Democratic Primaries

highplainsdem

(49,004 posts) Mon Sep 30, 2019, 09:38 PM Sep 2019

9/25-28 Harris X poll, Likely/Definite voters: Biden 35%, Warren 19%, Sanders 15%,

Harris 6%, Buttigieg 4%, O'Rourke 3%, Booker & Yang 2%, all others 1% or less

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vS2fNicsNe95AS5ddWEqkuTA1jRNcILvZNdLMYs-b7uJtUS5cdMb6qS7dh5mSS76rXdZtHnID_uV3Ry/pubhtml/sheet?headers=false&gid=0

FiveThirtyEight is using the Definite Voter number from this poll as their Likely Voter number.

These latest results have Biden 2 points higher than in the last Full Week Democratic Primary Results for Sept. 20-27. Biden was at 33% for that week among Definite voters. (Numbers for Warren and Sanders are unchanged.)

https://scottrasmussen.com/full-week-democratic-primary-results-2/

This tracking poll is a Harris X/Scott Rasmussen collaboration.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

19 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

9/25-28 Harris X poll, Likely/Definite voters: Biden 35%, Warren 19%, Sanders 15%, (Original Post) highplainsdem Sep 2019 OP

Nate Silver tweet about this poll: highplainsdem Sep 2019 #1

But according to what a lot of people are saying on twitter Biden is done, why haven't voters been.. Cha Sep 2019 #5

It wasn't just twitter, a fair number here had done the same thing still_one Sep 2019 #11

And the polls were weak polls too...within the error of margin as well...but some are Demsrule86 Oct 2019 #15

Our candidate has to demonstrate that he or she can win some red or purple swing still_one Oct 2019 #16

I agree...and pushing out an incumbent who continues to be supported by his party is going to be Demsrule86 Oct 2019 #18

Yup still_one Oct 2019 #19

Nice numbers, Joe! Skya Rhen Sep 2019 #2

Biden surging! When anyone else moves 2 points it's surging redstateblues Sep 2019 #3

.. Cha Sep 2019 #6

More arm chair pundits predicting Biden's demise....bite the dust Thekaspervote Sep 2019 #7

You're Welcome, Kasper! I thought some Biden supporters Cha Sep 2019 #9

Smiles!!! Thekaspervote Sep 2019 #12

Hill Harris X Poll amongst Registered Voters ritapria Sep 2019 #4

Just gave him another small kick WheelWalker Sep 2019 #8

k&r nt BlueMississippi Sep 2019 #10

Oh yes, the endless obituaries on Joe Biden peggysue2 Sep 2019 #13

I checked all the state polls today Green Line Oct 2019 #14

Good to know! peggysue2 Oct 2019 #17

highplainsdem

(49,004 posts)

1. Nate Silver tweet about this poll:

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Sep 30, 2019, 09:41 PM

Sep 2019

Link to tweet

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Cha

(297,317 posts)

5. But according to what a lot of people are saying on twitter Biden is done, why haven't voters been..

Reply to highplainsdem (Reply #1)

Mon Sep 30, 2019, 10:01 PM

Sep 2019

Link to tweet

Retweeted! Mahalo, highplains

As I've been saying.. this is Patriots VS treasonous *******s.. It should only affect Biden and Dems positively.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

still_one

(92,219 posts)

11. It wasn't just twitter, a fair number here had done the same thing

Reply to Cha (Reply #5)

Mon Sep 30, 2019, 10:35 PM

Sep 2019

using terms like “Warren surging ahead of Biden”, when it was a two point gap, and not only that, but how “they saw this coming”

Of course those who have been saying that were saying that since Biden entered the race, as though saying it made it so. The media joined in that same circus

Still a lot of undecided Democrats out there, and a ways off, but at least at this point in time Biden is holding his own

When a poll shows a major reversal within a short period of time, it should be regarded as suspect until subsequent polls confirm it in my view

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Demsrule86

(68,586 posts)

15. And the polls were weak polls too...within the error of margin as well...but some are

Reply to still_one (Reply #11)

Tue Oct 1, 2019, 08:10 AM

Oct 2019

determined that Warren is the perfect candidate despite the numbers showing Biden is the best candidate to beat Trump. Warren has taken folks away from Sanders and maybe Harris not Biden. I do not believe Warren can win a general and have taken many hits for this viewpoint.

I would support her of course in a general...but I just don't see any path for victory for her in the rust belt...in the electoral college. I believe she takes the popular vote but what good does that do us? And I fear we lose any opportunity to take the senate and we put the house majority at risk if Warren is our nominee. The thing is I like Warren a great deal. I just don't think she will beat the orange monster...and he won with very bad polls numbers in the electoral college in 16.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

still_one

(92,219 posts)

16. Our candidate has to demonstrate that he or she can win some red or purple swing

Reply to Demsrule86 (Reply #15)

Tue Oct 1, 2019, 08:39 AM

Oct 2019

states in the GE

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Demsrule86

(68,586 posts)

18. I agree...and pushing out an incumbent who continues to be supported by his party is going to be

Reply to still_one (Reply #16)

Tue Oct 1, 2019, 10:00 AM

Oct 2019

harder than some think.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

still_one

(92,219 posts)

19. Yup

Reply to Demsrule86 (Reply #18)

Tue Oct 1, 2019, 11:07 AM

Oct 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Skya Rhen

(2,701 posts)

2. Nice numbers, Joe!

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Sep 30, 2019, 09:49 PM

Sep 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

redstateblues

(10,565 posts)

3. Biden surging! When anyone else moves 2 points it's surging

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Sep 30, 2019, 09:49 PM

Sep 2019

So let’s let Joe surge! (I know it’s all MOE but I’ll take it)

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Cha

(297,317 posts)

6. ..

Reply to redstateblues (Reply #3)

Mon Sep 30, 2019, 10:03 PM

Sep 2019

Link to tweet

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Thekaspervote

(32,778 posts)

7. More arm chair pundits predicting Biden's demise....bite the dust

Reply to Cha (Reply #6)

Mon Sep 30, 2019, 10:07 PM

Sep 2019

Thx for posting!!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Cha

(297,317 posts)

9. You're Welcome, Kasper! I thought some Biden supporters

Reply to Thekaspervote (Reply #7)

Mon Sep 30, 2019, 10:12 PM

Sep 2019

would get a kick out that.. I did.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Thekaspervote

(32,778 posts)

12. Smiles!!!

Reply to Cha (Reply #9)

Mon Sep 30, 2019, 11:20 PM

Sep 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

ritapria

(1,812 posts)

4. Hill Harris X Poll amongst Registered Voters

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Sep 30, 2019, 09:51 PM

Sep 2019

Biden 30% Bernie 16% Warren 15%

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

WheelWalker

(8,955 posts)

8. Just gave him another small kick

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Sep 30, 2019, 10:08 PM

Sep 2019

before the quarterly close. Go Joe!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

BlueMississippi

(776 posts)

10. k&r nt

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Sep 30, 2019, 10:18 PM

Sep 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

peggysue2

(10,832 posts)

13. Oh yes, the endless obituaries on Joe Biden

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Sep 30, 2019, 11:26 PM

Sep 2019

And then the polls come out and . . . miraculously He's Alive and Kicking!!

And still in the lead (Ahem).

Another round of good numbers. Doesn't mean things can't turn. But for the moment? Joe Biden's not going anywhere, except to the head of the pack.

Or as one writer said: Gravity-Defying Joe Biden!