Democratic Primaries

highplainsdem

(49,034 posts) Sat Dec 28, 2019, 09:54 PM Dec 2019

A reminder - Biden does VERY well with younger voters in GE matchups against Trump

I'm posting this as an OP because it deserves attention.

While the youngest group of voters may favor other candidates when polled only on primary-race preferences, they strongly back Biden against Trump.

Since I'd been noticing that for months now in polls that showed the age breakdown in GE match-ups, I was surprised to see anyone here would be concerned about this.

Two examples:

CNN's poll this month, which has Biden getting 52% of 18-34 year olds, compared to 39% for Trump. (With the same age group, Sanders versus Trump, the results were 52% to 41%. Same age group, Warren versus Trump, it was 47% to 43%.)

https://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2019/images/12/20/rel14c.-.economy,.general.election.pdf

And SurveyUSA's last national GE poll, done a month ago, which some here consider the most accurate poll

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=5128ee79-1b59-4146-bf80-54906bb24d4b

found 18-34 year olds choosing Biden over Trump 52% to 38%. In this poll, Warren and Sanders did slightly better than Biden with this group, Warren over Trump 55% to 35%, and Sanders over Trump 60% to 34%.

So there's no good reason for anyone to fret that younger voters won't support Biden against Trump.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

17 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

A reminder - Biden does VERY well with younger voters in GE matchups against Trump (Original Post) highplainsdem Dec 2019 OP

Young voters will turn out. count on it Kurt V. Dec 2019 #1

This message was self-deleted by its author InAbLuEsTaTe Dec 2019 #7

Let me quote how a fellow DU'er fretted about younger voters not supporting Biden. crazytown Dec 2019 #2

I have no idea who posted that, and can't find the post searching for it, so I'm guessing it was highplainsdem Dec 2019 #3

You don't have to go very far to find the same attitude around here crazytown Dec 2019 #8

As far as that particular reply goes...I don't agree that younger voters ONLY go for free highplainsdem Dec 2019 #11

++++++ NYMinute Dec 2019 #4

My dog would do well with young voters against Trump. 4139 Dec 2019 #5

Yes, apparently everybody or anything but Bernie - that includes rocks - according to some... InAbLuEsTaTe Dec 2019 #9

I've said that all along. LakeArenal Dec 2019 #6

then there is this: for a good portion of their lives, he was yellowdogintexas Dec 2019 #10

Excellent point! Thekaspervote Dec 2019 #13

You're looking at the wrong stats Fiendish Thingy Dec 2019 #12

The more important data is who actually votes. Voters ages 18-34 do not turn out to vote Thekaspervote Dec 2019 #14

And to assume it shall be thus forevermore is a path to certain defeat nt Fiendish Thingy Dec 2019 #15

"Voters ages 18-34 do not turn out to vote" crazytown Dec 2019 #16

When Biden is the nominee, Biden will do very well with younger voters Gothmog Dec 2019 #17

Kurt V.

(5,624 posts)

1. Young voters will turn out. count on it

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Sat Dec 28, 2019, 10:03 PM

Dec 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Response to Kurt V. (Reply #1)

InAbLuEsTaTe This message was self-deleted by its author.

crazytown

(7,277 posts)

2. Let me quote how a fellow DU'er fretted about younger voters not supporting Biden.

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Sat Dec 28, 2019, 10:03 PM

Dec 2019

Screw them. If they will only vote for someone who promises to give them free stuff, then they are selfish assholes. And if they actually end up voting for Trump, then they were never really going to vote for Sanders or Warren anyway.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

highplainsdem

(49,034 posts)

3. I have no idea who posted that, and can't find the post searching for it, so I'm guessing it was

Reply to crazytown (Reply #2)

Sat Dec 28, 2019, 10:11 PM

Dec 2019

removed.

And I don't care about that post.

I do care that DUers know that Biden polls well with younger voters in GE match-ups.

In case anyone is worried that he might not have their support.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

crazytown

(7,277 posts)

8. You don't have to go very far to find the same attitude around here

Reply to highplainsdem (Reply #3)

Sat Dec 28, 2019, 10:19 PM

Dec 2019

https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1287&pid=397268

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

highplainsdem

(49,034 posts)

11. As far as that particular reply goes...I don't agree that younger voters ONLY go for free

Reply to crazytown (Reply #8)

Sat Dec 28, 2019, 10:27 PM

Dec 2019

college tuition. But I do think that free college and student loan debt forgiveness are major inducements for them, and a large part of the reason Sanders and Warren do as well as they do with the youngest voters in the primary race.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

NYMinute

(3,256 posts)

4. ++++++

Reply to crazytown (Reply #2)

Sat Dec 28, 2019, 10:12 PM

Dec 2019

They only go for free college tuition

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

4139

(1,893 posts)

5. My dog would do well with young voters against Trump.

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Sat Dec 28, 2019, 10:12 PM

Dec 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

InAbLuEsTaTe

(24,122 posts)

9. Yes, apparently everybody or anything but Bernie - that includes rocks - according to some...

Reply to 4139 (Reply #5)

Sat Dec 28, 2019, 10:20 PM

Dec 2019

even though Bernie does best among younger voters than any other Democrat, and is doing more to enrol them in the Democratic Party.

Bernie/Elizabeth or Elizabeth/Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together & can't be bought!!
Jump on the Bernie Bandwagon & join the revolution!!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

LakeArenal

(28,845 posts)

6. I've said that all along.

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Sat Dec 28, 2019, 10:12 PM

Dec 2019

I have seen Joe speak on campus.
He and the students were great.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

yellowdogintexas

(22,270 posts)

10. then there is this: for a good portion of their lives, he was

Reply to LakeArenal (Reply #6)

Sat Dec 28, 2019, 10:27 PM

Dec 2019

a known quantity and a likable one. He is very familiar to them and that yields a valuable amount of trust for Joe

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Thekaspervote

(32,793 posts)

13. Excellent point!

Reply to yellowdogintexas (Reply #10)

Sat Dec 28, 2019, 10:41 PM

Dec 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Fiendish Thingy

(15,656 posts)

12. You're looking at the wrong stats

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Sat Dec 28, 2019, 10:39 PM

Dec 2019

Your data shows Biden getting a bigger share of the youth vote (whoever shows up at the polls, no matter how many/how few) than Trump- that’s a given for any Dem nominee.

The more important data point is, which candidate would inspire the largest number of youth voters to show up at the polls. My hunch is it ain’t Joe...

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided