Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forum*NEW* Virginia Poll (Likely Voters) vs Trump: Biden (+3), Sanders (-3), Warren (-)
https://oppo.vcu.edu/media/oppo/Winter2019-20Release1.pdfprimary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cattledog
(5,917 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
spooky3
(34,463 posts)to Trump.
2) MOE of 5 percentage points
3) phone call response rate is about 8%. I dont know how this compares to that for other polls. But it is a very low number and unlikely to be representative of voterseven with the pollsters adjustments.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
evertonfc
(1,713 posts)If your not ahead of Trump, at this point, in freaking VA- your not a legitimate candidate. His acquittal in Senate will only help him. We simply may not have the right candidates to be beat him. I dunno but this is very concerning
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
boomer_wv
(673 posts)The incumbent party has lost the White House in each election following an impeachment, or near impeachment. That includes Clinton which was a less popular impeachment than this.
Besides, this is a VCU poll which has an R house effect. It should be expected to be a point or two better for Trump.
The Democrat nominee will win Virginia, and likely by 7 or 8 points.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
helpisontheway
(5,008 posts)Really? Why in the hell would Virginia be turning back red with that demon in the White House? Al this after flipping the state legislature Blue last month? 😡 Hope this is an outlier..
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
bradla24
(16 posts)My original post indicated that they had polled more men than women. However, it looks like they did adjust it after the responses. Although it is telling that before they adjusted they got 443 men responses versus 375 women. I still think it should be closer to 52% women to 48% men. Also 30% democrats to 29% republicans in Virginia. Nope. I also think they may have gotten skewed results by asking about reparations. Ugh I cant stand unskewing polls.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Response to Skya Rhen (Original post)
bradla24 This message was self-deleted by its author.
LonePirate
(13,428 posts)There is no way the Dem candidate wins VA by less than 7-8 points. 45 is absolutely loathed in the beltway and the other blue centers in VA.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Tarheel_Dem
(31,236 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
David__77
(23,453 posts)I would not take Virginia for granted.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
democrattotheend
(11,605 posts)All of the Democratic candidates have lost ground compared to previous polls and compared to Hillary's performance in VA in 2016.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided