No, as a matter of strict logic, someone still has to beat him. He's the incumbent.

Denying his appeal and possibility of reelection is a losing proposition. His support is roughly the same as it was when he was elected, and a common mistake we often make is assuming that approval and disapproval are directly related to who'll vote for him. Plenty of people disapproved of him in 2016 and voted for him anyway. There's little reason to believe that will change this cycle.

"Polls suggest there is a hardcore 45% who, as this time, want MF45 out, no matter what."

Which, of course, isn't enough. It's also nothing new. The vast, vast majority of people made up their minds about Trump years ago. Actual results indicate that a very similar percentage didn't want him to be president in the first place. Since the numbers haven't changed much, if at all, the most important factor, as it usually is, will be turnout.

There's nothing inherently wrong with pessimism about our candidates' relative chances at winning the GE. As you noted, we *must* win, so the ability of a candidate to do so is a factor. There's more to it than that, of course. We need someone who can not only win the presidency, but can contribute to gains in down-ticket, state, and local races, which means turnout again. Keeping the House and winning the Senate are also vitally important where the agenda of any candidate is concerned.

he will either melt down completely, and his crimes will finally be out there for all but the most blind to see, or we are fucked as a country.
i have great faith in his ability to fuck up everything he touches.
i'm not holding my breath, but at some point the wall has to crumble.
maybe it is a pile of rubble in the history books, looked back on as when the country well and truly went bad. but i dont think cheato or the thug party can withstand the sunshine of a campaign.

yeah, you have to put someone decent out there, but i recall many a flimsy one term congressman who went up against an unbeatable foe. many got turned out 2 years later, but they were breathing, and pointing fingers, and they won where the party thought they couldnt, because it was time for someone to fall.