2016 Postmortem

TroyD

(4,551 posts) Fri Sep 14, 2012, 12:45 PM Sep 2012

Rasmussen: VIRGINIA (Obama +1)

Friday, September 14, 2012

Obama - 49%

Romney - 48%

Well, it's only a 1-point lead but it's still better than a couple of the other Republican pollsters have given this week. A lead is a lead. They all add up and help the overall average.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/virginia/election_2012_virginia_president

3 replies

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Rasmussen: VIRGINIA (Obama +1) (Original Post) TroyD Sep 2012 OP

Historically, Rasmussen doesn't have accurate polls until about 2 weeks before election. Zen Democrat Sep 2012 #1

Rasmussen poll + 5 pts. for the Democrat = real score (Obama +6) bluestateguy Sep 2012 #2

He has Romney +3 today in the tracking poll. Jennicut Sep 2012 #3

Zen Democrat

(5,901 posts)

1. Historically, Rasmussen doesn't have accurate polls until about 2 weeks before election.

Reply to TroyD (Original post)

Fri Sep 14, 2012, 12:50 PM

Sep 2012

I believe the polls that show Obama at least 5 points ahead in Virginia.

bluestateguy

(44,173 posts)

2. Rasmussen poll + 5 pts. for the Democrat = real score (Obama +6)

Reply to TroyD (Original post)

Fri Sep 14, 2012, 12:52 PM

Sep 2012

Jennicut

(25,415 posts)

3. He has Romney +3 today in the tracking poll.

Reply to TroyD (Original post)

Fri Sep 14, 2012, 01:02 PM

Sep 2012

It is kind of hilarious, if it weren't such horribly blatant polling.

Look at the Real Clear Politics recent polling #'s:

RCP Average 9/4 - 9/13 -- -- 48.7 45.5 Obama +3.2
CBS News/NY Times 9/8 - 9/12 1162 LV 3.0 49 46 Obama +3
Rasmussen (Friday) 3-Day Tracking 1500 LV 3.0 45 48 Romney +3
Democracy Corps (D) 9/8 - 9/12 1000 LV 3.1 50 45 Obama +5
FOX News 9/9 - 9/11 1056 LV 3.0 48 43 Obama +5
Gallup (Thursday) 7-Day Tracking 3050 RV 2.0 50 44 Obama +6
Esquire/Yahoo! News 9/7 - 9/10 724 LV 5.0 50 46 Obama +4
Reuters/Ipsos 9/7 - 9/10 873 LV 3.4 48 45 Obama +3
ABC News/Wash Post 9/7 - 9/9 710 LV 4.5 49 48 Obama +1
CNN/Opinion Research 9/7 - 9/9 709 LV 3.5 52 46 Obama +6
IBD/CSM/TIPP 9/4 - 9/9 808 RV 3.5 46 44 Obama +2

Only Rasmussen sticks out like a sore thumb. Mind boggling how some on the right think he is the most accurate pollster.

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