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Nate Silver: Obama could only win the popular vote (Original Post) bigdarryl Sep 2012 OP
I can't believe timber84 Sep 2012 #1
WHAT!!!! bigdarryl Sep 2012 #3
no kidding.. I can count on a handful of DUers to post that way. n/t progressivebydesign Sep 2012 #10
well he puts it at 3.2%, winning popular vote but losing electoral college. unblock Sep 2012 #2
This is why it's not over until it's over. liberalmuse Sep 2012 #4
+ struggle4progress Sep 2012 #13
That seems extremely unkilely at this point budkin Sep 2012 #5
That's incredibly misleading. Says 76.1% chance win of popular vote, 74.8% win of Electoral College leveymg Sep 2012 #6
With odds sharp_stick Sep 2012 #7
There are some states that are very close right now and this voter surpression is a problem bigdarryl Sep 2012 #8
from what I've read, Nate is pretty accustate sasha031 Sep 2012 #9
Because JustAnotherGen Sep 2012 #11
He did not change, the OP is mischaracterizing rather than quoting, which is Bluenorthwest Sep 2012 #12
Obama could also drop out by November... Drunken Irishman Sep 2012 #14

unblock

(52,253 posts)
2. well he puts it at 3.2%, winning popular vote but losing electoral college.
Tue Sep 18, 2012, 12:45 PM
Sep 2012

1.9% for the opposite result.

not very likely.

liberalmuse

(18,672 posts)
4. This is why it's not over until it's over.
Tue Sep 18, 2012, 12:47 PM
Sep 2012

I know re-election looks really good for our President, but it's not in the bag by all means. This post made my stomach drop to my feet, though.

budkin

(6,703 posts)
5. That seems extremely unkilely at this point
Tue Sep 18, 2012, 12:47 PM
Sep 2012

With the consistent electoral leads and swing state polling in his favor, and Romney's campaign in free fall, it's just not happening.

leveymg

(36,418 posts)
6. That's incredibly misleading. Says 76.1% chance win of popular vote, 74.8% win of Electoral College
Tue Sep 18, 2012, 12:48 PM
Sep 2012
As of Monday, the forecast gave Mr. Obama a 76.1 percent chance of winning the popular vote, but a 74.8 percent chance of winning the Electoral College. In other words, as of right now, Mr. Obama is more likely to lose the Electoral College while winning the popular vote than the other way around.

sharp_stick

(14,400 posts)
7. With odds
Tue Sep 18, 2012, 12:52 PM
Sep 2012

that are probably similar to me getting hit by lightning on the way out to the car this afternoon.

Must be a slow day at the blog.

 

bigdarryl

(13,190 posts)
8. There are some states that are very close right now and this voter surpression is a problem
Tue Sep 18, 2012, 12:54 PM
Sep 2012

If the democrats don't get these voter ID'S for people we can't rely on the courts because all these courts are mostly controlled by right wing judges

sasha031

(6,700 posts)
9. from what I've read, Nate is pretty accustate
Tue Sep 18, 2012, 12:55 PM
Sep 2012

last week he had Obama ahead in the electoral college.
I don't understand this change

JustAnotherGen

(31,828 posts)
11. Because
Tue Sep 18, 2012, 01:10 PM
Sep 2012

The OP is posting about the difference in the popular vote - the one Al Gore won.

But he failed to mention that as of 1:10 PM - Silver has Obama with 305 Electoral Votes. That's why the change isn't easy to understand . . .

 

Bluenorthwest

(45,319 posts)
12. He did not change, the OP is mischaracterizing rather than quoting, which is
Tue Sep 18, 2012, 01:14 PM
Sep 2012

lazy at best and intentionally dishonest at worst.

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