Democratic Primaries

highplainsdem

(49,045 posts) Mon Dec 30, 2019, 09:23 PM Dec 2019

12/30 Morning Consult EARLY PRIMARY STATES poll: Biden 33%, Sanders 17%, Warren 13%, Buttigieg 11%,

Steyer 10%, Booker 4%, Klobuchar & Yang 3%, Bloomberg & Gabbard 2%, all others 1% or less

https://morningconsult.com/2020-democratic-primary/

Skya Rhen has already posted an OP with the national results from Morning Consult's polling

https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287399916

but I thought the difference with the early-state polling was worth noting.

Steyer, who's been flooding the early states with ads, has been doing well in the polling there for some time.

Bloomberg's also been spending record amounts on ads, but it doesn't seem to be having as much effect in the early states as it has for him nationally, with him at 6% nationally but only 2% in the early states.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

13 replies

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12/30 Morning Consult EARLY PRIMARY STATES poll: Biden 33%, Sanders 17%, Warren 13%, Buttigieg 11%, (Original Post) highplainsdem Dec 2019 OP

Every single candidate is at or below their number of December 15, except one. He's up. George II Dec 2019 #1

Negligible Tiggeroshii Dec 2019 #3

I'd rather be up than down. writes3000 Dec 2019 #5

Biden 32, Bernie 21. Where are your numbers coming from? Tiggeroshii Dec 2019 #2

From the page I linked to. Haven't you ever looked at their polls before? If you look above the highplainsdem Dec 2019 #7

I haven't. Thanks! Tiggeroshii Dec 2019 #9

Go Early States! Thanks for posting. writes3000 Dec 2019 #4

Thank you, highplainsdem! Cha Dec 2019 #6

I'd consider Joe, if he could get the record number of donors and rally attendees as... JoeOtterbein Dec 2019 #8

RealClearPolitics averages as of today (with last poll date): George II Dec 2019 #10

This makes me smile Gothmog Dec 2019 #11

Biden is going to be the nominee...yeah! Thanks K&R Demsrule86 Dec 2019 #12

I like it. Tarheel_Dem Dec 2019 #13

George II

(67,782 posts)

1. Every single candidate is at or below their number of December 15, except one. He's up.

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Dec 30, 2019, 09:30 PM

Dec 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)

3. Negligible

Reply to George II (Reply #1)

Mon Dec 30, 2019, 09:36 PM

Dec 2019

1% is well within the moe

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

writes3000

(4,734 posts)

5. I'd rather be up than down.

Reply to Tiggeroshii (Reply #3)

Mon Dec 30, 2019, 09:38 PM

Dec 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)

2. Biden 32, Bernie 21. Where are your numbers coming from?

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Dec 30, 2019, 09:35 PM

Dec 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

highplainsdem

(49,045 posts)

7. From the page I linked to. Haven't you ever looked at their polls before? If you look above the

Reply to Tiggeroshii (Reply #2)

Mon Dec 30, 2019, 09:39 PM

Dec 2019

list of candidates, you'll see two options, Democratic Primary Voters and Early Primary State Voters.

Click the link for Early Primary State Voters to get those results.

MC has been reporting both results for months now.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)

9. I haven't. Thanks!

Reply to highplainsdem (Reply #7)

Mon Dec 30, 2019, 09:41 PM

Dec 2019

Figured it out.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

writes3000

(4,734 posts)

4. Go Early States! Thanks for posting.

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Dec 30, 2019, 09:37 PM

Dec 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Cha

(297,818 posts)

6. Thank you, highplainsdem!

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Dec 30, 2019, 09:39 PM

Dec 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

JoeOtterbein

(7,702 posts)

8. I'd consider Joe, if he could get the record number of donors and rally attendees as...

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Dec 30, 2019, 09:40 PM

Dec 2019

...Bernie!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

George II

(67,782 posts)

10. RealClearPolitics averages as of today (with last poll date):

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Dec 30, 2019, 09:44 PM

Dec 2019

Iowa (Dec 16)

1 Buttigieg 22.0
2 Sanders 20.0
3 Biden 18.8
4 Warren 16.0

New Hampshire (Dec 8)

2 Buttigieg 17.7
1 Sanders 19.0
3 Biden 14.3
4 Warren 13.3

Nevada (Nov 13)

4 Buttigieg 7.3
3 Sanders 19.8
1 Biden 29.0
2 Warren 20.0

South Carolina (Dec 11)

4 Buttigieg 7.7
3 Sanders 15.3
1 Biden 35.0
2 Warren 16.3