Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumBernie is killing it in the debate so far.
He is clear as a bell and giving them hell!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
hlthe2b
(102,337 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
JoeOtterbein
(7,702 posts)Maybe cause he wrote the points many of what the others are debating.
Oh also Liz!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
hlthe2b
(102,337 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
DemocracyMouse
(2,275 posts)Sanders, Warren, Buttigieg are all sharp as hell and speak clearly, vividly and on themes all Americans are now hungry to tackle.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
sacto95834
(393 posts)He's very skilled at framing his responses. Wish I could do it 1/2 as well.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
unc70
(6,117 posts)Tapper keeps pushing the GOP gotcha talking points. Bernie has far more experience than others dealing with those type attacks from the "moderators".
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
emulatorloo
(44,169 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Raven123
(4,862 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
JoeOtterbein
(7,702 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Xipe Totec
(43,890 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
JoeOtterbein
(7,702 posts)...Bernie and Liz!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
CentralMass
(15,265 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
George II
(67,782 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(145,486 posts)sanders is not doing it for me
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
JoeOtterbein
(7,702 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Gothmog
(145,486 posts)If sanders is the nominee, trump will win 45+ states
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
JoeOtterbein
(7,702 posts)...or not!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Gothmog
(145,486 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
JoeOtterbein
(7,702 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Gothmog
(145,486 posts)I am so happy that sanders will not be the nominee. There are too many real Democrats who have good memories and who do not forgive or forget
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
sacto95834
(393 posts)we get it. You don't like Bernie. Basta!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Gothmog
(145,486 posts)I am very hopeful that we will not have the disruptions at the National convention this cycle if sanders fails to get 300 delegates. I was a delegate to the Philadelphia convention and saw how the process works. One key item is that under the rules, a candidate cannot be put into nomination without 300 delegates. https://democrats.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/2020-Call-for-Convention-WITH-Attachments-2.26.19.pdf
States in the following manner:
a. Requests to nominate a presidential candidate shall be in writing and shall have affixed thereto the written approval of the proposed nominee and the name of the individuals who shall be recognized to make the nominating and seconding speeches on behalf of a presidential candidate and shall be delivered to the Convention Secretary at a location as specified by the Secretary no later than 6:00 p.m. of the day preceding the day designated for the commencement of presidential nominations.
b. Each such request must be accompanied by a petition indicating support for the proposed nominee signed by delegates representing not less than 300 or more than 600 delegate votes, not more than 50 of which may come from one (1) delegation. A delegate may not sign more than one (1) nominating petition for president and for vice president. Pledged and automatic delegates may sign the petition.
If sanders is frozen out of enough states due to the 15% rule and remaining non-Biden delegates are split among several candidates, there is a chance that sanders may not reach 300 threshold
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
BlueWI
(1,736 posts)Sanders wouldn't lose 45+ states.
Biden is on tomorrow. My guess is that you'll be impressed then. Why not just enjoy your preferred candidate and respect differences among Democratic voters?
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Gothmog
(145,486 posts)If sanders is the nominee, trump will win 45+ states. I will be voting based on which candidate can beat trump. Socialism will be easy to use against sanders
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(145,486 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
UniteFightBack
(8,231 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
InAbLuEsTaTe
(24,122 posts)unlike those just now taking the "Bernie line" just to get elected.
Bernie & Elizabeth 2020!!!
Welcome to the revolution!!!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
JudyM
(29,265 posts)prescription and fossil fuel issues.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
JoeOtterbein
(7,702 posts)Plus Liz! Wow. What a team!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
JudyM
(29,265 posts)It feels reassuring in my guts. Havent felt that about the country/world in quite a while.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
JoeOtterbein
(7,702 posts)...feel!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
InAbLuEsTaTe
(24,122 posts)Bernie & Elizabeth 2020!!!
Welcome to the revolution!!!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Raine
(30,540 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
JoeOtterbein
(7,702 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
InAbLuEsTaTe
(24,122 posts)Bernie & Elizabeth 2020!!!
Welcome to the revolution!!!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Joe941
(2,848 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
JoeOtterbein
(7,702 posts)Me two!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
InAbLuEsTaTe
(24,122 posts)Bernie & Elizabeth 2020!!!
Welcome to the revolution!!!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
JoeOtterbein
(7,702 posts)Love em!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
ancianita
(36,130 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
JoeOtterbein
(7,702 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
MuseRider
(34,115 posts)Yes, he is the old guy telling you to get off his lawn. He knows that, we all do, but he is who he is.
I do like him, felt fabulous caucusing for him and winning in the state of Kansas.
I will vote for him if he wins with a big smile on my face but I am not backing him this time. I am mostly figuring out who I do not want right now. Separating the moderates from those I would love to work for.
Elizabeth Warren is doing a tremendous job tonight. I do like her, I always have.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
JoeOtterbein
(7,702 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Uncle Joe
(58,394 posts)Thanks for the thread JoeOtterbein.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
JoeOtterbein
(7,702 posts)...make s... up!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Uncle Joe
(58,394 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
JoeOtterbein
(7,702 posts)(don't have little waving guys but just say I do!)
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
flying_wahini
(6,640 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Sparkly
(24,149 posts)CNN cast him as Gladys Knight and everybody else as The Pips.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
JoeOtterbein
(7,702 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
relayerbob
(6,551 posts)Yelling, blustering and sounding out of control does not indicate solid leadership skills, IMO.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
JoeOtterbein
(7,702 posts)It worked for Trump in 16.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
relayerbob
(6,551 posts)I think the whole world has really had enough of it. Buttigieg was the most rational person on that stage
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
JoeOtterbein
(7,702 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
relayerbob
(6,551 posts)Bernie is one-dimensional. All anger. I'm sick and tired old, angry white mail f*ckers telling us what is good for us. Go away, we need new leadership. Women, POC, youth. And, btw, I'm an old, angry white f*cker. ha
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ProfessorPlum
(11,267 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
BlueWI
(1,736 posts)Clarity of conviction - you have it or you don't. Being willing to name the problems is a breath of fresh air.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
JoeOtterbein
(7,702 posts)Clarity kills!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
NYMinute
(3,256 posts)has its disadvantages in judging reality.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Doitnow
(1,103 posts)Go Bernie!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
NYMinute
(3,256 posts)Oh yes -- he named two post offices in Vermont. Bravo.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Doitnow
(1,103 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
JI7
(89,261 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Doitnow
(1,103 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
NYMinute
(3,256 posts)MFA is Ted Kennedy's idea
Tuition Debt Relief is Senator Warren's idea
Higher minimum wage has been in the works for 30+ years
BS just appropriated these issues.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ancianita
(36,130 posts)them Democratic policy.
No other Democratic candidates disagree with him except to quibble about incremental moves in health care that eventually lead to what he advocates, anyway.
He knows exactly how to pay for it all, too. The rest just don't want to piss off the rich by agreeing with him.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
NYMinute
(3,256 posts)Just slogans and a big ego
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
JoeOtterbein
(7,702 posts)No fake love from Bernie!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
NYMinute
(3,256 posts)People are just means to an end to BS -- and it shows. ZERO EMPATHY.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
JoeOtterbein
(7,702 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
sheshe2
(83,853 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
JoeOtterbein
(7,702 posts)What a great tag team on MFA!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
sheshe2
(83,853 posts)Elizabeth Warren is my Senator and I have listened to her speak and met her in person. She is brilliant, vivacious and a passionate speaker.
E Warren stands solidly on her own.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
JoeOtterbein
(7,702 posts)And hopefully against Trump tomorrow, and I do not care a bit who heads the ticket!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
sheshe2
(83,853 posts)No. First off would love E to be the candidate, B would never accept second place to E. As to the reverse, which won't happen, E is way to valuable in the Senate to take a second seat. That woman has miles to go before she sleeps.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
JoeOtterbein
(7,702 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
sheshe2
(83,853 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Sparkly
(24,149 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
floppyboo
(2,461 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
redstateblues
(10,565 posts)Like it or not his self avowed Socialism will not land him in the White House.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Hoyt
(54,770 posts)risky, unless something unexpected happens.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
JoeOtterbein
(7,702 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Hoyt
(54,770 posts)Id also have to see less of that Economic Patriotism, ie America First junk, those two are touting. We have enough of that right now.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
grantcart
(53,061 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DavidDvorkin
(19,483 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
pnwmom
(108,990 posts)If you loved him last time, you'll love him this time.
I doubt if he converted any Hillary voters, and he can't win without some of them.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
JoeOtterbein
(7,702 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
pnwmom
(108,990 posts)Hillary voters to choose him over one of the other highly qualified candidates in the primary.
I don't know any Hillary people who prefer him over the other 19. And I know several former Bernie people who've moved to Warren.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
JoeOtterbein
(7,702 posts)You are correct to note it's strength.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Princetonian
(1,501 posts)Everyone on stage should have done that.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
JoeOtterbein
(7,702 posts)BOOM!!!!!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
myohmy2
(3,169 posts)...Bernie...
...there's a sincere passion and a fire there that I don't see in many other candidates...
...like his polices or not, Bernie believes in what he's saying and he wants you to become a believer too...I think Bernie would do very well up against trump in a debate...
...I think the contrast between a lying name-calling trump and an honest truth-telling Bernie would be stark and compelling...
...not bad...
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
JoeOtterbein
(7,702 posts)...List!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
AverageJoe
(2,292 posts)Bernie and Warren were both great tonight. They are the class of the field. Either would blow trump off the stage.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
JoeOtterbein
(7,702 posts)Now, I'm getting too far out with the numbers! LOL!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Princetonian
(1,501 posts)And why he did surprisingly well in 2016.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
grantcart
(53,061 posts)Sanders drift downward has reached a new low in today's Quinnipiac poll where he is in 4th place with 11%
In 2016 he benefited from a) a whole lot of "anybody but Hillary" sentiment that was fueled by millions of messages from Russian troll farms b) getting a free pass in scrutiny by the media who never bothered to scrutinize what He was actually saying and the costs involved.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Princetonian
(1,501 posts)National polls are less compelling than state polls this far out.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
grantcart
(53,061 posts)Even among the "activist" wing he is sinking. Scroll up and you will see he is about to drop to 5th place in the DU poll which has been very prescient in showing future trends of the party.
As for your point on state vs national polls you make my point in spades. As the ONLY candidate who has run a national campaign he should be out performing on national polls due to name recognition and being the only candidate already having a campaign in place in all 50 states, but the reverse is true.
There is nothing in the polls that is encouraging to the Sanders campaign.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Princetonian
(1,501 posts)Given he is running against Baracks's VP, it is remarkable that both Bernie and Liz are in the top tier.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
grantcart
(53,061 posts)The problem with the insincere interlocutor is that having already established your preferred conclusion you will just keep changing metrics until you find the one that you think proves your case. Not agreeing with the national polling you state
National polls are less compelling than state polls this far out
Lets look at the state with frequent polling that is closest to Senator Sanders home: New Hampshire
We will pick
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/nh/new_hampshire_democratic_presidential_primary-6276.html
the state started the campaign with the widest margin favouring Sanders
the poll that gives Sanders the best numbers
so all of the bias is going for Sanders, not against him
1) The facts are that the state polls that you prefer show an even greater collapse than the national polls do. Using the same pollster UNH (to avoid cherry picking results but providing exactly the same methodology in all of the polls) we see that Sanders has lost more than half of his supporters in NH and has moved from a commanding first place lead to third place (and in the most recent poll from a different NH pollster fallen to 5th place.
Before the campaign cycle started this is what UNH showed Sanders support as
1) Sanders 31
2) Biden 24
3) Warrren 13
4) Harris 1
At the beginning of the cycle in Feb
1) Sanders 26
2) Biden 22
3) Harris 10
4) Warren 7
5) Buttigieg 1
In July Sanders had fallen to 3rd place within the margin of error.
1) Biden 24
2) Warren 19
3) Sanders 19
4) Buttigieg
5) Harris 9
Again this is all from UNH polling which has consistently given Sanders the HIGHEST numbers.
The average for all current polls is pretty close
1) Biden 24
2) Warren 18
3) Sanders 16
4) Harris 13
5) Buttigieg
The most recent poll from St Anselm has Sanders in 5th place
What is really remarkable about Sanders, the guy who wanted to primary President Obama is that in looking at all of the major candidates from all of the major parties no candidate in recent history had less support from the colleagues who actually worked with him. Of the approximately 50 Democratic Senators he received no endorsements until the very end (six weeks after Super Tuesday gave Secretary Clinton an insurmountable lead) when Senator Merkley became the sole Senator to endorse Senator Sanders. Sanders inability to attract Vermont Democratic office holders who had worked with and knew Sen Sanders the best in 2016 confirms what this cycle is proving; the more people know about Sanders (including neighboring NH) the less support he has.
Over the last few months there has been a consistent decline of support for Sanders in both National and State polls and with Senator Warren's strong performance last night, more erosion is coming his way.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Princetonian
(1,501 posts)Polls all through 2016 and recently show Bernie is the most likeable of all of the candidates. Voters like him which is the only metric that matters.
As for his popularity amongst fellow Senators, who cares? Keep in mind that Barack had only one Democratic Senator endorse him until well into the 2008.
Doesn't the latest Michigan poll which has Sanders in second place? As for national polls, the latest YouGov poll has him sitting pretty next to Joe and Liz.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
still_one
(92,359 posts)different approaches to the problems we face don't you?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(145,486 posts)I agree with this analysis https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2019/07/31/dem-debate-gop-strategists-roundup-227491?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
aidbo
(2,328 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
zackymilly
(2,375 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
SouthernProgressive
(1,810 posts)He is a well funded career politician. Decades of experience for debates. I'm a bit surprised at how little I'm hearing about him this morning.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
wyldwolf
(43,869 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden