"Primary voters give Sanders a net rating of +71 points (83 favorable-12 unfavorable), while Warren is at +69 (79-10), Biden +67 (81-14), and Harris +58 (73-15)."

Thanks bluewater! I imagine things will be a bit topsy turvy until and after the iowa caucus

Both those contests should be neck and neck.

All within the MOE with each other.

Biden can beat trump. trump doesn't want to run against Biden. Go Joe!

Then the Faux news voters/viewers and Faux themselves for have set this up are even dumber than I thought. They have no clue who is even running.

At least they got 4 of five guesses.

Especially Fox polls. Welcome to mother Russia.

And goes back to 1988.

Because if this change in supposed voting patterns, the polls are weighted/adjusted to account for it.

So, think about it. The polls are adjusted to compensate for peoples voting more often for RepubliCONS. But are they voting more often for these criminals, Or are our voting systems more and more manipulated by RW criminals? Even 538 talks about it in his poll consolidating site.

So, now polls are not really accurate but routinely shifted to the right to reflect the rigging of our voting systems.

This way no one really can see how severe the rigging is especially when W outlawed real, fraud identifying exit polls.

And we have got to understand that Fox probably shifts the polls to the right even further because they are NOT a news organization just the GOP propaganda station.

Google it. There is plenty of data about it even going back to before the internet.

if the polls are close to the eventual result, it's not because the pollsters did a good job, it's because the pollster (all of them) deliberately ignore their own surveys and shift the result to reflect the rigging of the election without being able to know the extent of the rigging...

Polls aren't adjusted for what they want to predict/measure when the results don't match an expectation...they are adjusted when the demographics of the respondents don't reflect the makeup of the expected voting population.

And why are you talking about a red shift and Fox skewing their polls to the right when it was a poll about the Dem primary?

is it always because it is rigged?

See post 45 above for an explanation.

How would you explain that?

Does Mother Russia fail to support her conclusions as well, or is that just you?

Because the GOP tries so hard to rig them. See postv45 above.

like a contender. Real bad news for Bernie. Harris seems to be stuck in place. Joe is still the one to beat.

Biden at 31% and Harris at 8%.

All the ups and downs leveled out.

Honestly, I think both campaigns must be a little disappointed by that.

She would be a too VP choice for everyone but Booker and Castro. She, of course, can end up at the top of the ticket.

Biden 50, Trump 38
Sanders 48, trump 39
Warren 46, Trump 39
Harris 45, Trump 39

But guessing other Democratic Voters not so much. Maybe we'll see a Biden/Warren ticket for 2020?

there aren't many whose head is buried in the sand.

apparently 2016's novelty has worn off; the shiny object ain't what it used to be. I'll also add he sounds even more cross and more like an grumpy uncle than before. I think people have heard enough loud talking by the Idiot, to the point they can't tolerate another one shouting half the time he's speaking.

Joe could be as low as 26.5, and
Warren could be as high as 24.5%

Warren clearly has the momentum.

This race will be tighter than the media is spinning it...

has a loyal base which is at around 30%.

No other candidate is leapfrogging back and forth with him, as is the case with Warren and Sanders.

She has built herself into a force to be reckoned with!

Who leads the early primary states? Will it be Biden, Warren, Sanders and Harris all the way through to the end? Or are there early states where one of these outshine the others by a wide margin?

Um hmm. Sure.

Including historical accuracy of the polling house's predictions, methodology used, and the volume and breadth of polls conducted over the pollster's existence. (Some polling houses only conduct polls for single/select few states and only for presidential elections and nothing else)

The MOE of an individual poll is not a factor in the grade, but of course should be considered when analyzing any poll.

A MoE on an individual poll is a limitation of statistics. It doesn’t tell you anything about her quality of pollster.

A good pollster can have a higher MoE and still be more accurate than a shitty pollster that produces polls with a low MoE.

What a catastrophic collapse!