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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

UncleNoel

(864 posts)
Thu Oct 24, 2019, 09:53 AM Oct 2019

All Post-debate#3 Poll Averages: Biden 27, Warren 21, Sanders 17, Buttigieg 7, Harris 5 (Biden +6)

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/national/
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html#polls

All polls are listed from RCP and 538 except that if more than one poll occurred more than once, only the most recent one was chosen and the older one eliminated. Candidates who only had less than 5% were not listed below (sorry, go to the link to find there percentages). In some cases the figures from the two sources disagreed in which case I used those from 538.

Biden 27, Warren 21, Sanders 17, Buttigieg 7, Harris 5 (Biden +6)

Candidates Biden Warren Sanders Buttigieg Harris
RCP Average (rounded) 10/16-22: 27 21 17 7 5 Biden +6
Quinnipiac A- (LV) 10/17-21: 21 28 15 10 5 Warren +7
CNN/SSRS A- (RV) 10/17-20: 34 19 16 6 6 Biden +15
YouGov B (LV) 10/20-22: 24 21 15 8 5 Biden +3
The Hill C+ (RV) 10/21-22: 27 19 14 6 5 Biden +8
Emerson B+ (LV) 10/18-21: 27 21 25 6 5 Biden +2
Morning Consult B- (LV) 10/16-20: 30 21 18 6 6 Biden +9
Ipsos B+ (RV) 10/17-18: 24 17 15 5 4 Biden +7
SUSA A (LV) 10/15-16: 32 22 17 5 7 Biden +10

RCP is strange. One time they have 7 polls and then 3-5. Time frame doesn't seem to be the differences. Sometimes their figures differ from 538 (LV vs. RV? and sometimes entry error?). I chose the 538 figures and did not check the original sources.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
9 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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All Post-debate#3 Poll Averages: Biden 27, Warren 21, Sanders 17, Buttigieg 7, Harris 5 (Biden +6) (Original Post) UncleNoel Oct 2019 OP
The polls seem to be spot on ritapria Oct 2019 #1
Has Bernie set out how hr's going to pay for M4A? crazytown Oct 2019 #2
Quinnipiac seems clearly to be an outlier UncleNoel Oct 2019 #3
CNN boomer_wv Oct 2019 #6
K&R Scurrilous Oct 2019 #4
UncleNoel, thank you so much for posting this. Sloumeau Oct 2019 #5
This makes me smile Gothmog Oct 2019 #7
Wow! peggysue2 Oct 2019 #9
K&R Tarheel_Dem Oct 2019 #8
 

ritapria

(1,812 posts)
1. The polls seem to be spot on
Thu Oct 24, 2019, 10:08 AM
Oct 2019

Liz has lost about 4 % in national polls because she has , thus far, not outlined specific plans on how to finance MFA ...That caught up with her last week ...She is going to provide that important information before the next debate..... How well she defends that forthcoming proposal will be a key factor on whether she goes on to win the nomination......Health Care is , by far, , the most important issue in the this campaign ………..

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

crazytown

(7,277 posts)
2. Has Bernie set out how hr's going to pay for M4A?
Thu Oct 24, 2019, 10:22 AM
Oct 2019

A full accounting?

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

UncleNoel

(864 posts)
3. Quinnipiac seems clearly to be an outlier
Thu Oct 24, 2019, 10:27 AM
Oct 2019

even though it gets a high rating from 538. It seems off key lined up with the other polls.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

boomer_wv

(673 posts)
6. CNN
Thu Oct 24, 2019, 11:10 PM
Oct 2019

kinda is too.

They cancel each other out a bit, so it's not a big deal.

The one that I'd be worried about if I were a Warren supporter is the YouGov poll. That's had a serious Warren lean for a while, to see it flip shocked me.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Sloumeau

(2,657 posts)
5. UncleNoel, thank you so much for posting this.
Thu Oct 24, 2019, 08:15 PM
Oct 2019

Go, Joe, Go!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

peggysue2

(10,833 posts)
9. Wow!
Wed Oct 30, 2019, 12:45 PM
Oct 2019

The Economist has not been a strong/favorable poll for Joe Biden throughout the campaign. The last debate and the Ukraine brouhaha has really made a difference. In a good way.

AGO4JOE!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
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