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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

highplainsdem

(49,029 posts)
Wed Aug 14, 2019, 10:04 AM Aug 2019

Internal #s from SC poll: Biden leads w/all age groups but youngest, with black voters by 30 points

Skya Rhen has already posted a thread about the top numbers from the poll

https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287239014

showing Biden with 36% and his two closest rivals, Warren and Sanders, nearly tied with less than half of Biden's support in the state.

I wanted to check the poll's internal numbers.

https://www.changeresearch.com/south-carolina-poll-aug-9-12-2019

Despite attacks on Biden made in attempt to lower his support among black voters, he still leads with them 45% to 15% each for Sanders and Harris. (That page about the poll doesn't provide the exact percentage for the other candidates, just a graph, but judging by the graph, Warren's support among black voters in SC might be in single digits, with other candidates doing worse. Looks like Booker probably is getting only about 5% support there.)

Among white voters, Warren has a narrow lead over Biden, 26% to 24%. Sanders is third with 16%.

Biden leads among all age groups in South Carolina except 18-34 year-old voters; Sanders leads this group with 30%, followed by Warren (26%). Biden has a 39-point lead among voters 65 and older with 53%; Warren follows with 14%.


Again, the poll data available on that page doesn't give a percentage for Biden's support among the youngest group of voters, but it looks like it's about half the support Sanders has, so probably around 15%. I'm not surprised that Sanders and Warren are leading with that group, given their plans for free college and forgiving college debt.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
4 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Internal #s from SC poll: Biden leads w/all age groups but youngest, with black voters by 30 points (Original Post) highplainsdem Aug 2019 OP
Young voters are historically the demographic with the lowest turnout. George II Aug 2019 #1
That is true...I believe Biden will be our nominee... Demsrule86 Aug 2019 #3
Yes and ... jcgoldie Aug 2019 #4
... Scurrilous Aug 2019 #2
 

George II

(67,782 posts)
1. Young voters are historically the demographic with the lowest turnout.
Wed Aug 14, 2019, 10:07 AM
Aug 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Demsrule86

(68,646 posts)
3. That is true...I believe Biden will be our nominee...
Wed Aug 14, 2019, 12:56 PM
Aug 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

jcgoldie

(11,639 posts)
4. Yes and ...
Wed Aug 14, 2019, 01:00 PM
Aug 2019

...the fact that they are unlikely voters who vote overwhelmingly Democratic when they do turn out only serves to emphasize the importance of nominating an inspirational candidate.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
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