Democratic Primaries

bluewater

(5,376 posts) Tue Oct 8, 2019, 05:14 PM Oct 2019

Warren, Biden running neck and neck in Democratic primary

Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and former Vice President Joe Biden are running neck and neck in the 2020 Democratic primary, a new Quinnipiac University poll released Tuesday showed.

Twenty-nine percent of Democratic voters and independent voters who lean Democratic said they support Warren, while Biden received 26 percent support from the same group, a difference within the poll’s margin of error.
Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) came in third with 16 percent, while no other candidate broke double digits.

The three candidates had similar showings in a September Quinnipiac University poll, which saw Warren, Biden and Sanders at 27 percent, 25 percent and 16 percent, respectively.

“Warren maintains her strength in the Democratic primary, which has been consistently growing since the start of her campaign. This poll confirms her status as a co-frontrunner with Biden,” said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/464886-warren-biden-running-neck-and-neck-in-democratic-primary-poll

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

7 replies

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Warren, Biden running neck and neck in Democratic primary (Original Post) bluewater Oct 2019 OP

The outlier has now become the new trend nt Fiendish Thingy Oct 2019 #1

The Trend Seems Toward Warren colsohlibgal Oct 2019 #2

I'm not sure I'd describe it as a surge. griffi94 Oct 2019 #3

Take a look at the last 3 weeks of the RCP POLLS tracker chart... bluewater Oct 2019 #4

I do think she's gaining momentum. griffi94 Oct 2019 #5

Wht country is Harris X Polling ? ritapria Oct 2019 #6

Yet colsohlibgal Oct 2019 #7

Fiendish Thingy

(15,617 posts)

1. The outlier has now become the new trend nt

Reply to bluewater (Original post)

Tue Oct 8, 2019, 05:22 PM

Oct 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

colsohlibgal

(5,275 posts)

2. The Trend Seems Toward Warren

Reply to bluewater (Original post)

Tue Oct 8, 2019, 05:52 PM

Oct 2019

Not sure at all this is an outlier, it seems like Warren is surging.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

griffi94

(3,733 posts)

3. I'm not sure I'd describe it as a surge.

Reply to colsohlibgal (Reply #2)

Tue Oct 8, 2019, 06:25 PM

Oct 2019

It's been more slow and steady.
I expect she'll continue gain ground. If Bernie continues to lag I think some of his supporters
will switch to Warren.
As soon as it's perceived as a two person race between Warren and Biden, she'll
pull ahead enough to put it out of reach.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

bluewater

(5,376 posts)

4. Take a look at the last 3 weeks of the RCP POLLS tracker chart...

Reply to griffi94 (Reply #3)

Tue Oct 8, 2019, 06:43 PM

Oct 2019

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html

It has definitely picked up speed over the last month, don't you think?

But, you are right, before that, it was slow and steady progress.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

griffi94

(3,733 posts)

5. I do think she's gaining momentum.

Reply to bluewater (Reply #4)

Tue Oct 8, 2019, 06:56 PM

Oct 2019

I think she will continue to do so.
JMHO, but a surge is what Harris got after the first debate.

Warren will get a boost if it becomes obvious that Bernie won't win.
I'd say the same happens as more candidates drop out.

I wouldn't be surprised if she started pulling supporters from Biden. Much of his
appeal is that he's so far been perceived as the most likely to win the nomination.
If that perception cracks, expect Warren to really start pulling away.

She's gaining everywhere.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden