early and mid-December. Clinton hasn't had any events in Iowa since 12/22 (and also interesting that Bernie has had 20 Iowa events *since* 12/22).

I've been astounded at how anemic her crowd numbers are. Definitely smaller than 2008. In all fairness, we're about to enter the very busy caucus season. Things will ramp up and attendance at all rallies will increase. I do think this December attendance is interesting and important--because the differences are so stark.

Bernie
2000 attendees--Sanders Town Meeting in Dubuque, Iowa (12/12) Overflow crowd Source: Radio Iowa
1500 attendees--Sanders Town Meeting in Waterloo, Iowa (12/12) Standing-room only. Source: Waterloo Courier
1125 attendees--Sanders Town Hall in Mt. Vernon, Iowa (12/13)

Clinton
200 attendees--"Fighting for Us" Town Hall in Ft. Dodge, Iowa (12/4) Source: ABC News
350 attendees--"Fighting For Us" Town Hall in Waterloo, Iowa (12/9) Source: Waterloo Courier
250 attendees_"Fighting For Us" Town Hall in Urbandale Iowa (12/9) Source: Radio Iowa

Also: Here is video of a Clinton rally, filmed by ABC News. The audience numbers are very low. If you look at the video starting at 2:04, you can see empty rows of chairs in the back. They aren't able to fill the chairs, even at small venues. http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/video/supporters-rally-hillary-clinton-iowa-town-hall-35588843


67 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Hillary vs. Bernie rally attendance in Iowa (Plus video) (Original Post) CoffeeCat Dec 2015 OP
That's what I'm talking about! sonofspy777 Dec 2015 #1
It really does appear that way CoffeeCat Dec 2015 #2
Shame on the media...but then ViseGrip Jan 2016 #44
Hillary loses at Waterloo? demwing Dec 2015 #3
Yes, and I know a few people who went to Bernie's Waterloo rally CoffeeCat Dec 2015 #6
Why do you demean a Democratic Candidate with that picture. Leave that to the RW! riversedge Dec 2015 #9
She is so precious. artislife Jan 2016 #48
Would you approve of a similiar pic of Bernie dressed like that? Would you? riversedge Jan 2016 #52
I wouldn't clutch my pearls. nt artislife Jan 2016 #55
We will find out in about a month if attendance at rallies really matters book_worm Dec 2015 #4
Rally attendance definitely does correlate with campaign enthusiasm... CoffeeCat Dec 2015 #5
Dean 2004! brooklynite Dec 2015 #13
Yes, but there has been NO candidate go through Iowa... CoffeeCat Dec 2015 #20
Get over yourself. Fantastic Anarchist Dec 2015 #24
The largest audience Ron Paul ever saw was 7,800 on campus at UCLA. Career best. Bluenorthwest Dec 2015 #42
They see intimate and big artislife Jan 2016 #49
He also didn't have as many rallies. Fawke Em Jan 2016 #63
It matters firebrand80 Dec 2015 #7
I'm legitimately curious ... Fantastic Anarchist Dec 2015 #25
I thought it meant Republican Lite ... TheFarS1de Jan 2016 #50
That is my understanding, as well. Fantastic Anarchist Jan 2016 #51
+1 Jamaal510 Jan 2016 #62
Will her Scream Speech be read from a Script or will it be "spontaneous"? INdemo Dec 2015 #26
This message was self-deleted by its author INdemo Dec 2015 #27
You still do not know the difference between a Town Hall a Rally. tsk tsk riversedge Dec 2015 #8
Don't make this more complicated than it is CoffeeCat Dec 2015 #11
Lg Crowds have not given Bernie the votes. riversedge Jan 2016 #65
Bernie's just showing-off with his big crowds. Why can't he be like other candidates? 99th_Monkey Dec 2015 #10
"the problem with big crowds is that you can only hear yourself" (yes, the flacks actually said this MisterP Dec 2015 #14
How ironic that Camp Weathervane would say that 99th_Monkey Dec 2015 #18
"Camp Weathervane" .... Fantastic Anarchist Dec 2015 #30
Pass it on 99th_Monkey Dec 2015 #36
It was someone brilliant. :D Fantastic Anarchist Dec 2015 #37
That's an embarrassment to all flacks (nt) CoffeeCat Dec 2015 #34
I would say, hold on to your hat CoffeeCat Dec 2015 #16
Meanwhile Clinton is supported by for-profit prison corporations. Fantastic Anarchist Dec 2015 #29
LOL Kalidurga Dec 2015 #31
Your comment about standing in a long line tazkcmo Dec 2015 #35
As far as I can tell Bernie has over 2 million people who are already likely to caucus Kalidurga Dec 2015 #41
I thought Hillary had an attendance cap based on wealth. It would explain these numbers. jalan48 Dec 2015 #12
Call DWS zentrum Dec 2015 #15
Excellent MissDeeds Dec 2015 #17
Bernie is going to win SmittynMo Dec 2015 #19
The entire race was turned on its head CoffeeCat Dec 2015 #22
Thanks For The Info Here... While I Was Cooking Dinner ChiciB1 Dec 2015 #38
WOW, I watched the same thing SmittynMo Dec 2015 #39
I've BEEN Ready For The REVOLUTION For Too Many Years! ChiciB1 Jan 2016 #56
CM to me SmittynMo Jan 2016 #57
Okay, Gotcha... I Call It MSM (Main Stream Media) That IN NO ChiciB1 Jan 2016 #59
I don't watch MSNBC CoffeeCat Jan 2016 #47
All the channels are in for HRC SmittynMo Jan 2016 #53
Heard They Hired A New Head Of Programming, BUT ChiciB1 Jan 2016 #58
Bernie's numbers continue to rise! Duval Dec 2015 #21
Those 200 to 350 crowd numbers for H. Clinton are CEOs, I'm sure. Fantastic Anarchist Dec 2015 #23
Ah, but the Big Banks love her senz Dec 2015 #28
What I've noticed in Iowa, is that it's sort of like the Grinch story CoffeeCat Dec 2015 #33
Love that, CoffeeCat senz Dec 2015 #40
I share your anxiety for sure CoffeeCat Dec 2015 #43
That makes two of us Senz! Worrying is my middle name. Eom Karma13612 Jan 2016 #46
Just count the votes and those who caucus. Thinkingabout Dec 2015 #32
Kicked and recommended. Uncle Joe Jan 2016 #45
Go Bernie! Art_from_Ark Jan 2016 #54
Happy New Year Bernie and Family! ViseGrip Jan 2016 #60
K/R UglyGreed Jan 2016 #61
Big rallies win elections for sure... workinclasszero Jan 2016 #64
We're talking specifically about Iowa... CoffeeCat Jan 2016 #66
thanks for this on-the-ground-in-Iowa report! Attorney in Texas Jan 2016 #67

CoffeeCat

(24,411 posts)
2. It really does appear that way
Thu Dec 31, 2015, 06:23 PM
Dec 2015

when it comes to these rallies.

I tried to be as fair as possible when comparing the numbers. I only compared each campaign's rally events. Both campaigns have met with small groups, had roundtable discussions or did corporate tours and met with volunteers and supporters at smaller venues.

These were larger-venue events. They were touted as rallies in both campaign's emails and in the online marketing information sent out to supporters.

Her crowds aren't as big as Bernie's. There's a very stark difference.



 

ViseGrip

(3,133 posts)
44. Shame on the media...but then
Fri Jan 1, 2016, 01:39 AM
Jan 2016

It was Bill Clinton that signed the media consolidation act. We know who your daddy is! For all the complaining about the 'bought an paid for' media, why is this very fact ignored?


 

demwing

(16,916 posts)
3. Hillary loses at Waterloo?
Thu Dec 31, 2015, 06:24 PM
Dec 2015

Clinton pulls 350 in Waterloo on 12/9 --three days later, Bernie rolls into the same town and shows her how it's done by pulling in 1500.







CoffeeCat

(24,411 posts)
6. Yes, and I know a few people who went to Bernie's Waterloo rally
Thu Dec 31, 2015, 06:30 PM
Dec 2015

and they said that it was standing-room only and that people were turned away.

CoffeeCat

(24,411 posts)
5. Rally attendance definitely does correlate with campaign enthusiasm...
Thu Dec 31, 2015, 06:29 PM
Dec 2015

...which could be a predictor of caucus attendance.

People who are wiling to carve out time to attend a rally and spend a couple of hours there may be more likely to caucus.

Obama definitely had large crowds and that translated into incredible caucus participation.

Low rally attendance surely isn't a positive. However, I do agree that time will tell.

CoffeeCat

(24,411 posts)
20. Yes, but there has been NO candidate go through Iowa...
Thu Dec 31, 2015, 08:42 PM
Dec 2015

...who has won the Iowa caucuses, who has had anemic rally attendance.

Kerry, who ran against Dean--had a very strong following. He had many people at his rallies, just as many as Dean. I supported Dean in 2004, but saw both team's rallies. They were comparable in size.

Dean's support in Iowa was NOTHING like Bernie's support is for 2016.

Dean had a vocal fanbase that was young. Look at Bernie's rallies all over our state. It's young, old, men, women--a very eclectic cross section.

That's another stereotype that will be obliterated in January--"Bernie Bros". The optics and the coverage by the MSM of the Iowa Caucuses will demonstrate that this clearly is untrue. Bernie's crowds look like Obama's crowds.


 

Bluenorthwest

(45,319 posts)
42. The largest audience Ron Paul ever saw was 7,800 on campus at UCLA. Career best.
Thu Dec 31, 2015, 10:24 PM
Dec 2015

Bernie had 27,500 in L.A. Roughly 28,000 in Portland, Ore.15,000 in Seattle; 11,000 in Phoenix; 10,000 in Madison, Wis.; 8,000 in Dallas; and 4,500 in New Orleans.

 

artislife

(9,497 posts)
49. They see intimate and big
Fri Jan 1, 2016, 02:51 AM
Jan 2016

Just two sizes.

Nuance is not seen, or even big v really big. It is like a number over 500 is too hard to imagine so it becomes....big.

Fawke Em

(11,366 posts)
63. He also didn't have as many rallies.
Sat Jan 2, 2016, 02:09 AM
Jan 2016

Paul was able to get a large crowd or two, but not 20+ like Bernie has.

firebrand80

(2,760 posts)
7. It matters
Thu Dec 31, 2015, 06:31 PM
Dec 2015

It can be an immense benefit to your ground game if you properly harness that energy.

But it's not all that matters, it's one piece of a much larger puzzle.

Fantastic Anarchist

(7,309 posts)
25. I'm legitimately curious ...
Thu Dec 31, 2015, 09:12 PM
Dec 2015

I don't mean this to be snarky, but in what way is "Third Way Fresh Thinking?"

I'm not sure I follow.

TheFarS1de

(1,017 posts)
50. I thought it meant Republican Lite ...
Fri Jan 1, 2016, 07:41 AM
Jan 2016

but I have been known to be wrong on the odd occasion .... I don't think in this situation but in others

Fantastic Anarchist

(7,309 posts)
51. That is my understanding, as well.
Fri Jan 1, 2016, 07:47 AM
Jan 2016

That they pretty much want to coopt most conservative ideals in order to catch the mythical center that supposedly holds these ideas, and despite most not showing these ideals when phrased in everyday day-to-day actions.

So yeah, I thought it was Republican Lite, too.

Response to book_worm (Reply #4)

CoffeeCat

(24,411 posts)
11. Don't make this more complicated than it is
Thu Dec 31, 2015, 08:16 PM
Dec 2015

All three events that I listed were Clinton's "Fighting For Us Town Hall" events, according to the HRC website.

1. Waterloo, IA (at 5 Sullivan Bros Convention Center)
2. Ft. Dodge, IA (at Central Iowa Community College Student Resource Center) --ABC video
3. Urbandale, IA (Living History Farms)

All of Sanders events were "Town Hall Meetings" events, according to BernieSanders.com

She's just not drawing the crowds like Bernie.


 

99th_Monkey

(19,326 posts)
10. Bernie's just showing-off with his big crowds. Why can't he be like other candidates?
Thu Dec 31, 2015, 08:01 PM
Dec 2015

and just be content with a handful of voters showing up?

oh wait, I remember. These massive crowds have blown his mind from day-one. At the first
rally, he thought there was something else going on, asking "what the hell are all these people
here for?"



Thanks CoffeeCat.
Good to know Iowa's feeling the Bern.

MisterP

(23,730 posts)
14. "the problem with big crowds is that you can only hear yourself" (yes, the flacks actually said this
Thu Dec 31, 2015, 08:23 PM
Dec 2015
 

99th_Monkey

(19,326 posts)
18. How ironic that Camp Weathervane would say that
Thu Dec 31, 2015, 08:40 PM
Dec 2015

No doubt a spin produced by a focus group to put a the best face on tiny rallies.

CoffeeCat

(24,411 posts)
16. I would say, hold on to your hat
Thu Dec 31, 2015, 08:28 PM
Dec 2015

because things are about to get crazier in Iowa.

Bernie is drawing these 2000+ crowds while the Iowa media has been ignoring him.

If Bernie is amassing this kind of enthusiasm, support and crowd numbers in December, I think we'll see an explosion of Sanders support the last week weeks of January. That's when the caucus season really revs up.

The media descends on our state. Iowans fully engage and will be attending multiple campaign events. The candidates will be doing multiple events daily as well (big and small).

There are reporters everywhere. More reporters will be covering Bernie and the optics will no longer be hidden. I think this is key. Those large crowds will most likely grow exponentially. It will no longer be a secret that Bernie has incredible support here.

In the summer, Bernie drew 10,000+ crowds in Iowa. Then, he abruptly stopped doing that. And he didn't campaign much in Iowa in Oct/November. I don't know for sure, but it appears that he is saving those big numbers/bigger venues for January, when Iowans are fully engaged and making up their minds.

I think the optics will be huge and will position him as a strong candidate with impressive support. It will be fascinating, to say the least.

Fantastic Anarchist

(7,309 posts)
29. Meanwhile Clinton is supported by for-profit prison corporations.
Thu Dec 31, 2015, 09:14 PM
Dec 2015

They're probably casing Bernie's rallies to see who they can welcome into their new homes.

Kalidurga

(14,177 posts)
31. LOL
Thu Dec 31, 2015, 09:24 PM
Dec 2015

Those of us that signed up for the Bernie rally in Minnesota knew before he did it was gonna be big. I saw the line going blocks long and I was like yep that's the place alright and I got in line.

tazkcmo

(7,300 posts)
35. Your comment about standing in a long line
Thu Dec 31, 2015, 09:36 PM
Dec 2015

reinforces CopyCat's point about investing time to go to a rally is more likely to translate into caucusing. I mean, that's a lot of time to stand in a line that's blocks long for a political rally and then to attend the rally itself is a commitment. I agree with CopyCat. Thanks for sharing your experiences.

Kalidurga

(14,177 posts)
41. As far as I can tell Bernie has over 2 million people who are already likely to caucus
Thu Dec 31, 2015, 10:18 PM
Dec 2015

and I am betting they will also phone bank and gotv.

zentrum

(9,865 posts)
15. Call DWS
Thu Dec 31, 2015, 08:24 PM
Dec 2015

..at the DNC and tell her: 202 863 8000

The power fixers aren't seeing the writing on the wall. They are risking the election for Democrats.

SmittynMo

(3,544 posts)
19. Bernie is going to win
Thu Dec 31, 2015, 08:40 PM
Dec 2015

IA and NH, hands down. Then, and only then will he get the attention he truly deserves.

Yet CM(Corrupt or Corporate America) will still dismiss him. He is no friend of corporations. Just ask him.

Guess what CM?

This election is about US, not them.

CoffeeCat

(24,411 posts)
22. The entire race was turned on its head
Thu Dec 31, 2015, 08:52 PM
Dec 2015

when Obama won Iowa, then he lost NH. But the gains he made just from winning the first state, truly were paradigm-shifting.

I can't wait for Bernie to win Iowa and NH--and to see an even bigger paradigm shift and the media frenzy that follows.

Clinton's entire narrative that she's spent eight years building, "I'm the inevitable and eventual nominee" will be destroyed.

Of course, I'm sure we will hear how Bernie can't win in any other states, and I suppose Clinton will (again) bad mouth Iowa and our caucuses, and on and on and on...

ChiciB1

(15,435 posts)
38. Thanks For The Info Here... While I Was Cooking Dinner
Thu Dec 31, 2015, 09:52 PM
Dec 2015

tonight, my husband flipped the station to MSNBC (I don't watch them anymore) and it was a bunch of questions about best & worst stuff. From the bits and pieces I heard, I NEVER heard Bernie's name mentioned once. BUT I did hear several say, not sure exactly who, but THERE WAS NO DOUBT in anyone's mind that Clinton is going to win '"HANDS DOWN" in both Iowa and NH! And win big, so it might be the end for Bernie.

I DO NOT KNOW where they come up with this stuff, maybe it's just the same old thing of saying something over and over enough to make it come true.

From what I hear from alternative news, it's a very different song that's being sung. My husband KNOWS I won't watch MSNBC but he put it on anyway. Had some thoughts about accidentally ON PURPOSE spilling too much salt on a few things. I DID pepper more heavily than usual though.

Just couldn't help myself!!

SmittynMo

(3,544 posts)
39. WOW, I watched the same thing
Thu Dec 31, 2015, 10:08 PM
Dec 2015

I was thinking, CM will continue to shut his ass down til the people have spoken.
It took some real balls to cut him down the way they did, when he is the only honest candidate out there.

I can't wait for the primaries. Then, they(CM) will have no choice.

I'm ready for a revolution.

ChiciB1

(15,435 posts)
56. I've BEEN Ready For The REVOLUTION For Too Many Years!
Fri Jan 1, 2016, 01:08 PM
Jan 2016

Is (CM) Tweety? As I said I only heard what filtered through while I was cooking so wasn't aware Chris Matthews (CM) was part of the group. I know I heard Lawrence O'Donnell for sure. I think Eugene Robinson too. Was M. Harris Perry there too?

I switched the channel as soon as I could so it may have gone on much longer.

ChiciB1

(15,435 posts)
59. Okay, Gotcha... I Call It MSM (Main Stream Media) That IN NO
Fri Jan 1, 2016, 01:27 PM
Jan 2016

way covers anything other than Corporate controlled media.

CoffeeCat

(24,411 posts)
47. I don't watch MSNBC
Fri Jan 1, 2016, 02:12 AM
Jan 2016

but the last time I tuned in, they were very left wing.

What happened to them?

Are they just completely in the Hillary tank?

SmittynMo

(3,544 posts)
53. All the channels are in for HRC
Fri Jan 1, 2016, 10:52 AM
Jan 2016

It's almost a total shutdown of reporting for Bernie. Has been for months.

With 6 people owning damn near all the media, and the fact that Bernie is against corporate America being controlled by an oligarchy, what does one expect? We all know the game they are playing.

I can't wait until the votes are counted. The people will not be subdued.

ChiciB1

(15,435 posts)
58. Heard They Hired A New Head Of Programming, BUT
Fri Jan 1, 2016, 01:24 PM
Jan 2016

the final straw for me was Ed Schultz some time back. I do KNOW Chris Hayes is much more liberal than most, perhaps even Rachel. I switched from DISH to Verizon because I found out former employees got a big discount on billing. They don't carry FSTV, LINK, RT and some other programs I watch so I bought the small ROKU so I can listen to these shows. I can PU some streaming from my PC, but too much to move from room to room.

Anyway, FSTV has a documentary where Chris Hayes is featured and it he talked about his liberalism and his environmental dedication. I guess he's on a short leash at MSNBC, but hear he slips "some" information that they allow him to report.

I though Rachel was more liberal too, just not sure. I've heard her make some supportive comments about Hillary but my information is limited because I don't watch her.

 

senz

(11,945 posts)
28. Ah, but the Big Banks love her
Thu Dec 31, 2015, 09:14 PM
Dec 2015

so what does she need from "people?" If the corporate media and the DNC keep Bernie and Martin under wraps, she won't need to worry about the voters.

CoffeeCat

(24,411 posts)
33. What I've noticed in Iowa, is that it's sort of like the Grinch story
Thu Dec 31, 2015, 09:34 PM
Dec 2015

Remember on Christmas Day and the Grinch heard the Whoos singing and he didn't understand, "But it came without ribbons...boxes or bags."

Same with an Iowa caucus win.

The night of the caucus, Hillary won't understand Bernie's win, "It came without the media, the PAC money or the endorsements from entrenched politicians."

Seriously. We don't need all of that baloney when we've got "We The People."

Oh, the frustration they must feel.

 

senz

(11,945 posts)
40. Love that, CoffeeCat
Thu Dec 31, 2015, 10:08 PM
Dec 2015

but I have a little superstition thing about not becoming too confident.

Bet you didn't know the planet's revolutions around the sun are powered by my worrying...

CoffeeCat

(24,411 posts)
43. I share your anxiety for sure
Thu Dec 31, 2015, 10:51 PM
Dec 2015

But it only further proves me to work harder for the campaign, make more calls, donate more money and do other things to help.

There's so much work to be done and anything could happen. The last 2-3 weeks of Jan will be when this race is decided. No camp had a certain win.

And anyone who can get to Iowa to help, should get here!! Be a part of history!!!

 

workinclasszero

(28,270 posts)
64. Big rallies win elections for sure...
Sat Jan 2, 2016, 02:39 AM
Jan 2016




look what they did for President Rmoney and President Nader.

Oh wait....

CoffeeCat

(24,411 posts)
66. We're talking specifically about Iowa...
Sat Jan 2, 2016, 02:00 PM
Jan 2016

and comparing Hillary's attendance with Bernie's attendance.

Clearly, there are stark differences.

What those differences translate into, the night of the caucus, remains to be seen.

Harnessing the energy and enthusiasm of those rally attendees can translate into more volunteers who make calls, canvass, organize and caucus. It's as simple as that.

I'm sure attendance at all candidate rallies will grow (even MOM's). Will be interesting to see by how much, and what that means, in the end.

I've been an active Democratic volunteer and caucus participant. I've attended numerous rallies held during several caucus cycles. There certainly is a direct correlation between large crowds at rallies and large caucus turnout.

Obama is the prime example. Edwards also had large crowds. Kerry and Gore also had high attendance at their events. I would also say that Hillary had some big crowds too in 2008, but I'm not seeing those numbers this year. Her crowds are way down from 2008. But again, we still have 28 days and the most important part of the caucus-campaign season yet to come.

Cheers.

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