Democratic Primaries

Skya Rhen

(2,701 posts) Wed Dec 11, 2019, 08:26 AM Dec 2019

New MassInc (A/B Rated) Poll - New Hampshire: Buttigieg 18%, Biden 17%, Sanders 15%, Warren 12%

WBUR Poll: Buttigieg, Biden Top N.H. Primary Race, While Warren's Support Slips

Pete Buttigieg, mayor of South Bend, Indiana, and former Vice President Joe Biden are leading the crowded Democratic presidential primary race in New Hampshire, according to a new WBUR poll. With the first-in-the-nation primary less than nine weeks away, Buttigieg is running slightly ahead of Biden, followed by Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, who is in fourth place.

It's the latest poll suggesting that Buttigieg has real momentum in Iowa and New Hampshire, home of the first presidential caucuses and primary. According to the WBUR survey (topline, crosstabs) of 442 likely New Hampshire Democratic primary voters, 18% say Buttigieg is their top choice. The poll was conducted from Dec. 3 to Dec. 8 and has a margin of error of 4.7%. Meanwhile, Biden, after slipping in the polls following some shaky debate performances, is solidly in contention in the Granite State, just one point behind Buttigieg. But the poll suggests the first-in-the-nation primary race continues to be highly unsettled.

https://www.wbur.org/news/2019/12/11/democrats-mayor-pete-biden-sanders-elizabeth-warren-tight-contest

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

14 replies

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Highlight:

*New* MassInc (A/B Rated) Poll - New Hampshire: Buttigieg 18%, Biden 17%, Sanders 15%, Warren 12% (Original Post) Skya Rhen Dec 2019 OP

Firefighters in New Hampshire! Cha Dec 2019 #1

Doesn't look good for Bernie. NurseJackie Dec 2019 #2

What do you mean by not looking good? BannonsLiver Dec 2019 #10

... NurseJackie Dec 2019 #12

I'm hoping...Date the others, marry Biden... Kahuna7 Dec 2019 #3

My sentiments, exactly! Skya Rhen Dec 2019 #7

From fourth and fading fast a week ago padah513 Dec 2019 #4

That does show a change for the better for Biden karynnj Dec 2019 #11

Skya Rhen, thanks for the posting! Sloumeau Dec 2019 #5

Fingers crossed. Looks like the "moderates" are back in the lead (according to this poll). Tarheel_Dem Dec 2019 #6

Wow! Go Pete! nt BootinUp Dec 2019 #8

K&R Scurrilous Dec 2019 #9

K&R. I expect a lot of people who responded to this poll saying they support Buttigieg to switch to highplainsdem Dec 2019 #13

Elizabeth Warren has had a rough few weeks. StevieM Dec 2019 #14

Cha

(297,799 posts)

1. Firefighters in New Hampshire!

Reply to Skya Rhen (Original post)

Wed Dec 11, 2019, 08:28 AM

Dec 2019

Mahalo, Skya!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)

2. Doesn't look good for Bernie.

Reply to Skya Rhen (Original post)

Wed Dec 11, 2019, 08:37 AM

Dec 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

BannonsLiver

(16,508 posts)

10. What do you mean by not looking good?

Reply to NurseJackie (Reply #2)

Wed Dec 11, 2019, 11:56 AM

Dec 2019

BeRnIe iS suRgiNG!1!1

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)

12. ...

Reply to BannonsLiver (Reply #10)

Wed Dec 11, 2019, 01:01 PM

Dec 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Kahuna7

(2,531 posts)

3. I'm hoping...Date the others, marry Biden...

Reply to Skya Rhen (Original post)

Wed Dec 11, 2019, 08:42 AM

Dec 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Skya Rhen

(2,701 posts)

7. My sentiments, exactly!

Reply to Kahuna7 (Reply #3)

Wed Dec 11, 2019, 09:09 AM

Dec 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

padah513

(2,509 posts)

4. From fourth and fading fast a week ago

Reply to Skya Rhen (Original post)

Wed Dec 11, 2019, 08:44 AM

Dec 2019

To a solid second this week. I'll take it.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

karynnj

(59,507 posts)

11. That does show a change for the better for Biden

Reply to padah513 (Reply #4)

Wed Dec 11, 2019, 12:38 PM

Dec 2019

It is also interesting to look at the timing of the polling December 3-8. At the beginning of that interval Biden had started his Iowa trip. Early on much of the coverage was the incident with the man spouting Fox News points on his son. On December 5th, he was endorsed by Kerry, who joined him on December 6 in Iowa. Biden wrapped for the Iowa malarkey tour on December 7.

Biden came to NH on December 8 for an event in Nashua, NH. (Using google to check dates on this time line, I found that CSPAN recorded that event - https://www.c-span.org/video/?467143-1/joe-biden-campaigns-nashua-hampshire

My point, I would love to see the day by day estimates (yes, I KNOW the variance for them would be huge as they each would have a pretty small sample size). Note that virtually all of those polled were polled before there was LOCAL news coverage of his NH events, which appeared to be very well attended. (That coverage was excellent for Biden - here's one of the examples - https://www.wmur.com/article/wmur-2020-politics-podcast-the-trail-episode-64/30173111 (From December 9, after the poll was done.)

Just from the numbers from this and other polls, it is clear that the race is very close between at least 3 of the 4 top candidates and all 4 could easily move to the lead over the next several weeks.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Sloumeau

(2,657 posts)

5. Skya Rhen, thanks for the posting!

Reply to Skya Rhen (Original post)

Wed Dec 11, 2019, 08:49 AM

Dec 2019

Joe Biden is now just 1 point behind Pete! I will take that!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Tarheel_Dem

(31,245 posts)

6. Fingers crossed. Looks like the "moderates" are back in the lead (according to this poll).

Reply to Skya Rhen (Original post)

Wed Dec 11, 2019, 09:09 AM

Dec 2019

Let's hope the trend continues.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

BootinUp

(47,201 posts)

8. Wow! Go Pete! nt

Reply to Skya Rhen (Original post)

Wed Dec 11, 2019, 09:15 AM

Dec 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Scurrilous

(38,687 posts)

9. K&R

Reply to Skya Rhen (Original post)

Wed Dec 11, 2019, 09:51 AM

Dec 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

highplainsdem

(49,045 posts)

13. K&R. I expect a lot of people who responded to this poll saying they support Buttigieg to switch to

Reply to Skya Rhen (Original post)

Wed Dec 11, 2019, 01:05 PM

Dec 2019

Biden when they finally vote.

That is, unless Buttgieg suddenly looks much more electable in polls of other states including SC, and national polls.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

StevieM

(10,500 posts)

14. Elizabeth Warren has had a rough few weeks.

Reply to Skya Rhen (Original post)

Wed Dec 11, 2019, 01:08 PM

Dec 2019

She is down in the last several polls.

I am glad to see that Mayor Pete is showing some resilience. It seems that Bloomberg is hurting him more than the other candidates.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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