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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

JoeOtterbein

(7,702 posts)
Sun Jan 26, 2020, 07:19 PM Jan 2020

Polling roundup: Sanders challenges Biden's frontrunner status

Politico

New polls indicate Sanders has gained strength in recent weeks.

By ZACH MONTELLARO

01/26/2020 11:34 AM EST

Updated: 01/26/2020 05:23 PM EST

The Democratic primary remains up for grabs.

A cascade of polls released over the weekend have Bernie Sanders challenging Joe Biden’s frontrunner status, surpassing Biden in key early states as the national horse race tightens up.

In total, seven polls were released this weekend, painting a picture of a Democratic primary that has no clear leader.

A group of surveys out of the first two states to head to the polls — Iowa and New Hampshire — have Sanders in a strong position. But other candidates remain within striking distance, highlighting the fluidity of the race with eight days to go until the Iowa caucuses.

In a poll conducted in Iowa by The New York Times/Siena College that was released Saturday, the Vermont senator sat at the top of the pack at 25 percent. Three other candidates were battling for second place — Pete Buttigieg, Biden and Elizabeth Warren — all within three points of one another. Buttigieg was at 18 percent, to Biden’s 17 percent and Warren’s 15 percent.

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more at link
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
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Polling roundup: Sanders challenges Biden's frontrunner status (Original Post) JoeOtterbein Jan 2020 OP
538 has Biden coming in a distant 3rd in NH. Cant be good for a runup to SC Tiggeroshii Jan 2020 #1
I don't think Biden needs to win Iowa, NH, or even Nevada to win SC. HerbChestnut Jan 2020 #4
I also think that he needs all the delegates he can win in the early state he is strongest Tiggeroshii Jan 2020 #5
Oh definitely. HerbChestnut Jan 2020 #6
Heres to that! Let's help make sure it comes true!! Tiggeroshii Jan 2020 #8
The race has really tightened up. HerbChestnut Jan 2020 #2
Old news, already posted, but already changed about an hour ago: George II Jan 2020 #3
Latest update from RCP: George II Jan 2020 #7
.7 on 538 I think. Tiggeroshii Jan 2020 #9
Latest update (including this poll) from 538: George II Jan 2020 #10
It would be great if Biden won IA.. certainly doesn't need it. Thekaspervote Jan 2020 #11
lol politico nt msongs Jan 2020 #12
+1 myohmy2 Jan 2020 #13
THANK YOU JOE!!! InAbLuEsTaTe Jan 2020 #14
 

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)
1. 538 has Biden coming in a distant 3rd in NH. Cant be good for a runup to SC
Sun Jan 26, 2020, 07:21 PM
Jan 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

HerbChestnut

(3,649 posts)
4. I don't think Biden needs to win Iowa, NH, or even Nevada to win SC.
Sun Jan 26, 2020, 07:23 PM
Jan 2020

But if he loses all three of those contests, his standing across the country will be diminished enough that I don't think he'll win enough delegates to secure the nomination. Iowa is critical. If Bernie wins there, I think he sweeps the first three states, makes significant gains in the south, and carries Super Tuesday.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)
5. I also think that he needs all the delegates he can win in the early state he is strongest
Sun Jan 26, 2020, 07:25 PM
Jan 2020

Coming into that state after losing 3 primaries might reduce the size of his victory there significantly. But yeah, what you said about the overall race is probably far more significant.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

HerbChestnut

(3,649 posts)
6. Oh definitely.
Sun Jan 26, 2020, 07:28 PM
Jan 2020

If Bernie can get 25-30%+ in SC I think it will be a harbinger for the rest of the southern states, and he'll garner enough delegates down there to secure the nomination when combined with wins elsewhere in the country.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)
8. Heres to that! Let's help make sure it comes true!!
Sun Jan 26, 2020, 07:30 PM
Jan 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

HerbChestnut

(3,649 posts)
2. The race has really tightened up.
Sun Jan 26, 2020, 07:21 PM
Jan 2020

If Bernie wins Iowa and NH, which is increasingly likely, it might swing the election in his favor.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

George II

(67,782 posts)
7. Latest update from RCP:
Sun Jan 26, 2020, 07:30 PM
Jan 2020

Biden +0.4%!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)
9. .7 on 538 I think.
Sun Jan 26, 2020, 07:31 PM
Jan 2020

This new IA poll basically cancelled out the one where Bernie lead by 7. Up from a .5 deficiency yesterday.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

George II

(67,782 posts)
10. Latest update (including this poll) from 538:
Sun Jan 26, 2020, 07:32 PM
Jan 2020

Biden up 0.7%!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Thekaspervote

(32,778 posts)
11. It would be great if Biden won IA.. certainly doesn't need it.
Sun Jan 26, 2020, 07:38 PM
Jan 2020

He has so many predicted state wins on 538. It’s great to see. He truly s the front runner

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

InAbLuEsTaTe

(24,122 posts)
14. THANK YOU JOE!!!
Sun Jan 26, 2020, 09:26 PM
Jan 2020

Bernie/Elizabeth or Elizabeth/Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together & can't be bought!!
Jump on the Bernie Bandwagon!! Viva La Revolution!!
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
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