Democratic Primaries

TexasTowelie

(112,322 posts) Sun Jul 21, 2019, 04:22 PM Jul 2019

Texas Primary Poll by YouGov/CBS: Biden 27, O'Rourke 17, Warren 16, Sanders 12, Harris 12

Buttigieg and Castro are at 4% while everyone else is at 1% or less.

Reallocating delegates after eliminating those with less than 15% would show Biden receiving 45% of the delegates, O'Rourke receiving 28% and Warren receiving 27%.

Survey was conducted between July 9 and July 18.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/tx/texas_democratic_primary-6875.html

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

15 replies

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Highlight:

Texas Primary Poll by YouGov/CBS: Biden 27, O'Rourke 17, Warren 16, Sanders 12, Harris 12 (Original Post) TexasTowelie Jul 2019 OP

Yeah for Texas Gothmog Jul 2019 #1

Do you really think so? Princetonian Jul 2019 #2

Yes Gothmog Jul 2019 #12

Considering Beto was thisclose to becoming Senator, i hope this is the year of Texas going blue. Princetonian Jul 2019 #15

After reallocating for the 15% threshold to obtain delegates TexasTowelie Jul 2019 #4

Can't Independents and Republicans vote in the primary too? Indygram Jul 2019 #6

Yes, independents and Republicans can vote in the Texas primary, TexasTowelie Jul 2019 #7

I think one of the exceptional women running against Cornyn would do much better IF Indygram Jul 2019 #9

Canvassers on the ground show Beto beating Trump by something like 38% with even Republicans Indygram Jul 2019 #5

If Beto wins in Texas and no other states flip between 2016 and 2020, TexasTowelie Jul 2019 #8

Me too Indygram Jul 2019 #11

Gracias, TexasT! Cha Jul 2019 #3

I hope TX turns blue for 2020. brer cat Jul 2019 #10

I also share this hope Gothmog Jul 2019 #13

Joe's rollin' oasis Jul 2019 #14

Gothmog

(145,433 posts)

1. Yeah for Texas

Reply to TexasTowelie (Original post)

Sun Jul 21, 2019, 04:25 PM

Jul 2019

Texas will be a battleground state if Biden or Beto is on the ticket

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Princetonian

(1,501 posts)

2. Do you really think so?

Reply to Gothmog (Reply #1)

Sun Jul 21, 2019, 04:27 PM

Jul 2019

I think every Chumpanzee will come out of the woodwork.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Gothmog

(145,433 posts)

12. Yes

Reply to Princetonian (Reply #2)

Wed Jul 24, 2019, 02:07 PM

Jul 2019

Link to tweet

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Princetonian

(1,501 posts)

15. Considering Beto was thisclose to becoming Senator, i hope this is the year of Texas going blue.

Reply to Gothmog (Reply #12)

Wed Jul 24, 2019, 03:19 PM

Jul 2019

But I have a feeling that Putin will not let that happen.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

TexasTowelie

(112,322 posts)

4. After reallocating for the 15% threshold to obtain delegates

Reply to Gothmog (Reply #1)

Sun Jul 21, 2019, 04:34 PM

Jul 2019

that puts Biden at 45%, O'Rourke at 28% and Warren at 27%. No other candidates will be awarded delegates.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Indygram

(2,113 posts)

6. Can't Independents and Republicans vote in the primary too?

Reply to TexasTowelie (Reply #4)

Sun Jul 21, 2019, 04:40 PM

Jul 2019

If so, and only Democrats are polled, these results may not be very reliable.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

TexasTowelie

(112,322 posts)

7. Yes, independents and Republicans can vote in the Texas primary,

Reply to Indygram (Reply #6)

Sun Jul 21, 2019, 04:56 PM

Jul 2019

but if they do then they cannot vote in runoff elections for Republicans after the primary. That could discourage them if there are close races expected down ballot.

Thus far, I believe that Cornyn hasn't drawn any serious challengers in the Senate race. However, the local elections could persuade some not to enter the Democratic party, while other may not be willing to wear the "badge of shame" by voting in the Democratic primary. I could envision that some Republicans might raid the primary and vote for Beto if they think that it will extend the primaries for BIden or whomever is leading at the time. There isn't a large amount of crossover votes though.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Indygram

(2,113 posts)

9. I think one of the exceptional women running against Cornyn would do much better IF

Reply to TexasTowelie (Reply #7)

Sun Jul 21, 2019, 05:00 PM

Jul 2019

people would quit diminishing their campaigns by pushing the dumb call for Beto to run for Senate. If those people cared about that race they would support one of the women running.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Indygram

(2,113 posts)

5. Canvassers on the ground show Beto beating Trump by something like 38% with even Republicans

Reply to Gothmog (Reply #1)

Sun Jul 21, 2019, 04:38 PM

Jul 2019

But virtually no mention at all of Biden. I don't know who is being polled but according to people who are out canvassing in dark red districts it shows Beto would win in Texas. These canvassing teams are out every single week and they knock on ALL doors, not just likely Democratic voters. I don't think Biden would take Texas but I am convinced Beto would.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

TexasTowelie

(112,322 posts)

8. If Beto wins in Texas and no other states flip between 2016 and 2020,

Reply to Indygram (Reply #5)

Sun Jul 21, 2019, 05:00 PM

Jul 2019

then we have a Democratic president! I still believe that Beto can flip some other red states which would expand the lead.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Indygram

(2,113 posts)

11. Me too

Reply to TexasTowelie (Reply #8)

Sun Jul 21, 2019, 05:32 PM

Jul 2019

I think he is the only one who can really bring out a massive amount of new voters. I actually think that is why he isn't doing better in polls. New and young voters don"t get polled. I think when actual votes come in people are going to be shocked.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided