Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forum***So Joe Biden is the ONLY Democrat winning Texas.***
https://poll.qu.edu/texas/release-detail?ReleaseID=2625I'm not saying one poll is dispositive but the fact Biden is beating Trump in a state Hillary Clinton lost by nine points counts for something. If Joe can put Texas in play he's well on his way to victory.
I just want to be rid of Trump.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
BootinUp
(47,187 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Laurian
(2,593 posts)Hyde Ammendment is troublesome to me.
Im waiting to hear more about it from him.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
calguy
(5,325 posts)There's bound to be more than a few positions he's taken over the years that you disagree with. That's certainly true for me anyway. But I'm not voting because of his past, I'm voting for him for the future. At this point in time I believe he's the best qualified to not only beat trump's ass into the ground, but also to heal and unite the country to repair the damage trump has done to it. In a different cycle under different circumstances, I'd probably support a different candidate. In this cycle Biden just feels like a man whose time has come.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Lordquinton
(7,886 posts)With this revelation in 2019, Biden just feels like a man whose time has past.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
still_one
(92,395 posts)candidate running for president would support this today
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Lordquinton
(7,886 posts)I don't agree with everything in the party platform, but I acknowledge that it's what's there for now. I'm also not running on said platform.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
ancianita
(36,133 posts)in the ACA, women were outraged.
It does change the status quo, she said, stating that the order essentially denied abortion rights to low-income women.
Its one thing to acknowledge that the Hyde Amendment has been passed every year for 30 years. It is quite a different thing to say that as if thats OK, as if the leaders of Congress, who are pro-choice, are going to say were going to stop fighting that battle because we just dont care about low- income women, she said.
Abortion rights opponents were also unhappy with the order, saying it did not go far enough in banning government funding for abortions.
And Obama got a second term.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Lordquinton
(7,886 posts)We're still early in the primaries, we may even have a candidate that hasn't entered the race yet. This is the time to disqualify someone on these kind of issues. Obama getting a seperate term was a different situation, he didn't win saying he's for it.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Thekaspervote
(32,793 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Raven123
(4,864 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)"I'm not saying one poll is dispositive but the fact Biden is beating Trump in a state Hillary Clinton lost by nine points counts for something. If Joe can put Texas in play he's well on his way to victory."
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
iamthebandfanman
(8,127 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)If you don't believe defeating Trump is a moral imperative there is nothing I can do to disabuse you of that notion.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Tarheel_Dem
(31,240 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Indygram
(2,113 posts)PARTY IDENTIFICATION QUESTION WORDING - Generally speaking, do you consider yourself a
Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or what?
REGISTERED VOTERS
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
Republican 34%
Democrat 30
Independent 25
Other/DK/NA 10
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Response to Indygram (Reply #7)
TwilightZone This message was self-deleted by its author.
Response to Indygram (Reply #7)
Name removed Message auto-removed
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Indygram
(2,113 posts)Dem vs. Dem only shows who people polled THINK is most likely to beat Trump.
Also, Biden is the only candidate who supports denying a woman's right to choose to poor and minority women by supporting the God awful Hyde Amendment. I suspect his polling will be dropping after that revelation.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)It's not a poll where Democrats are asked who they "THINK" will win. It's a poll where all registered voters are asked who they are going to vote for.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)or roughly the same as the 2018 electorate where Beto was on the ballot:
https://www.cnn.com/election/2018/exit-polls/texas/senate
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Rstrstx
(1,399 posts)In 2016 voters 65+ comprised 15% of the vote while in 2018 they were 27% of the vote. In 2020 27% of voters won't be 65+.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
onetexan
(13,058 posts)I will vote for the Dem candidate, though i am hopeful it will be Biden. Rust Belt states seem to show strong disapproval numbers for the Idiot as well, and Biden's numbers in those states are promising.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
onetexan
(13,058 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)ads here in TX. Smears via FB worked like a charm for Cruz
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Sugarcoated
(7,728 posts)What does net approval by 3 pts mean? IOW, what is his approval rating?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
onetexan
(13,058 posts)Im no statistician but i googled it & definition says its the percentage of voters who approves the candidate's job performance. So a negative net approval is a DISAPPROVAL, which is good, at least for now. U can click on each state on the map to see what the net approval is.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)Rig MI WI and or PA
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
patphil
(6,207 posts)38 electoral votes would be a really big boost to the Democrats chances in 2020.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Scurrilous
(38,687 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Rstrstx
(1,399 posts)At 27% she has a 9 point lead over Biden and a 10 point lead (!) over Sanders. Biden runs away with all other groups. She also is in 2nd place in a general matchup against Trump.
Sanders does best among Democratic leaning voters rather than self-identified Democrats.
Trump can't crack 50% when pitted against ANY of the Dems listed in the matchups.
A third of white voters favor Biden, which is the kind of numbers we need to see in the state for a Dem to have a chance. It was about that with O'Rourke in 2018, but the high turnout among voters 65+ more than offset the vastly increased number of young voters. Traditionally only about a quarter of white voters have supported Dems, including Hillary. Other Dem candidates are getting closer to 30% of the white vote, enough to make the race close but probably not enough to win.
