Democratic Primaries

TexasTowelie

(112,322 posts) Sun Jul 21, 2019, 03:51 PM Jul 2019

Beto O'Rourke qualifies for third debate

Former Texas congressman Beto O'Rourke has seen his support almost collapse. He registers just 2% in our latest New Hampshire poll. This comes after he reported pulling in less than $4 million during the second fundraising quarter of 2019.

There is one good piece of news: O'Rourke has qualified for the third primary debates in September. To qualify, a candidate needs to reach a fundraising threshold (which O'Rourke has) as well as get at least 2% in four qualifying polls. O'Rourke already had hit 2% in three polls. This New Hampshire poll is O'Rourke's fourth.

The question, of course, is whether being on the debate stage will actually do O'Rourke any good. His first debate performance was subpar; only 1% of New Hampshire Democratic primary voters said he did the best in it.

Further, our New Hampshire survey is just the latest to show O'Rourke flailing in the polls. A recent Iowa poll from Suffolk University had him at just 1% there. Our CNN Poll of Polls has O'Rourke at a mere 2% nationally.

O'Rourke's road to recovery will likely need to begin in our CNN debates taking place in Detroit on July 30 and 31.

https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/2020-democratic-candidate-poll/h_29bc265a6c384e1cac5274efc6bfa145?utm_content=2019-07-16T18%3A37%3A43

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

7 replies

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Beto O'Rourke qualifies for third debate (Original Post) TexasTowelie Jul 2019 OP

Biden and Sanders both need a good second debate also. bluewater Jul 2019 #1

I agree with you. TexasTowelie Jul 2019 #3

Yeah Gothmog Jul 2019 #2

Excellent news crazytown Jul 2019 #4

Third debate likely to be eight people... brooklynite Jul 2019 #5

Excellent! emulatorloo Jul 2019 #6

Beto is probably a far betrter candidate than many others Vegas Roller Jul 2019 #7

bluewater

(5,376 posts)

1. Biden and Sanders both need a good second debate also.

Reply to TexasTowelie (Original post)

Sun Jul 21, 2019, 03:59 PM

Jul 2019

Biden and Sanders have both dropped considerably in the post first debate polls also. They need their own "road to recovery" to begin in the CNN debates taking place in Detroit on July 30 and 31.

I am betting that out of Biden, O'Rourke and Sanders, it will be Beto that gets the biggest post 2nd debate bump in the polls.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

TexasTowelie

(112,322 posts)

3. I agree with you.

Reply to bluewater (Reply #1)

Sun Jul 21, 2019, 04:13 PM

Jul 2019

I think that Beto was concerned about being Mr. Nice Guy in the first debate that it hurt him. I expect for him to be more aggressive and show that he is up to the challenge during the second debate. I expect him to be aggressive with both Senators Sanders and Warren about M4A and that it is not financially feasible. His plan to help stabilize Social Security is filled with realistic proposals that can be adopted by Congress. Also the bounce that Castro experienced after his attack of O'Rourke has evaporated and Castro may not make the third debate. It is looking like the third debate will have either 7 or 8 candidates, the other two that could qualify are Booker and Yang unless one of the other candidates stands out in the second debate.

Over the past week, the two candidates that have rebounded from the first debate performances are Biden and O'Rourke according to RCP,

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden