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Bernie Sanders
Related: About this forumBernie Sanders Is Narrowing The Gap With Hillary Clinton In The Granite State
He still trails Clinton nationally but is in a statistical tie in New Hampshire.Bernie Sanders is closing in on Hillary Clinton, according to new polling from New Hampshire.
In a WMUR/University of New Hampshire poll released Tuesday, the Vermont senator is in a statistical tie with the Democratic presidential frontrunner, trailing her by six percentage points, which is just within the polls margin of error.
Among Democratic voters surveyed, 36 percent responded that they would vote for Sanders, while 42 percent said Clinton. Sanders leads Clinton in likeability and whether or not the candidate best represents Democrats like themselves.
Sanders and Clinton are virtually tied in terms of net electability, polling at 30 percent and 32 percent, respectively. Net electability measures the difference between the percentage of people who would vote for the candidate and the percentage of people who would not vote for him/her.
About five percent of respondents said they supported Vice President Joe Biden. In recent weeks, speculation that Biden might run has kicked into high gear, as sources close to Biden claim that he is weighing another presidential bid. Biden is expected to make a final decision by September.
While the new poll is likely to boost the hopes of Sanders supporters, the numbers remain mostly unchanged from other New Hampshire polls in recent months, which show Sanders narrowing his gap with Clinton but still trailing. And despite his growing support, 68 percent of those surveyed said Clinton would win the New Hampshire primary in February, while only 17 percent said Sanders. A majority of respondents said that Clinton also has the best chance of winning the general election and that she has the right experience to be president.
Sanders faces an uphill battle in challenging Clinton on the national level. According to HuffPost Pollsters aggregate of national polling data, Sanders would get about 20 percent of the vote nationally, compared to Clintons 56 percent. This is a slight increase from last month, when he was polling at less than 15 percent nationally.
The WMUR poll surveyed 722 New Hampshire residents via phone between July 22 and July 30, including 276 likely Democratic primary voters.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/bernie-sanders-new-hampshire_55c15303e4b0f7f0bebae9cb
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Bernie Sanders Is Narrowing The Gap With Hillary Clinton In The Granite State (Original Post)
Playinghardball
Aug 2015
OP
What really matters now is a poll showing how Democrats who are very likely to vote in the primary
merrily
Aug 2015
#1
merrily
(45,251 posts)1. What really matters now is a poll showing how Democrats who are very likely to vote in the primary
will vote. And even that poll won't matter much until early January.
What really matters for us now is getting people registered to vote and excited about Bernie. We have only a few more months. And Thanksgiving through January 2 will be a zero for purposes of the primary.
Bernie correctly focused more on New Hampshire and Iowa than on the rest of the nation, though he is making herculean efforts all over the map of the USA. He is going to Washington State in a few days; and that primary is not until May 28.
That he is in a statistical tie in New Hampshire with the candidate who has been running "since she was 12" as someone on MSNBC put it, and who has a huge treasure chest is damned amazing.
Go, Bernie!
merrily
(45,251 posts)2. Delayed reaction: how is a statistical tie, aka within the margin of error, "narrowing the gap?"
Enthusiast
(50,983 posts)3. Kicked and recommended to the Max!