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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

Celerity

(43,422 posts)
Thu Oct 24, 2019, 08:15 AM Oct 2019

New California C+ (same rating as HarrisX) poll Warren 28, Sanders 24, Biden 19, Pete 9, Harris 8

Harris Loses Ground in California to Front-Runners Warren and Sanders

https://www.kqed.org/news/11781964/harris-loses-ground-in-california-to-front-runners-warren-and-sanders

Less than five months before Californians vote in the 2020 presidential primary, a new Change Research poll for KQED shows U.S. Sen. Kamala Harris losing ground to the front-runners, Sens. Elizabeth Warren from Massachusetts and Vermont's Bernie Sanders. The poll, taken after last week's Democratic candidate debate, finds Warren is the top choice of 28% of primary voters, followed by Sanders at 24% and former Vice President Joe Biden at 19%.

South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg is fourth with 9% followed by Harris at 8%. The October survey puts Harris 20 percentage points behind Sen. Warren, compared with a 14 percentage point gap in our September poll.

Billionaire Tom Steyer, the other Californian in the race, barely registers in the poll with just 1%. Steyer has his work cut out for him, to say the least. Twenty-five percent of California Democratic primary voters have never heard of him, while another 31% have neither a favorable nor unfavorable impression of him.

By gender, Warren is the top choice of female voters with 31% support, followed by Sanders with 23% and Biden at 21%. Buttigieg and Harris are the choice of 8% and 7% of women respectively. Among men, Sanders edges out Warren 25% to 23% with Biden third at 16%, followed by Buttigieg at 10% and Harris with 9%.

Sen. Sanders is the favorite of Latino voters with 28% support, followed by Warren and Biden (22% each), Harris (7%) and Buttigieg (6%). The only Latino candidate, former HUD Secretary Julian Castro, is the choice of just 1% of Latino voters in California.

Among African Americans, Biden is the favorite with 30%, followed by Sanders (20%), Harris (16%) and Warren (13%).






If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
7 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
 

Demsrule86

(68,602 posts)
1. Change research? OK then...a poll for hire.
Thu Oct 24, 2019, 08:38 AM
Oct 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Celerity

(43,422 posts)
5. sorta like HarrisX, roflmaoo, oh wait, HarrisX hires (they pay some of them) the people they poll!
Thu Oct 24, 2019, 09:36 AM
Oct 2019

You love polls that show what you want, and hate the ones that do not.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 
6. "You love polls that show what you want, and hate the ones that do not."
Thu Oct 24, 2019, 10:17 AM
Oct 2019

You are so correct, there is a lot of that going on today.

Why can't people accept that some polls might be good for another candidate?

That is why all the data journalists, like those at 538, say that people should look at an average of the polls and not fixate on individual polls.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

crazytown

(7,277 posts)
2. Maybe the same rating, but not conducted Scott Rasmussen
Thu Oct 24, 2019, 08:39 AM
Oct 2019

or owned by Mark Penn.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

Celerity

(43,422 posts)
4. exactly, I was simply tossing the rating out there as I am sure some will not like the results
Thu Oct 24, 2019, 09:32 AM
Oct 2019

and try and use the C+ as a slam, when it is more than likely that same group loves them some HarrisX (a C+ rated poll as well) polls.

A bit cheeky on my part I admit, but when you see the vitriol and just nonsense in other poll threads (when a number comes out that one side or another doesn't like) I felt like it was a ok thing to toss in.

Remember the OUTRAGE over the Monmouth University so-called 'outlier' poll 2 months back??

All that polled showed was Warren and Biden TIED

and out came the vapours to the point the Monmouth director had to do a mea culpa.

Well, lolol, it sure does NOT look like an outlier in the rear view mirror, roflmaoooo

here was the so-called 'outlier' (Even Race)




and here was the next Monmouth poll (Warren plus 3)




certainly not some hair-on-fire crazy poll after all

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 
7. But how can poll results differ from my hopes and preconceived expectations? Clearly an Outlier.
Thu Oct 24, 2019, 10:20 AM
Oct 2019


and for good measure, the sarcasm emoji...



If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

Iliyah

(25,111 posts)
3. In my household . . . .
Thu Oct 24, 2019, 09:12 AM
Oct 2019

Father-in-Law (73 years old and a Vietnam Vet) - Warren
Hubby - Biden
Myself - Mayor Pete/Beto

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
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