Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumBiden is the Democrats' 'only hope' to defeat Trump
BY KEVIN WALLING, OPINION CONTRIBUTOR 01/12/20
In the latest Morning Consult poll conducted Dec. 30 through Jan. 5, Biden is leading President Trump 46 percent to 40 percent in a hypothetical matchup, the widest margin recorded among the top five contenders for the partys nomination. In the same poll, Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and former New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg lead the incumbent president by just two points, with former South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg and Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) statistically tied within the margin of error.
This latest poll is similar to previous surveys over the past few months that show Biden leading Trump anywhere between five percentage points (CNN 12/12-12/15) and nine points (Quinnipiac 12/4-12/9). The Democratic nominee will need that kind of national advantage to ensure not just a popular vote victory, but an Electoral College win the only thing that actually matters.
In 2008, then-Sen. Barack Obama was able to assemble a broad coalition of voters that delivered him a massive Electoral College win, defeating Sen. John McCain 365 to 173. Critical to that victory was the fact that Obama won the largest share of white support of any Democrat since Jimmy Carter in 1976, including winning 54 percent of young white voters. Obama also received a record-breaking 96 percent of black voter support and held McCain to breaking even with suburban voters, a key voting bloc that Republicans had previously counted on.
According to the same Morning Consult poll, Biden is the only leading Democratic candidate in the field that can assemble that similar winning Obama coalition. Biden outperforms all of the leading contenders among white male voters
leads Trump among middle-income Americans, 45 percent to 43 percent
and he bests Trump by 8 points among suburban voters.
https://thehill.com/opinion/campaign/477858-biden-is-the-democrats-only-hope-to-defeat-trump
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DownriverDem
(6,231 posts)with a strong progressive Dem woman would be a winning ticket. Go Joe!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
SCantiGOP
(13,874 posts)We want to give Trump the chance to make horrible sexist comments about her, to help drive the last sane white suburban women from the GOP.
If there is a woman on the Dem ticket I think Trump dumps Pence and puts Haley on the ticket.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Sloumeau
(2,657 posts)people of color. Biden's support among Black voters, plus all of the women who want a woman on the ticket and Trump out of there would make that a killer ticket.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
world wide wally
(21,755 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
UniteFightBack
(8,231 posts)head. ALWAYS. And it's great when those two things coincide...like 2020.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
rainin
(3,011 posts)"overcoming voter suppression" or "overcoming cheating". I cringe when people use words that make him sound legitimate, when he clearly isn't. He is easily beatable in a fair election. We make him sound so strong and we're missing the opportunity to put in every voter's mind the importance of protecting the vote and the need for massive turnout. We need to OVERWHELM the republicans at the ballot box. tRump is a pathetic, unpopular, weak troll that never would have won without gaming the system.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Messaging isn't our strong suit.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Demsrule86
(68,691 posts)of states who engage in what you described like for example Georgia, we need to choose a candidate that can win no matter what. Biden is that candidate.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Biden may not be the only option who can beat Trump. But I absolutely agree with your assessment otherwise.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Demsrule86
(68,691 posts)have a tough time with gerrymandering and voter suppression. In Ohio, we passed a referendum on gerrymandering which the GOP Governor and legislature is ignoring. No matter what there is no time to fix this mess.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Qutzupalotl
(14,331 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LakeArenal
(28,847 posts)Hes the most qualified to defeat trump and bring some respect to the office.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
emmaverybo
(8,144 posts)and experienced candidate, as well as the only candidate well able due to his FP cred for the critical moment we are in as a world.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LonePirate
(13,431 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Demsrule86
(68,691 posts)Human nature. Lots of other sources that echo this.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
left-of-center2012
(34,195 posts)Warren supporters love The Hill when articles favor her.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LonePirate
(13,431 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Demsrule86
(68,691 posts)posted by Warren supporters...nothing wrong with that IMHO...but there it is.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LonePirate
(13,431 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Demsrule86
(68,691 posts)Warren and post these stories...I got a and was informed that wasn't so...well it is so, and it took me one minute to find these posts...be there are more too. It is natural to like stories that are favorable to your candidate so there you have it. The articles were not ignored and were posted by Warren supporters.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Demsrule86
(68,691 posts)The Hill: Signs That African-Americans Warming To Warren
https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287289312
Sanders supporters cry foul over Working Families endorsement of Warren
https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287286379
and who could forget this one...
Obama Is Reportedly Talking Up Elizabeth Warren With Donors
https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287392349
He/she who laughs last laughs best.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
MineralMan
(146,333 posts)lead over Trump. The Republicans will try to interfere in November, and only numbers will defeat them.
And it's not just Trump. We also need the Senate, which will be even more difficult and will require a high Democratic turnout.
I don't see how we have any option other than that.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Demsrule86
(68,691 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
MineralMan
(146,333 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Voltaire2
(13,187 posts)nothing more than maintaining the status quo with a few minor tweaks, against a rightwing populist, we will once again lose.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Demsrule86
(68,691 posts)who can appeal to moderates and AA voters...in MI, WI and PA...so you are wrong...sick of the dog whistle words too. No election has ever been won on the left. And until we move the electorate left it won't happen...if you look at the mid terms and the latest elections that is clear. Notice I said appeal to moderates...Biden is no moderate unless you are comparing him to the far left green types.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
MineralMan
(146,333 posts)None of our candidates will maintain that. None.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(297,693 posts)People of Color..
All your "centrist" labels in the World will NOT Change That.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(297,693 posts)good job on your ******* buzzwords. But that's all they are.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
totodeinhere
(13,059 posts)In swing states Bernie is competitive with Trump. Nationally, I think there is little doubt that any major Democrat will win the popular vote. But that's not good enough. We need to win in the Electoral College and I think the jury is still out on which of our candidates is best positioned to do that.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Demsrule86
(68,691 posts)which destroys hard won union insurance will end his chances there. And AA vote is very important in the mid west...and he is weak in that regard. You have to hold Virginia...not only could we lose the presidency with Warren or with Sanders we likely won't get the Senate and may well lose the House. He has my vote in the general but not the primary.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
totodeinhere
(13,059 posts)leads among younger AA's. That Virginia poll is just one poll and Virginia is well on its way to becoming a solidly blue state. I think that any of our major candidates will carry Virginia in the general.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
UniteFightBack
(8,231 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Mike Nelson
(9,968 posts)... I understand the article and other polls I've seen... maybe "best hope" would be a better headline?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
James48
(4,441 posts)Bernies better.
Im with Bernie.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Champion Jack
(5,378 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
safeinOhio
(32,727 posts)But, I feel we need, more than anything, to take the Senate and keep the house.
Therefore I will be sending my money to those running for Congress in close races.
I learned in 2016 that I'm not good at predicting, so if we can take both houses of Congress, it will not matter as much if we are wrong about the Presidential race. With the Democratic Congress trump will have to pay for his own golf, security, airplane trips etc. he will be dead in the water, so to speak.
I also am not happy with infighting between those running.
but again that is just me, so please make up your own mind.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Scurrilous
(38,687 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(145,595 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden