When looking at a majority of polls, is there one person who consistently bests Trump by more than the others?

How far do you wish to go backwards to look?

As of June 25th, the latest poll, Sanders and Biden are tied.

For the month of June, Biden and Sanders have been with in 1-2% of each other in beating Trump in head to head polls.
That's within the margin of error, making Sanders and Biden indistinguishable in head to head polling against Trump.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/national_general_election/

So, no, no one person has been clearly "the best". No one person has been consistently ahead lately.

Also, people confuse polls showing how Trump compares head to head with a given candidate with polls asking who people think has the "best" chance from a list of candidates. That RCP Polling link shows the head to head polls.

Honestly, since polls seen to jump all over the place and change on a weekly basis, don't we have to wait until just before the primaries to say who really has the "best" chance to beat Trump?


I think we will know who CAN defeat Trump much earlier.

That's why I will vote for the candidate I am confidant can beat Trump and whose positions and values align most with my own.

One month? Two months? You pick.

Is one person consistently ahead?

No one person is consistently ahead.

For the month of June, Biden and Sanders are virtually tied in head to head polls against Trump.

And that's in absolute numbers, taking in to consideration margin of error, they are indistinguishable in head to head polls against Trump.

Sorry, you seemed to have posted while I was editing and updating my post you responded to.

I think this RCP Polls link answers your question, look at the results for the month of June for head to head polls versus Trump.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/national_general_election/

I highly doubt it will make much of a difference WHICH of the top tier candidates go against trump. There just doesn't seem to be very many voters that don't already feel very strongly for or against him. I get the impression that for the vast majority of voters 2020 will be an election for or against trump only, and for the most part they have already made up thier minds.

unmotivated voters. GOTV.

Voting to beat trumpft is a loosing strategy.

candidates are running on issues that will hurt us in Ohio, Michigan and Pennsylvania-other places too... but the blue wall is most significant...we must rebuild the blue wall or we lose and not just in 20 either. I posted the EC maps below.

https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287187315

I don't really know the stats but I'm under the impression that there aren't really that many voters, even in the EC-focused states, that are ambivalent about trump.

Would an issue or two really over-ride their very strong love or very strong hate for him?

Or IS there a sizable group of likely voters that don't feel overwhelmingly good or bad about trump?

Trump will beat Trump.

Thanks for the thread bluewater.

I think that any state that chose HRC over Trump last time will almost certainly choose the Dem candidate over Trump this time, regardless of who it is. (After all, HRC had higher unfavorables than any of the current candidates.)

So the likely road to victory is who can take Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. (Though sure, if we can flip Florida or Ohio or long shot Texas, so much the better... plus the more states we take, the better our chances of making Congress as Dem as possible.)

But polls so far show numerous candidates capable of talkng WI/MI/PA. And it's still early.