Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumA Question about the MorningConsult Poll
MorningConsult says their latest results are based on 16,188 interviews with registered voters collected over the last week.
My question is, do they call the same registered voters over and over?
Or are the interviewed registered voters selected randomly each week?
I ask because 538 only gives them a B- rating, despite MorningConsult interviewing more voters each week than most polls.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
crazytown
(7,277 posts)May 06-12 - Biden 39, Sanders 19
May 13-20 - Biden 39, Sanders 19
May 20-26 - Biden 38, Sanders 20
May 27-02 - Biden 38, Sanders 19
Jun 03-09 - Biden 37, Sanders 19
Jun 10-16 - Biden 38, Sanders 19
Jun 17-23 - Biden 38, Sanders 19
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)And the rating isn't based on number of respondents. It's based on historical accuracy.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
bluewater
(5,376 posts)I ask because they say their results are based on 16,188 interviews.
Thanks for clarifying how a 538 rating is assigned.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)To be distinguished from an online clickbait poll. But it is not a true random sample as everybody in the universe they are polling does not have the same theoretical chance of being included. The cost to contact 16,000 people by phone would be astronomical.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
bluewater
(5,376 posts)I was baffled how they could poll 16,000 people every single week.
The unchanging nature of most of the weekly results also started to seem strange.
Thanks again for the info.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
pnwmom
(108,991 posts)of 1,000 people and get more accurate results.
This is just a cheap and dirty poll.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden