Even if they once voted for Obama. That would require a centrist cow towing to “white anxiety”, which would likely backfire and alienate POC.

Increasing turnout, especially among young voters, is a far more effective strategy. All that is required is the nomination of a candidate who inspires voters to show up.

revitalize the economy, and help everyone to improve their lives as soon as possible.

"his(Buttigieg) racial liberalism is likely a key component to his recent rise, fueled disproportionately by woke white liberals who are nervous about Warren." G Elliott Morris.

Link to tweet

Link to tweet

I do like that the 23 year old Morris has already stated that "Biden is probably going to win."

Yes, it is nice to see objective data journalists.

This is one reason people have confidence in the Economist's Polling model, also 538's Polling model, which we all know is one of the best, agrees with it to a very substantial degree.

Not off hand, but I do seem to recall he called the general election wrong.

Perhaps that would be a good project for someone who was interested in 2016 to pursue.

Sorry, I thought the discussion was a bit more clear. I didn't see where we mentioned Nate.

Sorry to have confused you.

2016 was a bad year for Nate Silver

lol

Joking. Mostly. Well, not really joking.

Yeah, great point, 2016 was not Nate Silver's best year.

But to be fair, if I remember correctly, he did give trump about a 23% chance of winning the general election, so it's not like he was wrong wrong.

game, set and match.

You are very amusing, Bluewater.

It's just that where he was wrong was where the election was decided (WI, MI, PA)

I believe on election day he gave Hillary around a 66% chance to win, which was on the low end of what other prognosticators were giving her. And from his data, you could see how Trump managed the upset because there were still around 8% undecided going into election day, who probably went hard for Trump.