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highplainsdem

(49,005 posts)
Sun Jan 26, 2020, 10:08 AM Jan 2020

Is FOBO Paralyzing the Democratic Primary?

Last edited Mon Feb 3, 2020, 11:36 AM - Edit history (1)

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/01/26/fobo-democratic-primary-iowa-caucuses-103963


Iowa voters have a problem: They can’t make up their minds.

-snip-

What is happening here? It’s simple: The Democrats have FOBO, or Fear of a Better Option.

-snip-

The upcoming Iowa caucuses tell the story. With the large field of candidates and a voter pool that is feeling the FOBO, indecision might emerge victorious on February 3. Seriously, indecision could actually win the caucuses. It might be unlikely, but here’s how it would work. Under the rules for the Iowa caucuses, upon arriving to their caucus site voters will declare a first-choice candidate. They may also choose to remain “uncommitted.” At that point, any candidate (including uncommitted) that surpasses 15 percent support in the initial “alignment” will move on to the next round while the rest will be eliminated. If enough voters declare themselves uncommitted early on, the winner of the Iowa caucuses may end up being … no candidate at all. In such a scenario, Iowa would be represented by a slate of FOBO delegates that could further muddle a close race later on. If you think that sounds crazy, think again. Uncommitted won the caucuses twice back in the 1970s.

-snip-

The problem with FOBO is that it cultivates a sense of ambiguity and dissatisfaction among voters who are otherwise laser-focused on choosing a candidate who can beat President Trump. For 40 percent of Democrats, the most important trait in a candidate is that person’s ability to win in the general election. In fact, beating Trump polls ahead of kitchen table issues like healthcare (12 percent), the economy (14 percent), and the environment (8 percent) taken together. Despite this shared aspiration, the lack of consensus means that the race has the potential to drag on for months, consuming financial support that could be directed toward the general election and cultivating damaging internecine feuds. Rather than celebrating the diverse and talented set of candidates vying for their support, voters will risk looking for the “perfect” candidate (hint: there’s no such thing) and many will end up disappointed and filled with regret regardless of who prevails at the convention.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
14 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
 

Iliyah

(25,111 posts)
1. Open caucuses . . . .
Sun Jan 26, 2020, 10:14 AM
Jan 2020

Republicans, Indies and Greens can cast their votes for the Democratic candidates.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

highplainsdem

(49,005 posts)
2. Iowa's are closed, I believe. Only registered Democrats.
Sun Jan 26, 2020, 10:17 AM
Jan 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

judeling

(1,086 posts)
8. Same Day registration
Sun Jan 26, 2020, 10:33 AM
Jan 2020

the rule

Any person who is eligible to vote in the State of Iowa and who will be at least 18 years old on Election Day, November 3, 2020, may participate in the Iowa Caucuses. The eligible caucus attendee must be registered as a Democrat or register at the precinct caucus or satellite caucus as a Democrat (IDP Con. Art. 1, Sec.2).
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

highplainsdem

(49,005 posts)
10. See reply 4. I did some googling and found out it would be very easy for Republicans to re-register
Sun Jan 26, 2020, 10:37 AM
Jan 2020

as Democrats just for that evening.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

highplainsdem

(49,005 posts)
4. Whoa. Iowa allows you to change your party registration at the caucus, which makes it very easy for
Sun Jan 26, 2020, 10:21 AM
Jan 2020

Republicans to meddle.

https://www.aclu-ia.org/en/know-your-iowa-caucuses


You must be registered to the party for which you are caucusing. That means you must be a registered Democrat to participate in the Democratic caucus, and you must be a registered Republican to participate in the Republican caucus.

If you are not registered to a party or are registered to a different party, you can still caucus. You can change your party registration at your precinct caucus.


You can also register to vote at the caucus, if you aren't registered.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Iliyah

(25,111 posts)
3. Then why is Mayor Pete courting t-rump's voters?
Sun Jan 26, 2020, 10:21 AM
Jan 2020

These caucuses are confusing . . .

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

highplainsdem

(49,005 posts)
5. See reply 4. You can register to vote for the first time, or change party registration, at the
Sun Jan 26, 2020, 10:23 AM
Jan 2020

caucus.

Way too open IMO...

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

David__77

(23,423 posts)
11. I've heard the argument that caucuses are disenfranchising.
Sun Jan 26, 2020, 10:40 AM
Jan 2020

Allowing same day registration at caucuses makes it at least a bit more like a primary in terms of eligibility. If it was a primary, in Iowa there is same day voter registration including party changes for existing voters.

https://sos.iowa.gov/elections/voterinformation/uocava/faqs.html

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

Iliyah

(25,111 posts)
6. Right wingers are pushing other than VP Biden . . .
Sun Jan 26, 2020, 10:24 AM
Jan 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

highplainsdem

(49,005 posts)
7. They're terrified Trump will lose to Biden.
Sun Jan 26, 2020, 10:28 AM
Jan 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

David__77

(23,423 posts)
9. Haha
Sun Jan 26, 2020, 10:36 AM
Jan 2020

So this person coined FOMO... my husband said that he used have fear of missing out and now he has FOBI - fear of being invited!

On Iowa, I find it unsurprising that so many would be undecided, particularly with a larger field of candidates. For many people I think things aren’t just black and white- there are various aspects to consider and things are indeed always changing.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

InAbLuEsTaTe

(24,122 posts)
12. Yes... it's Hillary.
Sun Jan 26, 2020, 11:34 AM
Jan 2020

Bernie/Elizabeth or Elizabeth/Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together & can't be bought!!
Jump on the Bernie Bandwagon & join the revolution!!
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

DCofVA

(714 posts)
13. FOBO, only happens to me when I'm at the Cheesecake Factory.
Sun Jan 26, 2020, 11:59 AM
Jan 2020

As for who to vote for come March... this will be one of the easiest choices I’ve ever made. Elizabeth Warren. It’s second only to the even easier choice I will be making in November. And that will be the Democratic nominee. If that’s Elizabeth too; then what sweet icing that cake will have. Much better than anything at the Cheesecake factory.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

msongs

(67,420 posts)
14. more garbage from the bottom feeders at politico lol nt
Sun Jan 26, 2020, 02:00 PM
Jan 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
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