Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumWarren and Sanders race to out-left each other -- and moderates are terrified
(Disclaimer: the article was co-written by this DU poster's daughter)
The two have mostly avoided direct conflict, but their one-upsmanship on a flurry of policies speaks to growing tensions between their campaigns.
By HOLLY OTTERBEIN and ALEX THOMPSON 10/25/2019 05:08 AM EDT Updated: 10/25/2019 07:43 AM EDT
When Bernie Sanders unveiled his education plan a few months ago, he proposed tripling so-called Title I funding for schools. No top Democrat offered anything more generous until Elizabeth Warren this week called for quadrupling the spending.
That's just a taste of the tit-for-tat between the two: In August, Warren unveiled a plan calling for 40 percent of corporate board members to be elected by rank-and-file workers. Last week, Sanders raised her, saying it should be 45 percent.
In February, Sanders reiterated his proposal to increase Social Security benefits by about $110 a month for low-income seniors and boost cost-of-living adjustments for all recipients. To which Warren countered: No, it should be $200 a month for everyone. And after Warren unveiled her signature wealth tax for fortunes over $50 million and estimated it would raise $2.75 trillion over the next decade, Sanders, not to be outdone, proposed a wealth tax that he said would bring in $4.35 trillion partly by lowering the threshold to $32 million.
If these seem like distinctions without much meaning to critics since even the least ambitious of these plans would require liberal Democratic majorities in Congress to pass theyre all part of the contest between Sanders and Warren to be recognized in the Democratic primary as the lead champion for progressives. At the same time, the war over white papers has terrified moderate Democrats, who worry that a race to the left will damage the partys chances of defeating President Donald Trump even as it electrifies the base.
snip...
more at link
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
bluewater
(5,376 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Dem4Life1102
(3,974 posts)who can remember McGovern and Dukakis.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
hedda_foil
(16,375 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Dem4Life1102
(3,974 posts)Not so 30 years ago
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
hedda_foil
(16,375 posts)The man was utterly tone deaf. But he was not a leftie then or now. I don't know about you but I remember his run very well.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
BeyondGeography
(39,374 posts)Lloyd Bentsen provided the only highlight. I also remember this:
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Dem4Life1102
(3,974 posts)But he was also very liberal.
Btw Ive only ever heard right wingers use the term leftie. Interesting.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
hedda_foil
(16,375 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Dem4Life1102
(3,974 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Celerity
(43,408 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
UniteFightBack
(8,231 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
empedocles
(15,751 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Uncle Joe
(58,365 posts)Thanks for the thread JoeOtterbein.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
customerserviceguy
(25,183 posts)Run to the base to get nominated, then run to the center to get elected. If either EW or BS gets the nomination, they will have quite a hike to get back to the center, and they risk disheartening their base to do that.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Blue_true
(31,261 posts)President Obama ran to the left of Hillary in 2008, eventhough there was not a lot different between them. His base stayed with him, even as he ran the General as more of a moderate.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
TexasTowelie
(112,245 posts)I don't see any evidence that moderate Democrats are terrified. It makes me wonder if your daughter has lost her objectivity.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
beachbumbob
(9,263 posts)the more giveaways candidates like warren and sanders throw out there, the less likely they gain any footing with the center of the democratic party. Too many of their supporters live in the "coastal bubble"
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
griffi94
(3,733 posts)I know what Title I funding is. What makes the funding so called?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(145,314 posts)Link to tweet
The survey from Quinnipiac University Poll released Wednesday found that 47 percent of registered voters polled said the Democratic Party has moved too far left;" however, most of those voters identified as Republicans.
The poll found that 79 percent of Republicans surveyed said the Democrats had moved too far left, but only 17 percent of Democrats agreed. Just under half, or 48 percent, of independents said the party has drifted too far left.
There was also a gap by gender, with 57 percent of male respondents saying the party was too far to the left and only 37 percent of women saying the same. Similarly, the view was split by race, with 53 percent of white voters polled agreeing, 33 percent of Hispanic voters and just 17 percent of black voter
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Autumn
(45,106 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Blue_true
(31,261 posts)we just have to focus on getting that 53% to the polls at voting time.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(145,314 posts)LOL Larry Sabato is an expert on this issue
Link to tweet
Obviously, just because more Americans identify as Democrats than Republicans doesnt mean that Democrats always win the presidency (or control of Congress). There are many reasons that this is the case, including the fact that a sizable share of the public does not vote. Previous research has found that nonvoters are much more Democratic than are regular voters. Democrats also are somewhat more clustered geographically than Republicans, a factor that sometimes dilutes their electoral strength.
Candidates and campaigns, meanwhile, carry their own unique features that influence how or whether people vote. In 2010, for example, Republicans voted at higher rates than Democrats in the midterm election and won control of the House of Representatives, despite the Democrats holding a 3-point party affiliation advantage in Pew Research Center polls of registered voters that year. In contrast, Democratic engagement (and turnout) in 2018 was substantially higher than it had been in 2014, leading to a strong Democratic performance in the 2018 congressional elections and the Democrats winning control of the House.
So what does all this mean for consumers of political polling? In general, poll watchers today should expect to see more Democrats than Republicans in a national survey, particularly one designed to reflect the views of U.S. adults (as opposed to registered or likely voters). These partisan breakdowns dont necessarily favor one side or the other; rather, they reflect the population in question as accurately as possible.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Autumn
(45,106 posts)I understand how polling works, I just don't care about the opinions of Republicans in those polls. That they think Democrats are too liberal or progressive is a joke AFAIC.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Gothmog
(145,314 posts)Link to tweet
Its an approach that, at first, seems at odds with where the party is going. Weve noted previously that Democrats are increasingly likely to identify themselves as liberals, a trend that probably helps explain why so many of the 2020 candidates have embraced progressive positions and why more progressive candidates have entered the race.
Polling, though, suggests that this may not be a foolproof strategy. For one thing, a crowd of more progressive candidates (an admittedly nebulous designation) will compete for the same voters, freeing Biden to vacuum up support from moderates. But polling also shows that Democrats overall arent necessarily prioritizing a candidate who espouses progressive policies. The data below are from a recent CNN-SSRS poll: More Democrats think its important for a nominee to work with Republicans than to support liberal policies.
.....
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
questionseverything
(9,656 posts)I did not expect it to be that high
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Gothmog
(145,314 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
manintheback
(4 posts)I'm not buying it. The establishment has been effective in moving the Overton Window to the right over the last 4+decades. Its time we move back to where the people actually are and that it substantially to the left.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
George II
(67,782 posts)...in office and more "progressive" Democrats?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
mcar
(42,334 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
OldRed2450
(710 posts)Most people are actually centrist.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
jcmaine72
(1,773 posts)That's all I had to see.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
ritapria
(1,812 posts)Dukakis , Gore , Kerry, Hillary ..Bernie Sanders turned a state that had always Voted Republican into one of the Bluest States in the Union . Say it Loud , Say it Proud : We're the Party of the Working Class... . Deliver for them and they'll Deliver for You .
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
comradebillyboy
(10,154 posts)not so many years ago when Hillary was considered a leftist.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
betsuni
(25,537 posts)"Once she became First Lady ... the male pundits of America clung to their nuts for dear life as they fobbed one verbal projectile after the next at her. Even before her husband's inauguration, the neocons on The McLaughlin Group acted as if she were Rasputin in drag, who would do things like hypnotize Bill into appointing 'a bunch of wacko leftists to the Supreme Court instead of 'decent people.'"*
She was considered a radical feminist leftist. How this history was erased will never cease to amaze me.
*Susan J. Douglas, "Where the Girls Are, Growing Up Female with the Mass Media
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ehrnst
(32,640 posts)Bland? Not according to Democrats and the general population.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
RudyColludie
(43 posts)No way he's winning in center-left America!
Face it, it's Biden Time!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
George II
(67,782 posts)...into one of the Bluest States in the Union."
Are you serious? First, Patrick Leahy was in the Senate for 16 years before Sanders was elected to the House, doesn't he get any "credit" (since we're handing out accolades) for Vermont being sort of "one of the Bluest States in the Union" (but not quite)? Sanders replaced an Independent Senator, not a republican, when he was elected to the Senate in 2006.
The Governorship has been flipping back and forth between Democrats and republicans going back to 1963 and is now a republican, there haven't been two consecutive Democrats or republicans since then, more than 50 years ago.
So much for Vermont "always voted republican".
PLUS, Sanders has NEVER held public office as a Democrat.
If you want to see a truly blue state, look at Connecticut - for the last 9 years we've had a Democratic Governor (and will for 12 years), two Democratic Senators for the last 31 years, and all FIVE of our Representatives have been Democrats for 12 years and four of five for a decade before that. And all of our state-wide office holders (Governor, Lt. Governor, Atty General, Comptroller, Treasurer, Secretary of the State) have been Democrats for a decade, too.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
OldRed2450
(710 posts)Greatest, best, biggest... sound familiar?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(145,314 posts)A deep-blue states failure to enact a single-payer system shows why a national version is unlikely to succeed. www.nytimes.com/2019/10/09/opinion/bernie-sanders-single-payer.html
Link to tweet
One reason the plan lacked strong support was lawmakers were cagey about how to pay for it. The 2011 proposal included no specific financing mechanism, because Mr. Shumlins team worried that might kill its chances.
Initial cost estimates were far too optimistic. A 2011 study led by William Hsiao of Harvard found that single-payer could reduce state health care spending by 8 percent to 12 percent immediately and more in later years, resulting in about $2 billion in savings over a decade. But by the time Mr. Shumlin ditched the plan, internal government estimates showed a five-year savings of just 1.6 percent.....
The Vermont plan was done in by high taxes, distrust of government and lack of political support. Any effort by a Sanders administration to enact a single-payer system at a national level would probably be doomed by similar problems.....
But if it couldnt work in Vermont, with a determined governor, an accommodating legislature and progressive voters, Mr. Sanders will have a tough time explaining why it will somehow succeed on a vastly larger scale. Vermont represents a practical failure on friendly turf, and that is what makes it such a powerful counter to Mr. Sanderss proposal.
If Vermont can pass a strong single-payer system and show it works well, it will not only be enormously important to this state, it will be a model, Mr. Sanders said in 2013.
As it turns out, it was a model. But instead of showing us how it would work, it showed us why it would fail.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(145,314 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)the dreadful tragedy of 2016 at this point, why aren't you?
One thing you can be sure of: Although some millions of Democratic liberals voted for Sanders in the primary, they all voted for Hillary in the GE, 60 million of us. We are not the ones responsible for the kidnapping of babies and children too young to understand and holding them neglected and terrified in prison.
Everyone ELSE is. And we all know it'll be much, much worse if Trump and the Repubs are reelected. Massive election theft solidifying their control. More atrocities -- against citizens not just helpless noncitizens. Of course, goodbye ACA and MfA, advances in civil rights, labor laws, affordable college, fighting climate chance.
It's scary-obvious that too many people haven't learned anything at all, Joe, and it seems to me you should be terrified they'll do it all over again too. Not imagining only others should be.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
redqueen
(115,103 posts)I don't see any in the piece.
This worries me:
It has failed to bring in the revenues expected everywhere it's been tried. Is it true that there's *no divide* among progressive leaders that it should be attempted? (I say 'attempted' and not 'eatablished' because Congress.)
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)Whenever I see posts smearing the party's huge liberal base as some kind of hybrid conservatives I know they're dishonest.
As a regular old liberal and very like Pelosi, though, I believe we must tax the new billionaire and centimillionaire classes into oblivion. But it must be successful and must be sustainable. This huge job is one for the pros, just as it was back in the 1930s.
Even if they could win, a big if, radicals, who are typically blindly disrespectful of the will of a majority of our over 200 million registered voters, would be liable to just lose the nation to the Republicans in 2024. And we cannot have all gains reversed before they're even implemented. Including a presumed MfA, shut down by a new Republican president and congress halfway into implementation.
or we can have great wealth concentrated in the hands of a few,
but we can't have both."
Nancy Pelosi to the nation at the opening of the 116th congress.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
abqtommy
(14,118 posts)that many. I suspect all the "moderates" are drifting leftward so as not to be left behind.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
betsuni
(25,537 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
democratisphere
(17,235 posts)Bunch of Baloney.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
UniteFightBack
(8,231 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
yardwork
(61,650 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
UniteFightBack
(8,231 posts)worried.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LongtimeAZDem
(4,494 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ismnotwasm
(41,989 posts)Im thinking theres a lot of people attracted to Biden. Ill take Warren over Bernie Sanders though.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
peggysue2
(10,831 posts)Is losing to Donald Trump and his enablers in 2020. Because that would be catastrophic, not simply for the Democratic Party but for our already melting democratic Republic. It's also the reason the unpopular 'electability quotient' has gathered so much steam with the electorate. Choosing the best candidate with the highest electability quotient to beat the Squatter-in-Chief is the only thing that matters for 2020.
Or, we can kiss the whole enchilada good-bye and sustain ourselves on grand stances and promises that were smothered in their crib, a small comfort that I guarantee will be very short-lived.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
WA-03 Democrat
(3,050 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
RudyColludie
(43 posts)It's Biden Time! Joe's gonna beat Trump like a drum
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Hunt 4 Blue November
(36 posts)From last night:
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
blm
(113,065 posts)the Dem party.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
redstateblues
(10,565 posts)A lot of the policies that Sanders and Warren are espousing are losers. MFA being one. Warren is especially weak in the rust belt and with POC.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
blm
(113,065 posts)who gets targeted as being too unpopular?
OK.
And when I say the rightest wing I am referring to the handful of loudmouth, stringpulling Wall St Dems who find ways to generate horseshit articles like this one.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
redstateblues
(10,565 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
blm
(113,065 posts)I was addressing the constant charge that Warren is unpopular in the Midwest and with people of color, yet there are many candidates with lower numbers who are not accused of being unpopular as much as Warren.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
totodeinhere
(13,058 posts)It's just a few newspaper columnists looking for something to write about.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
still_one
(92,219 posts)Did I scare you?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
myohmy2
(3,163 posts)"...has terrified moderate Democrats, who worry that a race to the left will damage the partys chances of defeating President Donald Trump even as it electrifies the base."
...moderates have nothing to fear, but fear itself...
...look, this is a golden opportunity for the Democrats to lead our nation well into the future with bold new ideas...whether a conservative Dem, moderate or Progressive, trump will smear our candidate equally the same with his Commie tweets, fabrications and lies...we should accept this as a given...
...we need to counter by showing our nation how to get to a brighter future with our real problems democratically solved, something the republicans will never do..can't do...
...if we keep our shoulder to the grind stone, follow ever avenue and opportunity to pursue trump and republican criminals, layout an impeccably solid case for impeachment and removal, we should be able to beat trump running a rock in 2020...
...think bigger, moderates...Bernie can do it...We can do it
...
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
betsuni
(25,537 posts)"Moderate" and "terrified" don't even go together.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
TreasonousBastard
(43,049 posts)but extremely anxious at the thought of millions staying home when given the choice of Rump or someone called any kind of Socialist.
Even worse, if Rump is deposed somehow and does not run next year, how would Sanders or Warren run against Romney? Or Kasich? Weld?
Really want a woman in the White House? I hear Nikki Haley is chomping at the bit.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
BeckyDem
(8,361 posts)K&R
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LanternWaste
(37,748 posts)I get it... tomorrow's Halloween. So instead of the usual unsupported chum to throw at the wall hoping it sticks, we're gonna throw unusual (yet still unsupported) chum at the wall instead, hoping it sticks.
That's the great thing about editorials, no objective evidence required. One can write that 2+2=22, then simply cite it as an opinion to more efficiently avoid providing any relevant or objective evidence to support the premise of the piece.
But sure... I'll pretend Democrats are terrified. It's Halloween... I'll also pretend zombies are chemists, vampires write novellas and skeletons have no skin in the game.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(145,314 posts)Link to tweet
Their second choice in a straw vote is Pete Buttigieg, the mayor of South Bend, Ind.
They definitely dont want either U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts or U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont, the progressive candidates who are performing near the top of public opinion polls, along with Biden.....
But they believe the Democratic Partys overriding goal of defeating President Donald Trump can be best achieved by nominating a candidate like Biden or maybe Buttigieg who they believe can better to appeal to swing voters in a handful of states that will decide the election.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden