Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumIs FOBO Paralyzing the Democratic Primary?
Last edited Mon Feb 3, 2020, 11:36 AM - Edit history (1)
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/01/26/fobo-democratic-primary-iowa-caucuses-103963-snip-
What is happening here? Its simple: The Democrats have FOBO, or Fear of a Better Option.
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The upcoming Iowa caucuses tell the story. With the large field of candidates and a voter pool that is feeling the FOBO, indecision might emerge victorious on February 3. Seriously, indecision could actually win the caucuses. It might be unlikely, but heres how it would work. Under the rules for the Iowa caucuses, upon arriving to their caucus site voters will declare a first-choice candidate. They may also choose to remain uncommitted. At that point, any candidate (including uncommitted) that surpasses 15 percent support in the initial alignment will move on to the next round while the rest will be eliminated. If enough voters declare themselves uncommitted early on, the winner of the Iowa caucuses may end up being no candidate at all. In such a scenario, Iowa would be represented by a slate of FOBO delegates that could further muddle a close race later on. If you think that sounds crazy, think again. Uncommitted won the caucuses twice back in the 1970s.
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The problem with FOBO is that it cultivates a sense of ambiguity and dissatisfaction among voters who are otherwise laser-focused on choosing a candidate who can beat President Trump. For 40 percent of Democrats, the most important trait in a candidate is that persons ability to win in the general election. In fact, beating Trump polls ahead of kitchen table issues like healthcare (12 percent), the economy (14 percent), and the environment (8 percent) taken together. Despite this shared aspiration, the lack of consensus means that the race has the potential to drag on for months, consuming financial support that could be directed toward the general election and cultivating damaging internecine feuds. Rather than celebrating the diverse and talented set of candidates vying for their support, voters will risk looking for the perfect candidate (hint: theres no such thing) and many will end up disappointed and filled with regret regardless of who prevails at the convention.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Iliyah
(25,111 posts)Republicans, Indies and Greens can cast their votes for the Democratic candidates.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
highplainsdem
(49,005 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
judeling
(1,086 posts)the rule
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
highplainsdem
(49,005 posts)as Democrats just for that evening.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
highplainsdem
(49,005 posts)Republicans to meddle.
https://www.aclu-ia.org/en/know-your-iowa-caucuses
If you are not registered to a party or are registered to a different party, you can still caucus. You can change your party registration at your precinct caucus.
You can also register to vote at the caucus, if you aren't registered.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Iliyah
(25,111 posts)These caucuses are confusing . . .
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
highplainsdem
(49,005 posts)caucus.
Way too open IMO...
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
David__77
(23,423 posts)Allowing same day registration at caucuses makes it at least a bit more like a primary in terms of eligibility. If it was a primary, in Iowa there is same day voter registration including party changes for existing voters.
https://sos.iowa.gov/elections/voterinformation/uocava/faqs.html
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Iliyah
(25,111 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
highplainsdem
(49,005 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
David__77
(23,423 posts)So this person coined FOMO... my husband said that he used have fear of missing out and now he has FOBI - fear of being invited!
On Iowa, I find it unsurprising that so many would be undecided, particularly with a larger field of candidates. For many people I think things arent just black and white- there are various aspects to consider and things are indeed always changing.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
InAbLuEsTaTe
(24,122 posts)Bernie/Elizabeth or Elizabeth/Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together & can't be bought!!
Jump on the Bernie Bandwagon & join the revolution!!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
DCofVA
(714 posts)As for who to vote for come March... this will be one of the easiest choices Ive ever made. Elizabeth Warren. Its second only to the even easier choice I will be making in November. And that will be the Democratic nominee. If thats Elizabeth too; then what sweet icing that cake will have. Much better than anything at the Cheesecake factory.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
msongs
(67,420 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden