Democratic Primaries

vsrazdem

(2,177 posts) Fri Mar 29, 2019, 12:51 PM Mar 2019

Poll shows Biden, Sanders and Beto leading with African Americans.

Voters do not seem to care about age, race or gender. Posted this earlier, but seems to have disappeared, wonder why?

https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2611

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

5 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Poll shows Biden, Sanders and Beto leading with African Americans. (Original Post) vsrazdem Mar 2019 OP

"Definitely voting for Trump are 77 percent of Republicans, one percent of Democrats..." RobertDevereaux Mar 2019 #1

Maybe I missed it but I don't see Uncle Joe Mar 2019 #2

I think he is doing okay. vsrazdem Mar 2019 #4

I agree, I just thought it was a curious thing. Uncle Joe Mar 2019 #5

In a sample of 1,358 BlueFlorida Mar 2019 #3

RobertDevereaux

(1,857 posts)

1. "Definitely voting for Trump are 77 percent of Republicans, one percent of Democrats..."

Reply to vsrazdem (Original post)

Fri Mar 29, 2019, 12:59 PM

Mar 2019

...and 21 percent of independent voters"

One percent of Democrats? !!!

Who are these idiots? :^)

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Uncle Joe

(58,363 posts)

2. Maybe I missed it but I don't see

Reply to vsrazdem (Original post)

Fri Mar 29, 2019, 01:00 PM

Mar 2019

Latino Americans, Native Americans or Asian Americans as a listed category in that poll?

Thanks for the thread vsrazdem.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

vsrazdem

(2,177 posts)

4. I think he is doing okay.

Reply to Uncle Joe (Reply #2)

Fri Mar 29, 2019, 01:22 PM

Mar 2019

A Harvard/Harris poll in November 2018 found Sanders polling favorably with Latinos and black voters by 58 percent and 66 percent, respectively. Forty-seven percent of white voters viewed him favorably in that poll. Among those 18 to 24 years of age, 59 percent supported Sanders. But in the 65-plus age range, his support dropped 10 points, to 49 percent.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Uncle Joe

(58,363 posts)

5. I agree, I just thought it was a curious thing.

Reply to vsrazdem (Reply #4)

Fri Mar 29, 2019, 01:33 PM

Mar 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

BlueFlorida

(1,532 posts)

3. In a sample of 1,358

Reply to vsrazdem (Original post)

Fri Mar 29, 2019, 01:11 PM

Mar 2019

African Americans are probably about 100.

The margin of error on a small sample like that is close to +/- 19%

Drawing any conclusions about a subset of the total poll is meaningless. Any freshman statistician would say that.

From the poll's methodology page:

This RDD telephone survey was conducted from March21–25, 2019throughout the nation.Responses are reported for 1,358self-identified registered voters with a margin of sampling error of +/-3.3percentage points, including the design effect. The survey includes 559 Democratic or Democratic leaning voters with a margin of sampling error of +/-5.1 percentage points, including the design effect, and 582 Republican or Republican leaning voters with a margin of sampling error of +/-5 percentage points, including the design effect. Margins of sampling error for subgroups are available upon request.

Margins of sampling error for subgroups are available upon request.

Translation, "the margins of error for subgroups are shamefully and embarrassingly large so we hid them."

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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