Voters under 50 break for Dems, especially those under 35 who look to be about D +20 in general (though they're +25 for Sanders and +29 for Biden). This is good news for the future.
John Cornyn also appears he might be vulnerable, he has a net +11 approval rating but it's still only 44% (lower than Cruz's 50%); nearly a quarter of voters don't know enough about him. I'd say it's time to start carpet bombing him. Most people want to see Beto drop out of the presidential race and run against Cornyn. Personally I think Hegar is a good candidate and contrasts well against the aging Senator.
Trump has a 39% approval rating among Hispanics. I think I've heard a similar number tossed around from Florida and maybe even nationally. Some things never cease to amaze.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)It's amazing how much more anti-Trump African Americans are than Hispanics when it's the latter group which really has felt his wrath. You can't buy that kind of loyalty,
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(297,655 posts)Into reality and do Not take shite.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
crazytown
(7,277 posts)AA voters are not too receptive to being told that racism is a disparity with the disparity. BS should know better, but maybe he does.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Turin_C3PO
(14,047 posts)I live in a town thats 50% Hispanic (mostly Mexican-American) and so many, maybe up to half, seem to love Trump! Its craziness.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Thekaspervote
(32,793 posts)Loose from a larger Hispanic community. The attitude being, I have mine so the rest be damned. That is just sooooo wrong
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
CCExile
(472 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
BigDemVoter
(4,157 posts)But I will 100000% vote for THE Democratic candidate (WHOEVER gets the nomination) over that pussy grabbing BLOB we have now.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
JI7
(89,264 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Sugarcoated
(7,728 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Kurt V.
(5,624 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
NoMoreRepugs
(9,459 posts)#'s amongst Hispanic voters.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
SergeStorms
(19,204 posts)the Iowa caucuses aren't until February of next year. Boasting about your chosen candidate, leading in a single poll this far out, is ludicrous. So much can happen between now and then that it's an exercise in futility. That's just my two cents.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)"I'm not saying one poll is dispositive but the fact Biden is beating Trump in a state Hillary Clinton lost by nine points counts for something..."
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
SergeStorms
(19,204 posts)Sounds like a boast to me, but your mileage may vary. Sorry to have upset you so deeply.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)Serge, did or did not the poll the original poster cited indicate Biden is the only Democrat winning Texas?
"."
If the original poster said Aaron Boone is the manager of the Yankees would he be boasting?
"."
Because. Facts.
Have a nice day.
-DSB
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
BannonsLiver
(16,448 posts)No need to get your hackles up over it. Its good news.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)A Dem doing well in Texas is a good thing, yes?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
BannonsLiver
(16,448 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Gothmog
(145,554 posts)Link to tweet
I mean, its not as though 2016 and 2018 were blowouts in the state, either. Clinton lost by nine points, though that was closer than the margin in Iowa, which in 2012 voted for Barack Obama. It was the closest the state had been since 1976, excluding 1992 and 1996 when Texan Ross Perot played spoiler. Last year, ORourke lost by less than three points.
Then theres this new poll of Texans by Quinnipiac University. It has Trump struggling against a number of the Democrats running for the partys 2020 nomination. Hes up only four points on Sen. Kamala D. Harris (D-Calif.) and thats the race in which hes doing the best. Despite his relative success last year, ORourke loses to Trump by three points. Against Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), Trumps only up one.
Against former vice president Joe Biden? Trump is losing by four points.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LakeArenal
(28,845 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Go Joe & Jill!! We need them to restore the country back to normal
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
qazplm135
(7,447 posts)this is a bit of fool's gold.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
JI7
(89,264 posts)turnout is very important though. the problem with texas has always been those who are likely to vote democratic just not being politically active and tuned out of state politics.
but Beto started to change this last year. it will take a lot of hard work. but there may be more potential there than florida and ohio .
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
qazplm135
(7,447 posts)again, it's fool's gold.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
BannonsLiver
(16,448 posts)The takeaway is the same as it is from the recent NC poll that shows Trump trailing several Dems there. Same for Michigan and Wisconsin which are two more where he is underperforming relative to 2016. The takeaway is these are warning signs for Donnie.
Also, at this point Texas is probably going to be close enough in 2020 that the GOP will be forced to devote resources there for the first time in recent memory. That is a win for whoever is the nominee. The more territory Trump is forced to defend the better.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Cha
(297,655 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
qazplm135
(7,447 posts)we don't know who are nominee is, what the economy is going to be like, are we going to be at war, what fresh hell, etc.
that's why there is a whole long process. Folks want to jump ahead of that process.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
BannonsLiver
(16,448 posts)New to politics?
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
qazplm135
(7,447 posts)which is why I don't start thinking about what states we are going to win before we have a candidate or a single primary debate for that matter.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)MI WI PA piece we need too.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
highplainsdem
(49,034 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(145,554 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(145,554 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(297,655 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden