of just presenting the poll results.

and putting emphasis on one part, but minimizing the other part:

"Yet the poll continues to show Biden with a double digit lead over Sanders, and he has more than twice the support of Harris and more than three times the support of Warren to this point.
The Hill-HarrisX poll surveyed 1,003 voters between July 12 and July 13. The sampling margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points."

I wonder why that is?

No snipping nor jumping around was done in the OP.

The first 6 paragraphs of the article were quoted in order.

The posting guidelines on DU say that for copyright reasons quotes should be limited to about 4 paragraph.
I thought I could post 6 to include results for Buttigieg and O'Rourke since the paragraphs were fairly short.

The Hill article made a point of emphasizing the trend of Biden's support dropping in the Hill-HarrisX poll, they stressed this in the headline, the lead paragraph and the third paragraph.

They also made a point in the 6th paragraph to stress that Biden, Warren and Harris were in a statistical tie, all being within the poll's margin of error.

fully balanced view of the article, would have used "...……………..", followed by the last two lines of the article.

The BOLD HIGHTLIGHTING really does the trick

"Yet the poll continues to show Biden with a double digit lead over Sanders, and he has more than twice the support of Harris and more than three times the support of Warren to this point.
The Hill-HarrisX poll surveyed 1,003 voters between July 12 and July 13. The sampling margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points."

As an aside, from my perspective, national polls mean very little, since that isn't how primaries or general elections are done

State polls have more weighting, though it is still a long way off until the primaries

volatility involved at this stage

IMHO

headline makes it sounds like he's losing badly

in the OP, are NOT in the article at all

"Yet the poll continues to show Biden with a double digit lead over Sanders, and he has more than twice the support of Harris and more than three times the support of Warren to this point.
The Hill-HarrisX poll surveyed 1,003 voters between July 12 and July 13. The sampling margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points."

Which is more important?

The Lead or The Trend?



Let's ALL celebrate the poll results!

I dobt think they will vote in a democratic primary...

128 of the 446 Democrats and independents (I'm guessing these were independent who identified as leaning Democratic, since that's usually what pollsters ask when polling on primaries) who were asked whom they'd vote for in the Democratic primary.

The pollster did NOT ask that question of Republicans.

Look at the VERY FIRST line of the table.

Anyway, of the 446 people polled, 371 were Democrats and 75 were independents.



112 self-identified as Strong liberal. Biden got 28 of those (see the second line of that table), for 25% of that most liberal group.

124 Lean liberal. 33 of those for Biden, or 27%.

174 Moderate, and 55 of those for Biden, or 32%.

24 Lean conservative (as some Democrats do), with Biden getting 6 of those. The table says that's 27%, but it looks like 25% to me.

12 identifying as Strong conservative, with Biden getting 4 of those, or 33%

So of the 128 people polled from Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents who chose Biden, 61 were liberals, 55 were moderates, and 10 were conservative.


PLEASE read polls more carefully before posting about them here.

self-delete.

My fault for trying to reply from the underground.

be from only Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents.

It was a damn nuisance scrolling back and forth to find the numbers I needed. I wish The Hill would publish those internal numbers the way other pollsters do.

Anyway, thanks for correcting/deleting your post.

No way it stands given today’s media. That’s bad news for Biden and good news for the rest of the field. Really shows you how respected Biden is by so many.

many attacks being made on him from the left as well as the right.

It can't be credibly argued any more that this is just name recognition, that voters aren't aware of the other candidates. They're aware of them. And Biden still has 2-3 times the support of his three closest rivals.

On a consistent basis? Or on any basis nationally?

going back and forth between two or more candidates.

to be consistently dropping in the polls all the time. I think the only thing keeping him afloat is because there are so many candidates still in the pool. Once a bunch of them start dropping out, the other top 3 or 4 candidates will benefit at the expense of Biden, and Joe's lead will most likely vanish. If his numbers don't start increasing by early August, I think it's curtains for him by October.

Any candidate who doesn't sign on to some version of Bernie's Medicare For All healthcare plan has no chance of winning the primary.


Bernie & Elizabeth 2020!!!
Welcome to the revolution!!!

Sid

Exponentially.

He's just getting too much exposure. What the hell are is handlers thinking?

On the other hand, he is great at running for vice president!

if Rafael Nadal was my partner.

even as his poll numbers go down.


Bernie & Elizabeth 2020!!!
Welcome to the revolution!!!

He did great before he could make up his mind whether or not he was going to enter the race, but as soon as he got in it and got exposure, he started to sink like crazy. I wouldn't be surprised if his handlers convince him to call in sick for the next debate. I think that's the only way he can prevent his numbers from going into a free fall.

It also appears that Biden will continue to draw contrasts between the progressive agenda for health care and his own proposal, which is to leave the very popular ACA in place and to
improve it.

Yup.

...

combined.

Biden has nearly twice the support Sanders has.

Nearly three times the support Harris has, despite all the media attention she got for her attack on him in the debate.

And more than three times the support Warren has.

As I recall, there were lots of predictions that once voters got a better look at our candidates in the debates, the polls would look entirely different.

The other candidates got that attention.

Biden still has a clear, commanding lead.

Yet he still maintains a substantial lead over his opponents. Continues to have a sizable lead in the AA community.

No one doubted that his bump would level off from the high he enjoyed following his bid announcement.

Joe Biden is not progressive enough and leaving him now. His support dropping May only worsen because of his poor showings.

👎