Democratic Primaries

UncleNoel

(864 posts) Sat Oct 19, 2019, 11:27 AM Oct 2019

Post-Debate (3) Poll Averages: Biden 28.3, Warren 18, Sanders 17

FYI: Here is the link to the FiveThirtyEight page with all the polls for the Democratic Primary listed.

National 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Polls
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primaries/democratic/national/

538 does not give poll averages. Below I have given them for the three polls since the October 15th debate. These are all Biden-friendly polls and the averages will change and the differences narrow as the Warren-friendly polls are posted (like YouGov, for example).

Dates Pollster Rating Biden Warren Sanders

10/17-18 Ipsos B+ 21% 15% 16%
10/15-18 HarrisX C+ 33% 18% 17%
10/16 Morning B- 31% 21% 18%
Consult
Averages: Biden 28,3, Warren 18, Sanders 17

Please check the link for other candidates (all in single digits)

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

11 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Post-Debate (3) Poll Averages: Biden 28.3, Warren 18, Sanders 17 (Original Post) UncleNoel Oct 2019 OP

Good news for Biden Cha Oct 2019 #1

Biden's numbers still looking good - thanks! Skya Rhen Oct 2019 #2

sounds good to me quickesst Oct 2019 #3

The polls are all over the place ritapria Oct 2019 #4

This is the dynamic I am seeing here... Peacetrain Oct 2019 #5

Go, Joe! Good news. emmaverybo Oct 2019 #6

Primary balloting cannot get here soon enough. Sneederbunk Oct 2019 #7

Toxic masculinity wins the day? loyalsister Oct 2019 #8

Biden has heart and wisdom flamingdem Oct 2019 #9

K&R Scurrilous Oct 2019 #10

K&R Tarheel_Dem Oct 2019 #11

Cha

(297,321 posts)

1. Good news for Biden

Reply to UncleNoel (Original post)

Sat Oct 19, 2019, 11:40 AM

Oct 2019

and his supporters!

Thank you, Noel!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Skya Rhen

(2,701 posts)

2. Biden's numbers still looking good - thanks!

Reply to UncleNoel (Original post)

Sat Oct 19, 2019, 11:40 AM

Oct 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

quickesst

(6,280 posts)

3. sounds good to me

Reply to UncleNoel (Original post)

Sat Oct 19, 2019, 11:45 AM

Oct 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

ritapria

(1,812 posts)

4. The polls are all over the place

Reply to UncleNoel (Original post)

Sat Oct 19, 2019, 11:54 AM

Oct 2019

The Warren-friendly polls are YouGuv ,IBD/TIPP. Quinnipiac, Monmouth, NBC News/WSJ ...The Biden friendly polls are Morning Consult, Harris X , Zogby , Fox ….FWIW …… I have it at Biden 28% Warren 24% Bernie 18% … In 2016 African -Americans comprised 23% of the primary vote and Biden has a huge lead amongst this crucial voting bloc ….I don't why people keep forecasting an imminent Biden collapse …… The real issue is whether Biden collapses in a scenario where he gets clobbered by Warren in Iowa and NH ..

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Peacetrain

(22,877 posts)

5. This is the dynamic I am seeing here...

Reply to UncleNoel (Original post)

Sat Oct 19, 2019, 11:58 AM

Oct 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

emmaverybo

(8,144 posts)

6. Go, Joe! Good news.

Reply to UncleNoel (Original post)

Sat Oct 19, 2019, 12:34 PM

Oct 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Sneederbunk

(14,291 posts)

7. Primary balloting cannot get here soon enough.

Reply to UncleNoel (Original post)

Sat Oct 19, 2019, 01:12 PM

Oct 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

loyalsister

(13,390 posts)

8. Toxic masculinity wins the day?

Reply to UncleNoel (Original post)

Sat Oct 19, 2019, 01:14 PM

Oct 2019

Biden oozes it- especially during the last debate.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

flamingdem

(39,313 posts)

9. Biden has heart and wisdom

Reply to UncleNoel (Original post)

Sat Oct 19, 2019, 01:18 PM

Oct 2019

And wisely the majority of Dems stay with him.

I'd vote for Warren with zero reservations and would be thrilled with her ability to make change in her areas of strength. I was not happy with her last debate performance and think she's weak in foreign policy. After the mess Trump has made Biden is the one to clean up with our allies.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Scurrilous

(38,687 posts)

10. K&R

Reply to UncleNoel (Original post)

Sat Oct 19, 2019, 01:32 PM

Oct 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Tarheel_Dem

(31,235 posts)

11. K&R

Reply to UncleNoel (Original post)

Sat Oct 19, 2019, 05:24 PM

Oct 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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