Sorry, I like him, but his path won't bring him into the top tier; it's just the early state illusion.

He might surprise me, but he needs urban support that isn't apparent right now.

...and appears to be homing in on Sanders and Warren.

https://projects.economist.com/democratic-primaries-2020/

Wins in Iowa/New Hampshire can change the short-term dynamics.

plus his fund raising puts him in the top 4

I like Yang but no real upside from here. Klobuchar still has a possible path.

and she's the most electable of any of them if she gets the nomination.

Going by polling or fundraising, Yang comes out ahead of her.

She's has a 1% chance

Klobuchar has the most local endorsements in Iowa. You have to understand that this is a caucus state and having the most local facing campaign can play big if just a bit of a chance opens up.

Because Iowans know her she is the candidate with the possibility of a surprise, based on national polling.

The January debate criteria are not out yet but she made the December debate even before November and Yang has yet to do so,

Andy hasn't.

Thanks for making it obvious.

Three of her four qualifying polls are from Iowa. Her national support is weak. We know she'll do well in the Midwest. Nationally? Not so much.

I don't think that she will win at this point. It's not impossible, but I don't see it.

Biden , Buttigeg , Sanders and Warren ….The others have almost no chance of being our nominee …..I wish future debates would be limited to the Final Four ..I know the rules won't permit this to happen ……..It's December ..It's time to get serious ..The others have been given ample opportunity to make their case to the American people ….. Bloomberg is making his case via a massive TV ad buy …..He won't be included in the debates in any case .. Like the other also-rans, he has virtually no chance of being our nominee …………. Enough with the 90 second answers on serious issues like healthcare , climate change , foreign policy and income inequality …….Time for a real debate …..

I completely agree other than Bloomberg could sneak into the top on his money alone


The rest really need to be dropped from the debates. I mean Harris dropped out and she has more support than the others that are below her.


The biggest complaint I hear is too many people are on the stage so they tune out.

Will have at most 8. January is likely to have 6 or maybe 5.
It really looks like the DNC tuned this pretty well.

It was bound to be a different kind of primary, with the desperation to get Trump out of office. They managed to organize things in the fairest way possible.

if Buttigieg takes votes from Sanders... I'm ok with Sanders, Harris, Booker, Klobuchar staying in the Senate

Why is Klobuchar in the third tier when she -- unlike Yang -- has already qualified for the next debate?

Where is Steyer, who also is one of the few to already qualify for the next debate?

Mad because he doesn't call you for money?

I figured you'd know that by know.

Having a lot of money doesn't mean you know what to do with it; I don't see Steyer generating the kind of buzz that Bloomberg will be able to.

You would have more credibility.

... than when he deemed a candidate's campaign inferior because they asked him for a campaign contribution?

Nothing that brooklynite posted warranted your comment.

...or not they persomally asked for his money opened himself up to such a comment.

No candidate is going to make or break over a few thousand dollars in campaign contributions and it's pretentious to think otherwise.

I believe this reality explains why so many great people have done so poorly: With one candidate, VP Biden, far out ahead before he even announced, most of the electorate want candidates to prove similar ELECTABILITY before they'll support, and they can't. A catch-22.

both Biden and Warren are very electable. Biden more so but Warren is very persuasive when she talks to people and has a certain charisma. But yes, Joe is very warm and charismatic and comes in with great experience so he’s definitely the one to beat.

Notice that he's divided the top tier into 1a and 1b, which IMO is silly since he is still basically saying == as I said above -- that Biden's in the top tier all by himself:

Link to tweet