Democratic Primaries

RandySF

(58,900 posts) Sun Oct 13, 2019, 05:07 PM Oct 2019

Nate Silver: Biden doing better than conventional wisdom suggests.

Link to tweet

?s=20

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

18 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Nate Silver: Biden doing better than conventional wisdom suggests. (Original Post) RandySF Oct 2019 OP

I had a feeling he was.. since CW is Cha Oct 2019 #1

Biden really is DownriverDem Oct 2019 #4

I think so, DownriverDem! Cha Oct 2019 #6

Former Bernie Supporters ? ritapria Oct 2019 #2

Once again the demise of Joe Biden is overplayed! Thekaspervote Oct 2019 #3

GO GO GO JOE!!!! Peacetrain Oct 2019 #5

Go Joe, the world needs you! emmaverybo Oct 2019 #7

K&R! highplainsdem Oct 2019 #8

Suggests...... boomer_wv Oct 2019 #9

He's Nowhere Near The 40% He Had a Few Months Ago DrFunkenstein Oct 2019 #10

Nate says that he's doing a "good job" BlueMTexpat Oct 2019 #11

Warren doing a better job of holding and growing her support.... TidalWave46 Oct 2019 #12

And, what agenda is that? It seems like Cha Oct 2019 #15

My statement is based in every bit as strong of a reality... TidalWave46 Oct 2019 #16

OK.. Love that Nate is dealing in Reality. Cha Oct 2019 #17

+1 NT TidalWave46 Oct 2019 #18

Calling him "shakey front runner" at flamingdem Oct 2019 #13

When he's Cha Oct 2019 #14

Cha

(297,311 posts)

1. I had a feeling he was.. since CW is

Reply to RandySF (Original post)

Sun Oct 13, 2019, 05:16 PM

Oct 2019

what the media's narrative says it is.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

DownriverDem

(6,229 posts)

4. Biden really is

Reply to Cha (Reply #1)

Sun Oct 13, 2019, 06:11 PM

Oct 2019

our best candidate to win the Electoral College which is state by state. trump doesn't want to run against Biden. Biden/Harris would be a great ticket!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Cha

(297,311 posts)

6. I think so, DownriverDem!

Reply to DownriverDem (Reply #4)

Sun Oct 13, 2019, 07:35 PM

Oct 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

ritapria

(1,812 posts)

2. Former Bernie Supporters ?

Reply to RandySF (Original post)

Sun Oct 13, 2019, 05:20 PM

Oct 2019

In this poll Bernie's support dropped from 19% to 17% in the first 18 states from the CBS poll conducted 1 month ago …..That's movement within the poll's margin of error …. Bernie was at 16 % in the CBS Battleground Tracker Poll conducted 2 months ago ….. 16% to 19% to 17% … That's statistical noise - not a trend ……

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Thekaspervote

(32,778 posts)

3. Once again the demise of Joe Biden is overplayed!

Reply to RandySF (Original post)

Sun Oct 13, 2019, 05:43 PM

Oct 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Peacetrain

(22,877 posts)

5. GO GO GO JOE!!!!

Reply to RandySF (Original post)

Sun Oct 13, 2019, 06:19 PM

Oct 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

emmaverybo

(8,144 posts)

7. Go Joe, the world needs you!

Reply to RandySF (Original post)

Sun Oct 13, 2019, 08:18 PM

Oct 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

highplainsdem

(49,004 posts)

8. K&R!

Reply to RandySF (Original post)

Sun Oct 13, 2019, 09:09 PM

Oct 2019

Thanks for posting this, Cha!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

boomer_wv

(673 posts)

9. Suggests......

Reply to RandySF (Original post)

Sun Oct 13, 2019, 09:37 PM

Oct 2019

That is Harris is able to stabilize and make a move it will come at the expense of Warren. Could apply to Booker and Buttigieg as well.

Can Warren keep her level of support into the primaries or are we still in for more shifting? Biden has shown a pretty high floor.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

DrFunkenstein

(8,745 posts)

10. He's Nowhere Near The 40% He Had a Few Months Ago

Reply to RandySF (Original post)

Sun Oct 13, 2019, 11:11 PM

Oct 2019

It's been a pretty steady drop, rather than one or two bumps.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

BlueMTexpat

(15,369 posts)

11. Nate says that he's doing a "good job"

Reply to RandySF (Original post)

Mon Oct 14, 2019, 01:19 PM

Oct 2019

of holding on to his supporters.

But Warren is also doing a good job of holding on to hers.

The tweet also shows that Warren would benefit significantly from "switch" voters.

It seems that she is generally considered "electable" across the board.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

TidalWave46

(2,061 posts)

12. Warren doing a better job of holding and growing her support....

Reply to BlueMTexpat (Reply #11)

Mon Oct 14, 2019, 01:34 PM

Oct 2019

With indications that will only improve as voters move from other candidates.

I like Biden a lot but it seems Nate has a bit of an agenda. What I've just stated is as equally accurate as what he did, and I'm using the data he is presenting.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Cha

(297,311 posts)

15. And, what agenda is that? It seems like

Reply to TidalWave46 (Reply #12)

Mon Oct 14, 2019, 07:23 PM

Oct 2019

he's dealing in reality and not tearing Biden down at every turn like is such a popular thing to do.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

TidalWave46

(2,061 posts)

16. My statement is based in every bit as strong of a reality...

Reply to Cha (Reply #15)

Mon Oct 14, 2019, 10:01 PM

Oct 2019

And is included in the data he was discussing.

I believe Nate has a pro-Biden agenda. Not sure what’s wrong with that. He isn’t a journalist. He uses data to tell a story and he is damn good at it.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden