Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumAll Post-debate#3 Poll Averages: Biden 27, Warren 21, Sanders 17, Buttigieg 7, Harris 5 (Biden +6)
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/national/https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html#polls
All polls are listed from RCP and 538 except that if more than one poll occurred more than once, only the most recent one was chosen and the older one eliminated. Candidates who only had less than 5% were not listed below (sorry, go to the link to find there percentages). In some cases the figures from the two sources disagreed in which case I used those from 538.
Biden 27, Warren 21, Sanders 17, Buttigieg 7, Harris 5 (Biden +6)
Candidates Biden Warren Sanders Buttigieg Harris
RCP Average (rounded) 10/16-22: 27 21 17 7 5 Biden +6
Quinnipiac A- (LV) 10/17-21: 21 28 15 10 5 Warren +7
CNN/SSRS A- (RV) 10/17-20: 34 19 16 6 6 Biden +15
YouGov B (LV) 10/20-22: 24 21 15 8 5 Biden +3
The Hill C+ (RV) 10/21-22: 27 19 14 6 5 Biden +8
Emerson B+ (LV) 10/18-21: 27 21 25 6 5 Biden +2
Morning Consult B- (LV) 10/16-20: 30 21 18 6 6 Biden +9
Ipsos B+ (RV) 10/17-18: 24 17 15 5 4 Biden +7
SUSA A (LV) 10/15-16: 32 22 17 5 7 Biden +10
RCP is strange. One time they have 7 polls and then 3-5. Time frame doesn't seem to be the differences. Sometimes their figures differ from 538 (LV vs. RV? and sometimes entry error?). I chose the 538 figures and did not check the original sources.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ritapria
(1,812 posts)Liz has lost about 4 % in national polls because she has , thus far, not outlined specific plans on how to finance MFA ...That caught up with her last week ...She is going to provide that important information before the next debate..... How well she defends that forthcoming proposal will be a key factor on whether she goes on to win the nomination......Health Care is , by far, , the most important issue in the this campaign ..
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
crazytown
(7,277 posts)A full accounting?
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
UncleNoel
(864 posts)even though it gets a high rating from 538. It seems off key lined up with the other polls.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
kinda is too.
They cancel each other out a bit, so it's not a big deal.
The one that I'd be worried about if I were a Warren supporter is the YouGov poll. That's had a serious Warren lean for a while, to see it flip shocked me.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Scurrilous
(38,687 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Sloumeau
(2,657 posts)Go, Joe, Go!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(145,353 posts)Link to tweet
?s=20
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
The Economist has not been a strong/favorable poll for Joe Biden throughout the campaign. The last debate and the Ukraine brouhaha has really made a difference. In a good way.
AGO4JOE!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Tarheel_Dem
(31,235 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden