Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumSanders on the decline with 18-29 year-olds
Morning ConsultSanders on the decline with 18-29 year-olds: Throughout March, Bernie Sanders had 45% of the first choice vote share among Americas youngest voters. That support has steadily declined and currently sits at 33%.
2/10: 39%
2/17: 38%
2/24: 46%
3/3: 45%
3/10: 45%
3/17: 45%
3/24: 44%
3/31: 43%
4/7: 39%
4/14: 40%
4/21: 38%
4/28: 36%
5/5: 34%
5/12: 33%
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
hlthe2b
(102,381 posts)field and spans the entire Democratic political spectrum.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)Great news! I'm very pleased to hear this, but... I'm not at all surprised. I think that most voters are starting to figure out BS and the BS campaign. They're rejecting his message and his lack of any real-world plans on how to accomplish all the grand promises being made. It's one thing to make promises, but it's quite another to demonstrate to educated, realistic, and discerning voters exactly HOW it is that all the promises are going to be kept.
Also, I think the almost nonstop smears and denigration of the Democratic party (and Democratic leadership) may have made BS a less desirable choice. At this critical time, party loyalty is very important to me and many others apparently too. It simply makes no sense for anyone on "our side" to be call the Democratic party "corrupt" or "feeble" or "the party of the elite" or saying there's "no difference" between the Democrats and the GOP. In all cases, nothing could be further from the truth.
The thing is... that kind of talk promotes negativity. Negativity generates apathy. Apathy discourages support and voting for Democratic candidates... and that just makes it easier for the GOP and Trump and Russia to steal elections.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
crazytown
(7,277 posts)Would you ask your boyfriend or girlfriend out to see a Sanders event? A 30 minute hate doesnt exactly set the right tone for a romantic evening.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Grasswire2
(13,571 posts)That seems nuts.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Response to Grasswire2 (Reply #10)
crazytown This message was self-deleted by its author.
Cha
(297,733 posts)"a romantic evening".
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Blue_true
(31,261 posts)the scrum. Both saw polling drop but they kept at it. Both are showing amazing energy and policy chops. I really think that Senator Warren, in particular, is taking away Bernie's support. Once it is clear to the far left that Senator Warren is the only rational choice for their block, Bernie's support will likely crater toward low single digits.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
oasis
(49,410 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
George II
(67,782 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
oasis
(49,410 posts)his poll numbers. He'll consider it a bonus if she continues to attack Biden.
My advice to AOC : "tread lightly".
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
TexasTowelie
(112,456 posts)She is keeping her options open to support Warren as an alternative. I wouldn't be surprised if AOC doesn't make a decision until after the New Hampshire primary.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
oasis
(49,410 posts)she will ultimately support.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)dropping as people drawn by a vague familiarity are learning more about him. And about their other choices.
Note also that she has not endorsed him.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
oasis
(49,410 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)she can't shake off because they might turn on her and take her out, or comrades in the revolution?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Blue_true
(31,261 posts)She would be smarter to back Senator Warren.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LuvLoogie
(7,036 posts)she is like Bernie. She and Nancy have the same moxy.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
corbettkroehler
(1,898 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Blue_true
(31,261 posts)In her district there is a young slightly order (early thirties) progressive who is now a New York State Senator. At some point AOC will alienate enough people in her district for an ambitious politician or public figure that lives there to challenge her in the democratic primary, with a good short at beating her.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
qazplm135
(7,447 posts)that she is a bit overrated and exposed, but not sure what you typed is true either.
She's certainly honest and authentic. Voters like that. She's in a pretty blue district with very liberal values.
And now she's the incumbent, with the advantages that come with that.
The only real risk she faces is if her district thinks she's not for them or she does the same thing the incumbent she beat did in ignoring a primary foe and not doing the hard work...but she doesn't seem like the not doing hard work type to me, so I suspect that doesn't happen.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Gothmog
(145,619 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
PatSeg
(47,613 posts)persistent angry yelling. I honestly can't listen to it anymore. I've always like Bernie Sanders, but he has become too exhausting for me. A candidate has to mix some optimism and hope with the angry indignation.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
mtnsnake
(22,236 posts)Considering that so many other 2020 candidates are so attractive to younger supporters, I'm surprised he hasn't dropped in the youth category more than he has. I'd have to guess that Mayor Pete and Beto O'Rourke have cut into Bernie's corp of young voters somewhat, as well as a few other of our candidates who've cut into it as well.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Blue_true
(31,261 posts)Senator Warren took it. She is a much more natural fit for his supporters than Beto or Buttigieg are.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(145,619 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(145,619 posts)sanders is not trying to win a majority of the party but wants to get to the convention with 30% of the delegates. That is less likely now
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2019/5/15/1857658/-If-Bernie-loses-support-among-youth-what-s-left
However, what happens if he cant hold that core? This isnt 2016, with a binary choice between Bernie and a demonized establishment Democrat. This is a rich field, with credible candidates representing just about every key party constituency. There are candidates just as liberal as Bernie, yet not as polarizing. So would Bernies core supporters stick with him as they became better aware of this amazing field? Apparently not, according to the latest Morning Consult primary poll.
Sanders on the decline with 18-29 year-olds, reads the polling memo. Throughout March, Bernie Sanders had 45% of the first choice vote share among Americas youngest voters. That support has steadily declined and currently sits at 33%....
With Bernie Sanders at 19 points in this poll, hes a far cry from the 30 percent or so he wants for his force himself upon a brokered convention scenario (understanding that the popular vote and delegate allocation arent a one-to-one calculation, but close enough). Its been clear hes been maxed out for a whileboth his and his supporters ornery approach to politics dont lend themselves to big-tent embrace of a broader coalition. Quite the opposite, in fact.
He cant grow, and if he cant hold his most important supporters? His path to the nomination, already near-zero, becomes effectively zero.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
R B Garr
(16,990 posts)is not dead.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LibFarmer
(772 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden