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Nate Silver's 7% chance of Bernie winning looking real good right now! (Original Post) cui bono Sep 2015 OP
Message auto-removed Name removed Sep 2015 #1
At this point... HooptieWagon Sep 2015 #2
Yes, way too early to tell since of the two top candidates one has name recognition cui bono Sep 2015 #10
Silver has been behind the curve on Bernie Admiral Loinpresser Sep 2015 #3
Agree! SoapBox Sep 2015 #8
Comparable to Vinci's 1/3 of 1% chance in tennis yesterday. It happens. nt edgineered Sep 2015 #4
What are the Las Vegas odds? nm rhett o rick Sep 2015 #5
The UK's Jeremy Corbyn The River Sep 2015 #6
And Nate Silver TM99 Sep 2015 #7
Yup. People are tired of the same old same old. And we're not listening to the pundits anymore. cui bono Sep 2015 #9
There is no way to poll for conviction and emotion and action. The dyad libdem4life Sep 2015 #11

Response to cui bono (Original post)

 

HooptieWagon

(17,064 posts)
2. At this point...
Sat Sep 12, 2015, 03:15 PM
Sep 2015

Bernies poll numbers are sharply climbing, with no plateau in sight. Hillarys numbers are plummeting with no bottom in sight. At this point, I don't think anyone can predict where the polls will stabilize. Bernie stands as good a chance of the nomination as Hillary, and for all we know one of the other candidates can catch a fire during the debates or Biden may enter. Anyone claiming to see the future is full of horseshit.

cui bono

(19,926 posts)
10. Yes, way too early to tell since of the two top candidates one has name recognition
Sat Sep 12, 2015, 05:57 PM
Sep 2015

and one is just getting exposed to the masses. Lots of DUers forget that not everyone pays this much attention to what's going on in politics. As we can see, the more people that get to learn about Sanders, the more people support him.

Admiral Loinpresser

(3,859 posts)
3. Silver has been behind the curve on Bernie
Sat Sep 12, 2015, 03:16 PM
Sep 2015

all along. That 7% figure is only going to increase with Silver kicking and screaming.

The River

(2,615 posts)
6. The UK's Jeremy Corbyn
Sat Sep 12, 2015, 03:42 PM
Sep 2015

was given a 1:100 (1%)chance by British bookies when he started
his campaign. He is now the new Labor leader in Parliament.
People everywhere are tired of the same old politicians who
are owned and controlled by the 1%.

 

TM99

(8,352 posts)
7. And Nate Silver
Sat Sep 12, 2015, 03:51 PM
Sep 2015

was very wrong on his predictions for that UK election that brought Corbyn to power.

cui bono

(19,926 posts)
9. Yup. People are tired of the same old same old. And we're not listening to the pundits anymore.
Sat Sep 12, 2015, 05:55 PM
Sep 2015

We have our own media now and we're getting the word out.

 

libdem4life

(13,877 posts)
11. There is no way to poll for conviction and emotion and action. The dyad
Sat Sep 12, 2015, 07:48 PM
Sep 2015

of Yes/No or R/D is expanding. What to do?

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