Only has name recognition, that will only take you so far. On the way down.

Biden isn’t even running yet so the reality is Bernie Sanders is in first place.

Should Joe decide to jump in and actually run and say what’s he for and what he’s against and answer about his spotty political past...his numbers will take a beating.

Talk about going by name recognition, that’s all Biden is doing!

I. We must win in 20.

Also agree that Sanders was given great lift over the past 2 years by Republican operations and right-leaning media, as well as radical left, but now that pre- era when he was alone is over and we're in the primary.

Our intelligence services also say that Russia NEVER STOPPED their election interference and that they're well past halfway in their campaigns to defeat our nominee and other candidates in 2020. They may not know who that will be, but that just means they're waiting to put their agitprop machine in highest gear.

It is WAY too soon to make predictions. All that polling shows at this point is who has a base of supporters and/or name recognition and/or something about them that makes people hopeful they might go all the way.

There hasn't even been a single debate. Candidacies can collapse. There is a long record of that happening in American politics.

What polls are useful for is giving the media some guidance on who they think is worth covering. Candidates benefit from being in the top tier in that regard. Other than that it is quicksand. I remember when Joe Lieberman was leading the pack for the 2004 Democratic nomination.

I don't think they can win...for various reasons. I like Biden...and I think he can win.

Sometimes I lean toward your thinking. He's a seasoned liberal who a whole lot of people can relate to. Other times I think he will fail to elicit enough passion in enough people to propel him to victory. And i have the same concern about Joe's age as I do about Bernie's. I'm not ruling out either over age but having a President in office in his eighties might be a bridge to the future too far. For both Biden and Sanders their choice of a younger hopefully non white, or female (or both), running mate would be crucial should they get the nomination. But I suspect they already know that.

And if he doesn't join in or he takes a big beating, most of his backers won't go to Sanders, they are more likely to go to Klobuchar or Harris.

Sanders won in 2016 like means trouble for the Sanders campaign in my opinion. I won't vote for Sen. Sanders in the primary-under any circumstance- but will if he is the nominee in the general which I highly doubt will happen based on these polls.

You like someone else. But pretty sure people know him

Welp, if that's the strategy, I say take your sweet time Joe!

3% of Democrats want someone else? WTH? There is a wide range of candidates to choose from with all bases covered. What are they looking for?

Jerry Brown,
George Clooney,
Hillary Clinton
Al Gore
Gavin Newsom
Oprah
Rachel Maddow
Cuomo
etc

Now wouldn't THAT be interesting.

Whether we're talking about preference polls or hypothetical matchup polls, name recognition is, by far, the #1 factor at this stage.

One poll suggested that the 2nd choice for a plurality of Biden supporters is Sanders. That's absurd.

Polls in average had Clinton ahead by 20%. Sanders won by 1%.

history is bound to repeat itself? Or that polls don't mean anything? Particularly the ones we don't like.

But if we're using the history repeats theory: Hillary Clinton won the nomination. Bernie Sanders lost.

I have no interest in repeating the 2016 GE results. Which is why the primary and even early poll numbers are instructive. Not cast in stone but informative.

Because winning in 2020 is everything.

How do we know that the difficulty in conducting accurate polls in Michigan have been addressed and corrected?
We can trust polls generally, but the trust in Michigan polls should not be great.

when you get closer to voting. This far out, all these polls do is give talking heads something to talk about.

These types of pools may also help "leaders" fund raise, but that's about it...

I am having a hard time getting too excited about anyone this early but will be interested in the first debate. Personally I would like to see VP Biden and Beto enter the race. Not sure how many people are still still sitting on the sidelines waiting to enter.
We will see still over a year before any votes get cast.

If Trump and Putin around. Why we need TX.

Bye, bye, Birdie
I'm (not) gonna miss you so
Bye, bye, Birdie
Why'd ya have to go (Bye,bye)

No more sunshine (Sunshine)
It's followed you away (You away)
I'll cry, Birdie (Birdie)
Till you're home to stay (Home to stay)

I'll miss the way you smile
As though it's just for me
And each and ev'ry night
I'll write to you faithfully

Bye, bye, Birdie,
It's awful hard to bear
Bye, bye, Birdie
Guess I'll always care
Guess I'll always ca-a-a-a-are
Guess I'll always care!

I've been saying for weeks, Joe Biden and Kamala Harris.

I would like to have a moderate and a progressive on the same ticket.

They're adults, they can work together. Neither one of them would have gotten to where they are today if they didn't have the ability to "play well with others".

They can work together to bring this party and this country together.

He was a national presence as a VP to a wildly popular ex-President, so people know him and like the familiarity and stability. It looks like the socialism and shrill populism is not catching on.