Polling History Can't Predict 2020 Race, Ipsos Director Says

Polling History Can't Predict 2020 Race, Ipsos Director Says

snip I don't know that you can look at any previous elections or modern polling history to predict what will happen in 2020, Mallory Newall, director of Ipsos News and Polls, told Cheddar. The field is so large ... At this point it is about who is well known by the American public.

Ipsos also found that beating President Trump is the most salient issue for Democratic voters — nearly 50 percent said it was the most important candidate trait when considering who to vote for in the primaries.

snip Polling also shows, however, that other voters are eager for someone new or different.

What you are seeing there is just a sense of wanting an outsider or someone new and different to come in and shake up the establishment, Newall said, adding that such voters tend to support candidates like Buttigieg and Harris.

snip Yet, pollsters expect attitudes will change following the first primary debate .. I definitely expect to see some polling start to change or at least take shape after that, Newall said.

https://cheddar.com/media/polling-ipsos-democratic-primary-joe-biden