Democratic Primaries

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts) Fri Jul 12, 2019, 04:33 PM Jul 2019

It's anybody's ball in New Hampshire EW 22% BS 20% JB 19% KH 15%**

Key Takeaways:

Warren (22%), Sanders (20%), and Biden (19%) lead the Democratic primary in New Hampshire.

Sanders (39%) leads among 18-34 year-old voters, Warren leads among 35-49 and 50-64 year-olds, and Biden (26%) leads among voters older than 65.

Warren (26%) leads among women Democratic primary voters; men prefer Sanders (25%

https://www.changeresearch.com/new-hampshire-poll-july-6-9-2019

I post all polls with neither favor or prejudice.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

8 replies

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**It's anybody's ball in New Hampshire** EW 22% BS 20% JB 19% KH 15%** (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2019 OP

Who is change research? still_one Jul 2019 #1

I can't keep up. lol bluewater Jul 2019 #2

Change research polls are way out of line crazytown Jul 2019 #3

I post all polls with neither favor or prejudice. DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2019 #4

Yeah I know crazytown Jul 2019 #5

Change Research is rated C+, MorningConsult is rated B- bluewater Jul 2019 #6

The Change Research polls are garbage crazytown Jul 2019 #7

Warren should win as she is from Mass... Demsrule86 Jul 2019 #8

still_one

(92,201 posts)

1. Who is change research?

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Fri Jul 12, 2019, 04:38 PM

Jul 2019

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

bluewater

(5,376 posts)

2. I can't keep up. lol

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Fri Jul 12, 2019, 04:43 PM

Jul 2019

That's the second New Hampshire poll from Change Research published in two days.

Thanks for posting the OP.

And yeah, New Hampshire seems a dead heat between the most recent Democratic Vice President and the two Senators from neighboring states.

That makes sense. Harris and Buttigieg are right in the mix too.

Warren..... 22%
Sanders.... 20%
Biden....... 19%
Harris...... 15%
Buttigieg.. 13%

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primaries/democratic/new-hampshire/

My Disclaimer: This is an early poll. No single poll result should be over emphasized, especially this early.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

crazytown

(7,277 posts)

3. Change research polls are way out of line

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Fri Jul 12, 2019, 07:40 PM

Jul 2019

Worthless IMO.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)

4. I post all polls with neither favor or prejudice.

Reply to crazytown (Reply #3)

Fri Jul 12, 2019, 07:42 PM

Jul 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

crazytown

(7,277 posts)

5. Yeah I know

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #4)

Fri Jul 12, 2019, 07:44 PM

Jul 2019

Warren is my candidate but I would not feed my dog a change research poll. My 2c.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

bluewater

(5,376 posts)

6. Change Research is rated C+, MorningConsult is rated B-

Reply to crazytown (Reply #5)

Fri Jul 12, 2019, 08:32 PM

Jul 2019

Change Research is rated C+ by 538 yet some DUers disparage it.

MorningConsult is rate B- by 538 and yet is quoted all the time.

Is that because The MorningConsult Poll is usually one of Joe Biden's strongest polls and Change Research hasn't been lately?

Both are "online" polls, btw.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

crazytown

(7,277 posts)

7. The Change Research polls are garbage

Reply to bluewater (Reply #6)

Fri Jul 12, 2019, 09:07 PM

Jul 2019

as you well know, which is why you reported their SC poll with Biden at +6, while every other poll, include the FNC A rated poll sampled afterwards, had him at >+20%. Change Research polls are good for click bait, and that's it.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Demsrule86

(68,578 posts)

8. Warren should win as she is from Mass...

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Fri Jul 12, 2019, 09:26 PM

Jul 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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