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Democratic Primaries
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Congratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
(CNN) Even after first debates, Joe Biden still holds a 20-point lead with black voters
<Snip>
After getting attacked by Harris during the first Democratic debates over a number of racial issues (including busing), there was a real question as to whether Biden would be able to hold onto African American support.
<Snip>
Despite all the press surrounding Harris' debate moment, she actually came in third among black voters (12%) behind Biden and Sanders (15%). Beyond South Carolina, other polling suggests that Harris still has work to do with black voters.
<Snip>
Harris is still about 20 points behind Biden among black voters overall. In an average of four live interview national polls (ABC News/Washington Post, CNN/SSRS, NBC News/Wall Street Journal and Quinnipiac University) taken after the debate.
Biden's campaign is still largely being powered by black voters in a way Harris' campaign isn't. In the aforementioned same national polls, Biden does 17 points better among black voters than among white voters. That's very different than Harris, who does only 4 points better among black voters than white voters. It would be easy to say Biden's black voter base exists merely because he was Barack Obama's vice president. That certainly helps, but there's probably more to it than that. Biden's more moderate ideology compared to other leading Democratic presidential contenders gives him an edge with black voters, who are some of the most conservative voters in the Democratic coalition. He also does best with non-college graduates; more black voters than white voters lack a college degree.
https://edition.cnn.com/2019/07/13/politics/joe-biden-leads-with-black-voters-analysis/index.html
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
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(CNN) Even after first debates, Joe Biden still holds a 20-point lead with black voters (Original Post)
Skya Rhen
Jul 2019
OP
Scurrilous
(38,687 posts)1. K&R
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Loki Liesmith
(4,602 posts)2. Lol
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
guillaumeb
(42,641 posts)3. What factor does name recognition play? eom
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DownriverDem
(6,231 posts)4. Well
we know Joe and it appears more folks like and want him. I sure do.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
TwilightZone
(25,479 posts)10. Sanders has 100% name recognition.
So, apparently not as much as some seem to believe.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
oasis
(49,407 posts)5. Weak gotcha attacks won't take Joe down. There's too much at stake
this time around. Democrats who seriously want Trump defeated know deep down inside Biden's our best chance to get it done.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gustafo
(26 posts)6. What was the lead before?
30? 20? 10?
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
StarfishSaver
(18,486 posts)7. "After getting attacked by Harris"
Not "chided," "pushed back," "called out," "knocked" ...
Attacked.
As I've been saying ... https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287200714
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Vegas Roller
(704 posts)8. "That little girl was me" was an epic fail in the long run n/t
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LakeArenal
(28,845 posts)9. Yay!!!
Biden is also the most qualified nationally and especially globally.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Kind of Blue
(8,709 posts)11. South Carolina before the debate June 20th reported in South Carolina
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/in-south-carolina-biden-is-democrats-top-choice/
From your link, "Biden leads among black voters in the Palmetto State with 41%." That's a big drop in South Carolina in less than a month.
Nationally back around June 20th, again using CNN as the source, An average of our CNN polling in late April and late May shows Biden lapping the field among black voters with about 50%. Harris, Sanders and Warren were all between 5% and 10%. Biden's 40 point lead among black voters was more than double his about 15 point lead among white voters.
https://www.cnn.com/2019/06/22/politics/joe-biden-2020-black-voters-poll/index.html
Now, and finishing off a sentence left out in one of your paragraphs, Harris is still about 20 points behind Biden among black voters overall. In an average of four live interview national polls (ABC News/Washington Post, CNN/SSRS, NBC News/Wall Street Journal and Quinnipiac University) taken after the debate, Biden holds 39% of the black vote. Harris is in second place with 20%, which is only 5 points ahead of Sanders' 15%.
Statistics is not my strong point but surely even I can see that he has a comfortable but shrinking lead. Those are the trends that I look for and we're just getting started.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Cha
(297,650 posts)12. This is really Great to see, Skya.. Mahalo!
Biden's campaign is still largely being powered by black voters in a way Harris' campaign isn't
They know who Joe Biden is.. Harris isn't going to define him.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Skya Rhen
(2,701 posts)15. Mahalo, Cha!
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(297,650 posts)16. Thank You!
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Turin_C3PO
(14,047 posts)13. Good job Joe!
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
helpisontheway
(5,008 posts)14. Good! Try again Kamala..🙄 Nt
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(297,650 posts)17. No doubt.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden