Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumTop tier emerges in 2020 field -- CBS Battleground Tracker poll
Joe Biden continues to be the first choice among Democratic voters across the 2020 primary states holding contests through Super Tuesday. However, rivals Elizabeth Warren and Kamala Harris are gaining on him and have seen increases in the number of voters at least considering them, suggesting they could have more room to gain going forward.
If we consider a 15% threshold as the minimum support needed to win convention delegates, then across the early states, four candidates would meet that benchmark: Biden, Warren, Harris and Bernie Sanders.
The contest is tighter now among estimated delegates across early states, the true measure of the contest delegates to the convention. By this measure, Warren is much closer to Biden due to stronger showings especially in very liberal areas.
Biden's support continues to benefit from his perceived electability against President Trump and positive ratings of his time as vice president, and he does especially well with voters who would prefer that a candidate take a more polite and civil tone.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/top-tier-emerges-in-2020-field--cbs-battleground-tracker-poll/ar-AAEEGI2?li=BBnb7Kz
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
madville
(7,412 posts)Biden - 581
Warren - 430
Sanders - 249
Harris - 173
O'Rourke - 48
AL, AR, CA, CO, IA, ME, MA, MN, NV, NH, NC, OK, SC, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA.
My takeaways, surprised Harris is in third place in California and Warren's rise is impressive.
Biggest number from the poll, 75% of voters think Biden can beat Trump, 50% think Sanders can defeat Trump and Harris and Warren are at 46% and 45%.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
MBS
(9,688 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
madville
(7,412 posts)If they are all in that 15-25% range no one is going to drop out before Super Tuesday.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Wounded Bear
(58,677 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden