Biden at 36%, Warren 20%, Sanders 16%, Yang 5%, Booker 4% amongst Black voters.

Last edited Tue Oct 8, 2019, 08:42 PM - Edit history (1)

Bernie too... they would make an formidable team!!


Bernie & Elizabeth 2020!! or
Elizabeth & Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together!!
Welcome to the revolution!!!

Will be happy either way. Obviously Elizabeth is looking really good right now though....

Bernie's hit a rough patch. But, when it comes to Bernie, you should never count the guy out.


Bernie & Elizabeth 2020!! or...
Elizabeth & Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together!!
Welcome to the revolution!!!

Research has shown that AA voters are more pragmatic than centrist. They tend to be reluctant to vote for someone who may struggle to win in the GE. This was even true of Barack Obama. Until he showed that he was capable of winning, AA voters went for the establishment candidate.

While Biden supporters often overstate the depth of his support with AA voters, they radically overstate the community's opposition to Warren - her favorability ratings remain quite high.

Should Warren take Iowa and New Hampshire, she will be seen as increasingly viable. She is trouncing Trump by 8 points in the same poll, so fearmongering that she will hand the White House to Trump becomes increasingly desperate.

All of this would be meaningless if she were not an amazing candidate who can fire up a crowd, but still have remarkable message discipline and organizational strength.

She's surging for a reason.

See the trend for yourself at RCP POLLS:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html

will win the rust belt states we need. Trump could win. She has my support in a general but it is a bad idea to put someone up as the nominee when they don't poll as well against Trump and are way down in the AA vote.

Warren's support amongst black voters continues to increase and is now at 20%.

Warren is easily defeating Trump, as is Biden and Sanders.

Anyone can read the results for themselves at:

https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=3643

Good for Elizabeth, who has run a flawless campaign, and has shown why she would be the most competent Democratic candidate to ever be nominated and would give people real hope that the "glass ceiling" will be finally broken!!


Bernie & Elizabeth 2020!! or
Elizabeth & Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together!!
Welcome to the revolution!!!

Not a good idea.

Warren can definitely win in Ohio, in my opinion and the opinion of many of those people polled.

And now Ohio, and we're still a year away from Election Day.

Warren has barely campaigned in the Rust Belt, but the most recent polls I saw from RCP show her up by 4 in Ohio and Wisconsin, and up by 6 in Michigan.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/wi/wisconsin_trump_vs_warren-6852.html

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/oh/ohio_trump_vs_warren-6762.html

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/mi/michigan_trump_vs_warren-6769.html

People shouldn't fall for this nonsense that only Joe can defeat tRumpy.


Bernie & Elizabeth 2020!! or
Elizabeth & Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together!!
Welcome to the revolution!!!

Please repeat it 1000 more times!!

People need to realize this.

Don't keep it a secret!

See the trend in polling at RCP POLLS:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html

The Warren surge continues...

And Warren is clearly ahead of all the other candidates.

I'm surprised Kamala Harris is down to just 3% ...I think she is doing better than that ….. Bernie is doing better than 2% support amongst voters 65 and older …. He's got roughly 5% - 6% support in that subgroup of voters ….He's doing a point or 2 better than the Quinnipiac Topline Poll results suggest ….Overall, this poll seems to be a fair reading of the current Presidential Race ... All the Candidates not named Elizabeth Warren are struggling mightily

538 National Polling Averages: Biden 28.5, Warren 23.25, Sanders 15.6 (Biden +5.25)

538 National Polling Averages: Biden 28.5, Warren 23.25, Sanders 15.6 (Biden +5.25)
Source: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/

RCP does not include all the polls listed by 538. This means their average does not include all the available data from legitimate polls 538. Like RCP, the following averages are given according to the last four polls released. The polls include both online and live polls. The sample means LV (likely voters), RV (registered voters), etc. I have listed only those with double digits Sorry about that. Consult the link above for others (Harris, Buttigieg, O’Rourke, Booker, Yang, etc.)).

Poll (Dates) (Rating ) (Sample): Joe Biden , Elizabeth Warren , Bernie Sanders

HarrisX (10/4-10/7)(C+)(LV): JB 33, EW 19, BS 16 (Biden +14)
Morning Consult (9/30-10/6) B- (LV): JB 33, EW 21, BS 19 (Biden +12)
IBD/TIPP (9/26-10/3)(A-)(RV): JB 26, EW 27, BS 10 (Warren +1)
YouGov (9/28-10/1)(B) (LV) Biden 22, Warren 26, Sanders 14.75 (Warren +4)

Averages: Biden 28.5, Warren 23.25, Sanders 15.6 (Biden +5.25)

This was laid out this morning by DU’er uncle Noel. Thx for the complete post of the Ntl polling picture

And all 3 out of those 4 polls are online polls?

And to stress, this WAS NOT DONE by 538 but just a DU-er who decided to average the last 4 poll results on his own.

Ok...



I guess any port in a storm, eh?

What's nice about the RCP POLLS tracker is it's done by professionals, uses major polls, uses current poll results AND has a nice visual tracker. Take a look at it at RCP POLLS:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html

And no, there’s a link to 538 and the analysis Done by 538... not by “some DU’er” as you are saying. This person was posting a very complete analysis, more complete than RCP

538 has every bit as good as reputation as RCP if not better.

It’s a more complete picture

You don’t rattle me with your comments and emocons.

Currently 5 polls are included in the average. New polls are added and older polls drop off, so the number of polls utilized varies.

The DU-ers analysis would mean the HarrisX online poll could conceivable BE the last 4 polls listed by 538, I mean 538 list THIRTEEN HarrisX Polls just for the month of October already! And they were all in a row too!

That might be the reason why the online HarrisX polls are not included in the RCP POLLS tracker. THe Harris polls get listed in RCP only when they are done in conjunction with the Wall Street Journal or Harvard, which is about as often as major polls are usually released.

But if a DUer wants to average in the more than DAILY releases of the HarrisX poll in their own "average tracker", go for it, have fun.

If they want to include it in their homespun "average tracker" more often than any other poll because it is released so often, that too is fine.

Not that there is anything wrong with that.

not be the nominee IMHO.

You might want to think that out before posting it again.

Once the DNC sets the polling mark at 5%, this is a three person race. Or, maybe it will take 10%, but that time is coming soon.

impeachment investigations have began. That should scare the living daylights out of us. It may mean Trump is winning this battle and could end up in a stronger position.

Mongering a little fear there, no?